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Old 27th February 2007, 07:15 AM
crash crash is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: gippsland lakes/vic
Posts: 5,104
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bhagwan
That site just proves what I am surgesting .

I am making the assumption that one is making 56 bets a day (8x7) or less , which could be seen as a lot of bets each day .

I am making the assumption that the majority of wins are within the first 10 bets of the day & after each win with a known 40% SR.

I am making the assumption that its not a bad idea to stop betting once approx 11 outs in a row is struck, before recommencing once a winner gets up.
So as to address the long run of outs question.

I am also making the assumption that each day is different, which all horse experts agree on. I dont know what our friend JFC thinks of that.

What I did was place 56 in the simulators Number of Trials box, then pressed the Simulate Drawdown key a couple of hundred times to see if the idea was out of whack & it showed that it was not.

It would appear JFC has an an argument with his own stuff.

Most punters dont bet 1000 races a day.

I believe to use that tool properly , one should place in the box , the average number of bets one has each day plus 75% along with their known SR from approx 150 bets + , because each day is considered different, each with its own anomilies.

Our friend JFC is not putting anything possitive that would be a of interest to many punters except his personal enlightenment through the mantra of doom & gloom.

I would like to see our friend put forward his argument which disproves
the above assumptions using the simulator or any other thing that promotes enlightenment onto the world of punting ignorance.

The figures I use are based on various models designed by mathematics professors.
Maybe they are propergators of ignorance aswell.

Better than all this stuff, why cant our friend JFC get off his phsydo egalitarian stand & put forward a selection stratergy that may work, if he is that enlightened, or is he as ignorant as the rest of us.
OR
Is the name of the game to wait to see what someone posts , then go all out with a head full of emotion & use as much demeaning & inflamitary language as possible, along with the derogatory & snide remarks so as to try & drive them off this site.

Why dont we all start doing the same thing. It could be fun... if you are a fool.

Cheers.


Lawn Bowls anyone?
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