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  #1  
Old 2nd August 2002, 05:58 PM
wise one wise one is offline
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Rosehill
race 5 # 3 Midnight Avenue
race 6 # 5 Stormcat Academy
race 7 # 7 Dow Jones
race 7 # 10 Arigato
race 7 # 14 The Little Tacker
race 8 # 2 Caissa
Doomben
race 2 # 2 Gullcatcher
race 3 # 1 Icy Pride
race 6 # 8 Coolawin

bet wise bet smart
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  #2  
Old 2nd August 2002, 10:25 PM
TESTAROSSA TESTAROSSA is offline
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Surely you jest when you tip Stormcat Academy to beat Lonhro!!!!
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  #3  
Old 2nd August 2002, 11:13 PM
Neil Neil is offline
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Racing's history is littered with "certainties" that didn't win first up.

I'm not putting a case for the specific horse selected, but one way of making money is to occasionally back the winner at big odds, when the odds on certainty loses.

With popular opinion saying Lonhro is past the winning post before the race is run, I am pretty sure this will result in odds about it under the horse's true winning chances.
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  #4  
Old 3rd August 2002, 05:49 AM
Goldcoaster Goldcoaster is offline
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I think Ancient Song is a special
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  #5  
Old 3rd August 2002, 08:02 AM
plugga1976 plugga1976 is offline
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Lonhro cannot possibly win this.
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  #6  
Old 3rd August 2002, 08:38 AM
Sandgroper Sandgroper is offline
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Looks to be a very open race. Should get some good overs, with Lonhro very likely to start at odds well below true winning chance.

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[ This Message was edited by: Sandgroper on 2002-08-03 09:38 ]
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  #7  
Old 3rd August 2002, 09:10 AM
thekey thekey is offline
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I tend to agree about Ancient Song. Although I wouldn't call it a "certainty". I'd rather be on this around 8/1 than Lonhro @ 4/6.
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  #8  
Old 3rd August 2002, 09:31 AM
sydney chick sydney chick is offline
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Good Luck Wise One

I agree with your tips in Race 7, although I like Musical Beat as well.

My Rosehill tips are:

R1. #1 Penny Opera
R2. #4 Russell On
R3. #6 Size her up
R4. #4 Binnia Best
R5. #2 Master Pom & #6 Via Sinai
R6. #4 Sportsbrat (with lonhro & haha in trifectas and F4s)
R7. #6 Musical Beat
R8. #10 Abeel Hostess

I will be having most of the above as a standout with the field in each race. Its amazing how many good quinellas you can win doing that (thank you "Coincidence" in Brisbane during the carnival - nice quinella of over $600 as the second place getter was at $200/1, bet cost about $8). Having said that, I probably won't win a cent today!!

Anyway, good luck everybody and Wise One I'm sure you'll get a lot more for a place on Stormcat Academy than Lonhro will pay for a win - makes more sense to me.
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  #9  
Old 3rd August 2002, 10:08 AM
digger digger is offline
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I am more than willing to cop the mocking, insults and ridicule that should come my way if i'm wrong, but i reckon the only question that needs to be asked is Lonhro, how far?
In saying that, he will be far to short for my liking.
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  #10  
Old 3rd August 2002, 10:14 AM
legion legion is offline
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Its great to see the differing opinions.But really how can anyone say that Lonhro cannot possibly win? For what its worth I have Lonhro as the likely winner but at 5/2 not long odds on. Ha Ha 4/1 Padstow5/1 and Ancient Song at 9/1. I agree that there is likely to be value as Lonhro will be unders and we all know whatever our opinion on any single race. You cannot win taking unders.
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