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  #31  
Old 22nd August 2011, 11:38 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Correction - there are no selections today because the "selection" quoted is not numbered between TAB nos. 1 to 4.

It lost - might be a good Lay system?
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  #32  
Old 22nd August 2011, 03:50 PM
AngryPixie AngryPixie is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by partypooper
That's always done my head in, on one hand you have the "experts" telling you that the only way to win is to get VALUE, i.e obtain a price that is greater than the horses true chance of winning, and on the other hand being told that backing firmers is the way to go? which means that you are accepting the opposite (in most cases)


Poop

What I don't hear from people who do there own ratings is how accurate they are? Do the $3 shots hit 33.34% of the time? What about the even's chances? Do they win 50% of the time? You get my drift.

Would be interested to hear from anybody who has a large ratings data set.

Sorry Michael going a bit off track here.
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  #33  
Old 23rd August 2011, 01:17 AM
Chrome Prince Chrome Prince is offline
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I've never seen any ratings that can beat the bookies final prices.
That is however, all races, all starters.
I await eagerly the day someone, anyone, can offer something which challenges this.
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  #34  
Old 23rd August 2011, 10:10 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Today's selections are:

Townsville
1/4
5/4
6/2
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  #35  
Old 24th August 2011, 07:12 AM
Vortech
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Chrome Prince
I've never seen any ratings that can beat the bookies final prices.
That is however, all races, all starters.
I await eagerly the day someone, anyone, can offer something which challenges this.

Chrome you have enlighted me so much with your approach. The difficult assessment although is how to pre-select your bets in the fixed market or alike. Where do you gather your opening prices from? And do you use betfair for fluctulations?

Any stats you have on market movements I would love to here
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  #36  
Old 24th August 2011, 10:07 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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From yesterday's three selections there were two winners paying a total of $11.90 for the Win and $3.60 for the Place. The third selection ran fourth.

Two selections today:

Eagle farm
3/2
6/1
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  #37  
Old 24th August 2011, 10:17 AM
Bhagwan Bhagwan is offline
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Impressive results with some good win divs Michael.

Well done,
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  #38  
Old 25th August 2011, 10:15 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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From yesterday's two selections there was one winner paying $2.60, and both placed paying $2.70.

Today's selections:

Morphetville
2/4
7/3

Rocky
4/2
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  #39  
Old 25th August 2011, 12:06 PM
MrFugly MrFugly is offline
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Excellent results Michaelg, has the max distance requirement of 1400 metres been dropped?

Yesterday, Eagle Farm R3-2, 1840 metres?

Thanks for another great system idea.

Cheers, MrFugly.
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  #40  
Old 25th August 2011, 02:04 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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MrFugly, I think only a handsome person would give himself such a name as yours.

I don't apply any restrictions with the distance. Checking the results since 20/8, Win and Place betting are showing a profit for distances both under and over 1,400 metres. However, in my records I do identify the distance to see if there's an advantage.

A good result so far today. One selection has been run (M'ville 2/4). It won paying $4.00 and $1.40
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