I've recently been going through each Sat Metro winner and writing down all it's characteristics and form against the rest of the field when i realised that a lot of long priced winners have good form except for there last start where they flopped.

So i started looking for horses which had won their 2nd last start , but finished 5th or worst last start.

Using just 3 rules:

(1) No races restricted to 3YO's.
(2) Must have raced within 200m of current distance in at least one of its last two starts.
(3) Must have had at least 3 starts from a spell.

This is what it came up with in the last 5 weeks:

August 10 ,

Mr Platinum - UNP.
Night Raider - 1st , $16.90 , $4.50.
Rocky Glen - UNP.

August 17 ,

Friendly Seas - UNP.
Oakfield King - UNP.
Century Kid - 1st , $4.30 , $1.50.
Sportsbrat - UNP.
Sovereign Ties (HURDLE) - UNP.
Aragonce - 3rd , $3.90.
My Lavinia - UNP.
Monde Special - 3rd , $5.50.
Frenzal Rhomb - 3rd , $2.10.
Yusra - UNP.
So Say All Of Us - UNP.
Grumans - 1st , $36.20 , $8.70.
Banyan Bay - 1st , $37.10 , $8.30.

August 24 ,

Outlaws - UNP.
Desert Brigadier - 1st , $7.40 , $2.60.
Kurt - 3rd , $1.30.
Skewiff - 3rd , $1.50.
Cold Start - UNP.
Credentials - UNP.

August 31 ,

Gamesman - 1st , $13.90 , $4.20.
Go Errol - UNP.
Brantwood Manor - 1st , $17.30 , $4.80.
Fouardee - 1st $11.80 , $3.40.
Etoile Bleue - UNP.
Court Of Jewels - 2nd $3.10.
Exceptional Chance (HURDLE) - 1st , $6.50 , $3.20.
Fabio Pennachio - UNP.
Danes Reward - 2nd , $15.10.
Cubiton - 2nd , $1.50.
Court Hero - UNP.
Sovereign Echo - 3rd , $3.10.
Olongopo - 1st , $7.20 , $2.30.
Baitenhausen - 2nd , $3.50.
Jezarich - UNP.
Narwhal - UNP.
Paris Heartbeat - UNP.

September 7 ,

Pristine Partners - UNP.
Platinum Scissors - 2nd , $2.90.
Mister Pom - UNP.
Crimson Gem - 3rd , $8.10.
Sophistocat - UNP.
Rubitano - 2nd , $1.60.
As You Do - UNP.
Boogie Nights - 3rd , $3.70.
Grand Mansion - UNP.

WIN ONLY ,
Invest - $48.
Return - $158.60.
Profit - $110.60.
POT - 230.4%

EACH WAY ,
Invest - $96.
Return - $259.
Profit - $163.
POT - 169.7%.

Only 5 weeks of results which doesn't mean much , but surely a plan with plenty of potential.

With added filters this could be a little gem of a plan.

Any comments or suggestions?

__________________
Good luck and good punting.

And remember a profit a day keeps the Girlfriend/Wife away.