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#31
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Entrants for the 2019 Melbourne Cup: https://cdn.racing.com/-/media/rv/2...cup-nominations
Entrants for the 2019 Caulfield Cup: https://cdn.racing.com/-/media/rv/2...cup-nominations |
#32
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Here are the weekend's results from Melbourne Cup nominees:
Here are the horses that trialled on Tuesday (various tracks):
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#33
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Melbourne Cup nominees racing over the next few days:
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#34
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Local results from Melbourne Cup nominees:
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#35
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A couple of foreign races of interest:
Later on tonight at Kempton Park it's the Sun Racing September Stakes, a Group 3 race over 2400m. In the field are Melbourne Cup nominees Mountain Hunter and Prince of Arran. Last year's Caulfield Cup winner Best Solution is the race favourite with Prince of Arran at $12 in the 12-strong field, and Mountain Hunter at $34. Tomorrow night at Longchamp it's the Group 3 Prix Gladiateur, with Haky contesting the 3100m Group 3. There was a bit of movement in Cup futures betting this week with Constantinople gaining a fair bit of interest. Both he and Cape of Good Hope were purchased by Lindsay Park clients and will now be trained by Hayes-Hayes-Dabernig. "There’s a bit of hype about this horse (Constantinople) but I want to get my hands on him and see how he is, but I think he’s a false favourite," David Hayes, said. "I bought Rostropovich for this year and these two I’ve bought, I hope they run well this year and the market says they will, but I’m more keen for the future. "This is a bonus this year." They're both expected to arrive in the first shipment of foreign horses. Interestingly David Hayes said their work at Werribee would be limited following all the injuries that occurred at the facility last season. Much of the interest is on account of the similarities between Constantinople this year and Cross Counter the last: born within a week of each other a year apart, their respective Cup preps are very similar. Cross Counter went into the Melbourne Cup without a warm-up with his last race the Voltigeur Stakes. Cross Counter carried 57kg and finished a 0.2L 2nd in a race run on Good-Firm in 2'28.34s. Constantinople carried the same weight on a Good track, a 1.75L 2nd behind the St Leger Stakes favourite Logician - in 2'27.91s. The race prior Cross Counter set a new record in the Gordon Stakes, carrying 57.5kg around in 2'31.39s. Constantinople carried 59kg and finished 2nd by 0.4L in 2'35.67s. Cross Counter snuck in another race (a 2L victory in the Woodford Reserve Handicap) between the Gordon Stakes and the next one they have in common: the King George V Stakes. Here Constantinople came 2nd finishing 0.4L back in 2'32.74s on Good-Soft. Cross Counter didn't finish as highly (4th 2.75L) carrying 0.5kg less in a much quicker race: 2'28.36s - though it was on a track that was Good-Firm. Constantinople: 8 starts for 2 wins and 5 placings. Cross Counter (at the same time): 7 starts for 4 wins and 2 placings. The benchmark handicap for horses of this age has also gone up 1kg this year. |
#36
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Quote:
Sun Racing September Stakes, a Group 3 race over 2400m I can't find a direct link, but you can watch the race on this page: https://www.racingtv.com/news/royal...ptember-success. It was a bunch finish with Prince of Arran across the line in 3rd (1.75L) and Mountain Hunter in 5th (2.25L). They both were ahead of last year's Caulfield Cup winner Best Solution (7th 2.75L) who was in his first race since 2018's Melbourne Cup. They all carried 59.5kg over the Synthetic surface. Longchamp it's the Group 3 Prix Gladiateur, with Haky contesting the 3100m Group 3. Called To The Bar was the odds-on favourite and triumphed accordingly, winning by 2 lengths easing. OTI Racing's Melbourne Cup nominee Haky certainly gave them something to chase though, leading the field for much of the race and by a large margin: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RH_ep9VXlPg. He still finished in 2nd place, a further 2 lengths in front of Boulevard. According to OTI they anticipated him receiving 51.5kg though hope his strong showing here will bump up his handicap more - they reckon he'd need 53kg to be sure of making the field. The plan now is to have him on the first shipment of horses and look to qualify him locally (not to mention: deal with his poor first up record). Either the Herbert Power Stakes on October 12th or the Caulfield Cup on October 19th being the target. His previous race, his first at Group level, was a third placing 3.75L behind Marmelo in the 3000m Prix de Kergolay. Each of them carried 59kg and you'd anticipate them having different handicaps for the Cup. No fear of him getting the distance either: he's had 4 starts at 3000m or more for 1 win and 3 placings. It looks like he'll push the race along at a very genuine tempo if he makes the final field. Weights should be out tomorrow (per the Feature Race Conditions: Handicaps will be declared not later than TUESDAY 10 SEPTEMBER 2019; so technically they could come out earlier, but not likely). |
#37
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Weights are out for the 2019 Melbourne Cup: https://cdn.racing.com/-/media/rv/2...rne-cup-weights
Kew Gardens will be the topweight with 58kg - if he decides to contest the race, of course. If he doesn't, then weights will remain the same: rather than shift upwards as they have in some past runnings. Cross Counter has been awarded 57.5kg, 6.5kg greater than he carried to victory in last year's race. Placegetters Marmelo and Prince of Arran will carry the same weight that they did in 2018. Constantinople, this year's Cross Counter/Rekindling doppelganger was awarded 52.5kg. So it looks like Greg Carpenter hasn't done any further handicapping for these 3yo northern/4 yo southern types aside from the pre-announced 1kg bump in benchmark weights. The ballot exemption-winning horse Steel Prince will carry 53.5kg. A brief look shows a few that would be stoked with their handicap. Ispolini and Master of Reality both look well in. The first Order of Entry will be out this Friday. I'm not sure why they can't release that immediately... Maybe that gives some people who make an effort to determine eligible prizemoney winnings a brief trading advantage in Futures markets. First Acceptances are due by noon on October 1st. |
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I had a look at who seems to have a good handicap, given their official rating. Of course the official handicapper may be of the belief they won't run at that rating over the 3200m, hence the lighter than anticipated weight.
Note that I couldn't find an official rating for a few horses. They were either Japanese, German, still a Maiden, too new, yet to race, or undetermined: BIZZWINKLE (NZ) DJANGO FREEMAN (GER) ENTENTE JUST THINKIN' LYS GRACIEUX (JPN) MEINER WUNSCH (JPN) MER DE GLACE (JPN) ONCE WERE LOST (IRE) RULE THE WORLD STELLAR IMPACT (JPN) TORCEDOR (IRE) TRUE SELF (IRE) For the others (which I think I've got right) see below. TLDR: Il Paradiso really shouldn't race again ahead of The Cup. Should be in the Top 24 when the Order of Entry comes out on Friday and has passed the first ballot clause. He was 1.35L behind Stradivarius in the 3270m Lonsdale Cup Stakes and more or less tied with Dee Ex Bee. Il Paradiso carried 7kg less than Stradivarius who would be on 59kg in The Cup.
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Melbourne Cup nominees racing locally over the next few days:
These are the nominated horses who trialled on Monday and Tuesday: AZURO (FR) CASCADIAN (GB) GREY LION (IRE) HEART OF GRACE (JPN) MUNTAHAA (IRE) RULE THE WORLD RUNAWAY SWEET THOMAS (GER) Last edited by walkermac : 11th September 2019 at 11:57 AM. |
#40
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Long interview with handicapper Greg Carpenter regarding the weights for the Caulfield and Melbourne Cups: https://audioboom.com/posts/7364736...sider-11-9-2019
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