Smartgambler
Pro-Punter

Go Back   OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums > Public Forums > Sports and Gambling
User Name
Password
Register FAQ Search Today's Posts Mark all topics as read

To advertise on these
forums, e-mail us.

 
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
Prev Previous Post   Next Post Next
  #11  
Old 21st April 2011, 07:49 PM
woof43 woof43 is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 696
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by moeee
I don't get it Woof43

Looking at your permutations and the Size of the Wagers, it appears that your most favoured selections are 8,4,1.
Yet the permutations of 1 - 4 - 8 and 1 - 8 - 4 appear to be ranked well down the list , if they appear at all.

How does that work?

The first thing you want to do is only invest on positive expectations.

As I posted just recently in another thread here, I classify the race on the Favourite and what was the major factors or combination of major /minor factors that determined that Favourite, then the seperation between it and the 2nd Fav.
I then have my subset of data
Remember at the most we have only about 15 factors for the dogs. and how they punters play each of those combinations is so predictable, I just compile all the past results and I know the avg payoffs or positive/negative expectations for each combination by rank order.

So you would have seen in that race what were the Factors in determining it a Fav.

But as you would have seen in that other thread the gold was laid out, but it was too difficult to do?
Don't keep trying to handicap better, you'll improve .5 of a percent, improve your wagering improve 100%, learn to do your database, compile your results create sub sets of data based on a few Factors,
I know you have spreadsheets to do this automatically

Give up the notion of betting only your top selection (especially when over time its a negative expectation) and your halfway there.
Reply With Quote
 


Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On
Forum Jump



All times are GMT +10. The time now is 03:27 AM.


Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.0.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2026, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
©2008 OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved . ACN 091184655