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  #1  
Old 19th May 2010, 09:11 AM
jackact jackact is offline
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Smile Lowest AAP Price, Last Four Races

Here is an idea that seems to have merit, showing about 8% POT, but may not survive the curse of the forum. Might benefit from some filters etc to increase POT.
At each venue (good tracks only), find the lowest price assessed by AAP in the last four races. (I always like the Quaddie races as they are the best betting races.) No first starters or first up from a spell - take the next lowest assessed price that day.
(AAP prices from http://tabform.thewest.com.au/Daily...W=1232260324876)
Back the selection for a win. If more than one at the lowest price, choose the horse in the later race. e.g. if there in a $2.40 chance in race 7 and also in race 8, choose the horse in race 8.
For today Wednesday, there are only two venues with good tracks:
Balaklava R6 H2
Belmont R8 H2. (I have assumed T Good, as the weather is fine in Perth.)
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  #2  
Old 19th May 2010, 01:47 PM
partypooper partypooper is offline
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jackact, is this paid ratings you are referring to?
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  #3  
Old 19th May 2010, 05:25 PM
jackact jackact is offline
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Partypooper, I just use the Tabform publication that the West Australian puts out, available thru the WA Tab site. I'm not completely sold on the AAP prices shown there, but their lower priced selections seem to have a reasonable strike rate.
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Old 19th May 2010, 05:29 PM
partypooper partypooper is offline
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oh yes I just spotted the link in your original post, got it!
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  #5  
Old 19th May 2010, 06:11 PM
TheSchmile TheSchmile is offline
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1 from 2 today.

Edge off got up at $3.20. Noticed it was a t/d winner.

Any stats on that jackact?

Have you tried backing overs on the AAP market?

The Schmile
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  #6  
Old 20th May 2010, 08:07 AM
jackact jackact is offline
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Thanks, Schmile, I'll look into t/d as a factor, and possible selection criterion. No, I haven't exactly used AAP prices for overs, dutching, and the like - I guess I don't have that much faith in their accuracy. It's a thought, though.
Today's selections (Tasmania later if track OK):
Kembla 7/4
Bendigo 5/1
Toowoomba 8/5

Cheers
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