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#1
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Favourite stats
Think this has been put up before, but I am unable to find
anything in the archives: Need favourites who won by price/percentage The avg of all favourites winning is approx 30% What I need is the breakdown by price (winning favs only) 1: price $0-$1.5 plus % 2: price $1.5 -$2 plus % 3: price $2 - $2.5 plus % 4: price $2.5 - $2.99 plus % 5: price $3 - $3.5 plus % 6: price $3.5 - $4 plus % 7: price $4 - $4.5 plus % 8: price $4.5 - $5 plus % 9: price $5.01 up plus % Would be greatly appreciated if at all possible Regards Shalor Last edited by place2win : 16th October 2009 at 04:55 AM. |
#2
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place2win, shucks I can't answer your question which annoys me as I purchased a book on this subject (in depth) a few years ago chucked out by my ** wife grrrr!
Anyway just by way of feedback, as you already know the lower the price the higher the S/R and also the LOWER the loss. In other words the ones that give you the best chance of breaking even are believe it or not "ODDS ON SHOTS". Tantalisingly this holds true for just about any set of selections picked by any method. Now that's a bit disconcerting when you really think about it isn't it? Interesting also almost exact figures are derived from the pre-post fav V actual favs. over long periods of time. |
#3
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8-odd years of Metro racing - 31.25% of Favs win - 11,614 Fav's winning
1: price $0-$1.5 plus 4.2% 2: price $1.5 -$2 plus 17.3% 3: price $2 - $2.5 plus 21.9% 4: price $2.5 - $2.99 plus 21.3% 5: price $3 - $3.5 plus 16.1% 6: price $3.5 - $4 plus 10.5% 7: price $4 - $4.5 plus 5.3% 8: price $4.5 - $5 plus 2.1% 9: price $5.01 up plus 1.3%
__________________
Stix .......Giddy Up..... !! |
#4
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Quote:
That is very interesting stats, would it be assumed then that this would generally apply to country/prov sun-mon also Regards Shalor Last edited by place2win : 16th October 2009 at 02:27 PM. |
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Quote:
__________________
Stix .......Giddy Up..... !! |
#6
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It's well known that I am as dumb as, cos I've been married twice, so I perused that list stix, and I'm sure that I have just "missed" it, but just to humour me can you explain say the first stat, $0-$1.5plus = 4.2%???
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#7
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Favourties System
1. Favourite for race 2. Not First Up 3. Not Placed last Start 4. Apprentice Rider 5. Gelding or Horse only Selections 713 Wins 241 (33.8%) Plcs 463(64.9%) Win Units 48 Plc Units 8 2009 Selections 74 Wins 24 (32.4%) Plcs 44 (59.5%) Win Units 2.4 Plc Units -2.9
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Stix .......Giddy Up..... !! |
#8
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Quote:
That was what I originally asked for (Only winning favs in the respective price range) and this only applys to metro events. To make it clearer, maybe I should have asked the following: In the above price ranges, what percentage ot favourites won their race. Last edited by place2win : 17th October 2009 at 12:41 AM. |
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Quote:
__________________
Stix .......Giddy Up..... !! |
#10
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Stix
any stats for $3-$4.50 Won last 3 in current campaign Cheers. darky |
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