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#1
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![]() Something I was playing with and thought I would share from my website for testing your systems:
There were 24142 horse form lines in the database at this point in time. There were 160 selections for the System There were 100 which Lost (did not win race) for the System for a strike rate of 62.5% You had to pay out $129.81 but brought in $152 after 5% commission. This means a Profit or loss of $22.19 or a percentage profit/loss of 13.87% I called this the 3333 system because the rules are as follows: Win Price <= 3 TAB Number <= 3 Barrier <= 3 Place Strike Rate Rank <= 3 Bet Type = LAY I encourage others to share the systems they find. If you post it as above then its easy to run a future test in a week, month, year when there is more data in the database and compare the results. You can then see if the system held up over time. |
#2
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![]() I encourage others to share the systems they find. If you post it as above then its easy to run a future test in a week, month, year when there is more data in the database and compare the results. You can then see if the system held up over time. [QUOTE]
G'Day UB, I agree it would be great to share ideas to this extent, but the problem is there are some charlatans, i.e the dregs of society who also peruse these pages for any idea that MAY hold water, then package them with glitter advertise it in THEIR so called magazines, and sell the blue dy things to the mugs, sorry to use the word but mugs it is! It has happened more than a few times. |
#3
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![]() Heres a couple of Backing plans.
Don Scott = 1 TAB No. <= 2 Dist => 1800m Result 35% SR 32% POT ----------------------------------- Don Scott = 1 Barrier => 10 Result 25% SR 28% POT
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Cheers. |
#4
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![]() This will need more testing.
It looks too good. Backing Plan RULES Price <= 5.00 TAB No. = 3 exactly . Last Start = 5th exactly Career wins => 1 Result 77% SR 30% POT
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Cheers. |
#5
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![]() This one looks very promising
RULES Don Scott = 1 Place SR Ranking <= 2 Result 49% SR (839 winners from 1700 races) 41% POT
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Cheers. |
#6
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![]() Quote:
are they the only 2 filters?? |
#7
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![]() Quote:
when you start saying things like "tab = 3" and "last start =5" - IMHO you are just back fitting a lucky set of numbers which may never be repeated. you may as well say and " only barrier = 7, 10 and 11" or "Richard Callender has 4 smokes between races 3 and 4" as I read somewhere- "The more complicated the rules , the less likely it will repeat itself ." LOL just my opinion. good luck Aussie. Last edited by aussielongboat : 24th October 2011 at 09:55 AM. |
#8
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![]() Quote:
Well it was in the backfitted world, but in the future and real world? Your guess is as good as mine, I wouldn't follow it. Class horse in a rubbish race is the go! And they don't have to be Black caviar class either, it's all relative! Good luck |
#9
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![]() Quote:
This system continues to show promise. 46 selections with a 5% profit. There were 206 selections for the System There were 126 which Lost (did not win race) for the System for a strike rate of 61.17% You had to pay out $171.63 but brought in $195.7 after 5% commission. This means a Profit or loss of $24.07 or a percentage profit/loss of 11.68% |
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