Unfortunately I haven't recorded the results but from what I can recall it seems there could be some merit with each-way betting, so I'll now record them...and hope.

Coonamble
5/1

Cranbourne
8/13

Kalgoorlie
3/1
4/6
6/9

Murwillumbah
5/8

Sun Coast
6/2
7/3

W'bool
1/1

If you restricted that to 7 days and prices under $5 you might just make a profit.

Ha ha ha.

I have been lay testing this for the last week and a half as I thought as I looked at the form that there really aren't that many 11 form lines. Most times the horse doesn't win next start and so I thought that may make it a good laying system. It is also something that can be back tested since time immemorial (or at least since form guides have been produced).

I tested it both at level stakes and a $30 liability (so you could do the minimum bet on Betfair) and, up until yesterday, it was looking good at laying between $6-$15. Under $6 actually backing the horses was showing a profit. Yesterday (Saturday) turned everything on it's head with big level stakes and liability losses.

I hope you can come up with something with the each way thing.

By the way, I have a lot more horses than you for today that either came first last start or first before a spell (which I have also been trying). Yesterday there were 86 horses which fell into the above category and today there are 27 races with qualifying horses (some races there are more than 1 selection).

Good Luck.

Shaun, I've previously had a look restricting the selection's last start to 7 day's, but from what I can remember it didn't make too much of a difference.

There are 3 selections today whose last start was seven days ago - they are the Kalgoorlie selections. We'll see how they go.

The Ocho, I don't select every last start winner. There are filters including if it won its last two starts then I omit it.

Michaelg,
Have you considered the Don Scott "Price asessment" as a filter with this.
i.e
Sunshine Coast
Race 6 H 2 (asessed @.2.70
Race 7 H 3 $3.10
Murwillumbah
R 5 H 8 $3.00
Kalgoorlie
R 3 H 1 $2.45
R 4 H 6 $2.10
R 6 H 9 $1.50

CoonambleR 5 H 1 $2.75
Cranbourne
R 8 H 13 $4.20
Warnambool
R 1 H 1 $1.16 (steeple race)

Cheers
darky

Darky, I haven't considered the prices.

I'm might not be at a computer during some of the arvo, however I could put a price limit on Betfair S.P.

Interestingly there have been two winners so far:

W'bool 1/1, rated $1.16 paying $1.40
S.Coast 7/3, rated $3.10 paying $5.80.

Value last start winners.....

Using R&S
1) Last Start Winner
2) Not a Track Winner
3) Not in UniTab top 3 selections
4) 100 UniTab 100 ptr rater
5) Good Track Only

Last Start winner = seems decent place to start
Not a Track Winner = Track winners are over bet, we are looiking for a better price
Not in Top 3 = again, not over bet and not a favoured runner
100 pt rater = no a hopeless conveyance *shrug*
Good track = no excuses!!

S/Rate 25%
Av Div $5.6
POT 39%

__________________
Stix
.......Giddy Up..... !!