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Comparing Staking Methods
Using a fairly selective selection process due to only considering races with one contender, the following results were obtained, since the start of 2009. All other races with more than one contender were ignored, thus leading to a small sample quantity.
Selections 39 Wins 13 Win Strike Rate 33.3% Range of winners were $1.65 to $7.00 Longest winning sequence was 2 (twice) and longest losing sequence was 5 (twice). I put these selections through Four Staking Methods
Flat Stakes Betting $10 per selection Outlay $390 Collect $527 Profit $137 POT% 35.1% Bet 2% of Bank Non-Reducing Initial Bank $500 hence initial bet $10 Outlay $484 Collect $630.10 Profit $146.10 POT% 30.2% Current bet $13 Bet to Collect $50 Using selection's opening price to calculate (rounded up) the bet amount Outlay $593 Collect $850.30 Profit $257.30 POT% 47.4% Minimum bet $8 Maximum bet $34 6 Point Plan Using a Target of $60 to get initial bet of $10 An additional Target was added everytime the divisor was <=2 Outlay $744 Collect $1144.80 Profit $400.80 POT% 53.9% Minimum bet $10 Maximum bet $39 Current Divisor 4.8 Next bet $23 Based on these limited results the 6 Point Plan is the best of the four staking methods. I currently do not use this staking method but after this analysis I might have to consider it. |
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