Granted, Mo, that was I. But, there are always exceptions to the rule!!
Plus, I dont think the Dees are that good.

Sorry Mo, but I think there actually IS a logical reason why it works.

I personally think sticking to teams with a genuine home ground advantage is a damn good idea. Also, I NEVER back teams giving up a start but I do like to back teams receiving a start. Well, the homedog system is a combination of those two ideas. Admittedly though, you do sometimes have to back teams that you don't honestly think can win. This week for example, I think Collingwood will really struggle to stay within 30 points.

If you don't mind, can I just say that I think backing teams playing interstate hurt you last week. I noticed in your selections, you had Fremantle against Essendon in Melbourne and Port against Sydney in Sydney. Now I personally wouldn't have even thought of backing those two teams. I almost never back teams playing interstate, except in matches involving Brisbane, but you know I have different rules where my own team is concerned.

I hope you don't think I'm lecturing you because I don't claim to be any expert or anything. Just trying to help. That's why I suggested perhaps you should go back over your selections and try to look for a common denominator amongst the losing bets. Perhaps if you had cut out teams playing interstate, you might have done better. Or there might be something else you discover which will help you cut out losers in future.

Thanks for the input Sportz.
Problem with what I'm doing is there ain't enough bets.
If I eliminate those you suggested,I may well improve my profit margin,but at the expense of maybe a bet a month.
I think I'm more into quantity rather than quality.

Just found out my only collect was Round 2 where I had Fremantle away and Adelaide Away.(Depressed head here).

Your only collect of the whole season???

I concentrate largely on home teams and I don't back any team under $1.40 or any team giving up a start. Given all that I still usually find at least 3 teams to bet on in AFL each week.

Are you taking multis? Perhaps you should go more for single bets???

Yes only Multi's for me Sportz.
I did actually collect in Round 3 as well with Adelaide in the Derby into the Bombers.
I have a formula as you know,for just about everything,and it tells me which game or combination of games is the best value.
Obviously my formula is being fed erroneous data!

I prefer to get far more regular but obviously smaller returns.

Yes I've noticed your tips in the footy comp.
But even the short ones go down.
This seems to be an amazing year,and also it seems similar in the Super 12's I believe.
Wish I knew what factor it was that said Fremantle would beat the Pies by that ridiculous margin!

The bets I've been making in the punting comp bare no resemblance to the bets I've actually been making with real money.

Don't ask. It's a superstition thing.

So will you be backing West Coast this week?

Nope.

Collingwood (+29.5) is the system selection so that's what I will back. The fact that I'm not at all confident about their chances makes no difference. I'm in profit this year on AFL largely thanks to this system, so why go against it for this one game.