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#1
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![]() The following system, known as "The CD System", is really simple. You back any horse that is a previous course/distance winner in the race, provided there are no other previous course winners in the race. (It doesn't matter how many other distance winners there are in the race.)
12/2/2005 No qualifiers. 19/2/2005 Moonee Valley Race 5: Rockford Bay UNPLACED ($15.00; no place betting) Eagle Farm Race 1: Sir Monashee FIRST $4.20/$1.30 ($4.80 at 1/4 odds) 26/2/2005 Caulfield Race 1: Lodger UNPLACED ($31.00 at 1/4 odds) Canterbury Race 2: Carry On Cutie FIRST $2.60/$1.50 ($3.10 at 1/4 odds) 5/3/2005 No qualifiers. Selections: 4 Wins: 2 (50.00%) Places (including wins): 2 (50.00%) Win return: $6.80 (SuperTAB); $7.90 (SP) Place return: $2.80 (SuperTAB); $3.48 (SP) Number of runners: 31 (12.90%) Number of winners: 4 (50.00%) Relative frequency factor: 3.8750 (50.00/12.90) Expected number of winners: 0.6298 Actual-to-expected ratio: 3.1754 |
#2
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![]() Your so kind.. I'll add that to my stable. Do you think its advantagous to eliminate anything over say $12 ? Thanks
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#3
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![]() Have you got a DVD system too Glenno?
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#4
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![]() trust you sportz!
i might even think of burning this one - might be a keeper |
#5
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![]() Quote:
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#6
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![]() Ummm, yes, I knew that Glenno. It was just a little attempt at humour. Obviously not a very good one.
![]() Well, DVD could stand for Distance/Value/Days since last start. I'm sure we could make a system up out of that. How about this: Races 1400m or longer. Placed at last start no more than 7 days ago. Must be $5 plus in pre post betting. Must be only one qualifier in the race. Have no idea how well that one would go, but it doesn't sound too bad for something I thought up in seconds. |
#7
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![]() Going on current commercial system prices should be worth around the $250 mark.
Probably work just as well as any of them. What you require now is a bit of advertising. The sort of thing like . $300 to $300,000 in 3 weeks using 3 % of the bank etc etc. Cheers. darky. |
#8
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![]() Quote:
For MSBA/Sat racing and using the Sportsman formguide, the results during the period 12/2/2005 to 5/3/2005 were as follows: Selections: 14 Wins: 0 (0.00%) Places (including wins): 4 (28.57%) Place return: $10.60 (SuperTAB); $10.55 (SP) Number of horses: 155 (9.03) Number of winners: 14 (0.00%) Expected number of winners: 1.6843 I have eliminated "win return", "relative frequency factor" and "actual-to-expected ratio" because there were no winners during the period. |
#9
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![]() Updated selections for The CD System are as follows:
19/3/2005 Doomben Race 2: Whydinya UNPLACED ($14.00 at 1/4 odds) 26/3/2005 Caulfield Race 6: Laura's Charm SECOND $2.80 ($11.00 at 1/4 odds) Eagle Farm Race 1: Taablinga Lass UNPLACED ($17.00 at 1/4 odds) 2/4/2005 Moonee Valley Race 2: Charted SECOND $1.10 ($2.10 at 1/4 odds) Race 4: Miss Dettori THIRD $2.10 ($8.00 at 1/4 odds) Doomben Race 3: Rosamia THIRD $1.60 ($4.60 at 1/4 odds) 9/4/2005 Warwick Farm Race 2: Caught Courting THIRD NTD ($1.80 at 1/3 odds) |
#10
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![]() Wrong Call (Rosehill race 3) was the only qualifier for The CD System on 12/3/2005, but was scratched at the barrier, so he is not included in the results.
The updated results are as follows: Selections: 4 Wins: 2 (50.00%) Places (including wins): 2 (50.00%) Win return: $6.80 (SuperTAB); $7.90 (SP) Place return: $2.80 (SuperTAB); $3.48 (SP) Number of runners: 31 (12.90%) Number of winners: 4 (50.00%) Relative frequency factor: 3.8750 Expected number of winners: 0.6298 Actual-to-expected ratio: 3.1754 Current USCF rating: 1775 [same as last week] Current ICC rating: 100 [same as last week] |
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