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#1
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Mechanical Systems
An interesting comment on another thread whether a system can be profitable with mechanical rules only. After reading some forums getting a basic understanding of some statistics I have been manually testing the below theory with small POT on level stakes.
The rules are: 100 or 99 raters Unitab only (approx. 37% winners) First 3 in prepost only after scratchings (racingnpost) Max 2 horses per race. Level stakes. Gives a punter a quite few bets with steady stream of winners. As I've been doing this for a few weeks manually there isn't alot of data to confirm but it is showing positve POT at the moment after approx 300 bets. I've been testing everyday for interest. Cheers |
#2
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I would like someone with a database to test this, spounds interesting i don't think Racecenses has the unitab ratings in them.
Is the racingpost online or only paper? |
#3
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Sorry Shaun,
should have read racingnsports & online.. |
#4
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That 37% strike rate is that all selections, i was having a look at todays and in some races there is just 1 selection and in some there are 3 so the max is 2 selections or no race correct.
I was using the ************** pre post prices i guess most pre post prices are the same. Last edited by Shaun : 4th March 2009 at 09:02 PM. |
#5
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37% is quoted in another thread, and as I read is based on all 100/99 raters. You will find a lot of races with more than 2 horses but the most you will get is 3 as the prepost rule will come into play and yes if more than 2 no bet.
Hope that clears things up. |
#6
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You could in fact have more than 3 as the form i used in a couple of races had 5 in the first 3 pre post, but saying that you would also need a lot of 100/99 in that race.
This all means nothing realy as if you can't get it to 2 selections no bet, this is a golden rule i think because a lot of the selections were favs but a few were not, this also produced a $15 winner at sandown. |
#7
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"You could in fact have more than 3 as the form i used in a couple of races had 5 in the first 3 pre post, but saying that you would also need a lot of 100/99 in that race."
Yes I agree and I actually include the first three plus any equals. Today's results: Unitab prices. 38 Bets 13 Winners 34% SR 14.70 Profit - 1 unit 39% POT There was a $15 winner. Hopefully there is something in this. If not at least you can have a fun day at the races and have a few winners.. Last edited by goldcoast : 4th March 2009 at 10:33 PM. |
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