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Old 12th July 2009, 07:06 PM
Brendon Brendon is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2009
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Default EXAMPLE

Form from slowly run races.

Lets look at Sandown and compare two 1200M races:

The Open 1200M hcp won by Signor Socks (R.6), and the 2YO 1200M won by Denamn

The Open was actually a litle slower than the 2YO 1200 (R.3) The first 600 for the 2YO was 39.2secs, but the first 600 for the Open race was nearly a second slower!

My clock said 1:15.60 for the 2YO race and 1:15:72 for the Open race. So the last 600 for the open race was a bit faster. Big deal.

There should be about 6 lengths, or 1 second (correct me if I'm wrong) between 2 year olds and open races. Give or take. So, the open race was waaaay slower, when taken into consideration.

The faster run 2YO race was won by the predictable favorite Denman. Even I won on that.

The slow Open race was run by an unlikely leader/winner. But oh yeah, there was In The Shadows and Silky Smooth trying to run down the sit and sprint run of Signor Socks in the last 200. Congrats to Yendall for getting away with it.

But where was the pressure from the better horses earlier on? Moreso In The Shadows who was closer to the lead in the first 600 but never put any pressure on in what was really a dawdle.

IMO, the jockeys on better horses primed in the Open race allowed tactics to beat them.

Last edited by Brendon : 12th July 2009 at 07:17 PM.
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