Bets 133; Won 90; Lost 43
Units Staked: 128 units; Won 16.64 units; ROI 13%


Three from three last night so a good result.

Prices have been fluctuating more so than usual so it's best to keep an eye on the market. In the record I'll lower Groenefeld to $1.55 and Douchevina to $2.50 as their prices came in a wee bit. They could have been bet at higher prices but these only lasted an hour or so. Douchevina drifted as high as $2.70

May post extra 2 bets after 5Dimes and Pinnacle price up. I'd like a price on Groenefeld and Smashnova.

Garrigues v Frazier
Strasbourg: Round 2

An ageing hard-courter, Amy Frazier, meets an in-form clay-court specialist. Frazier has a negative clay record (24/27) and is coming off some ordinary form. She beat defending champion Schaul in a rain affected match but Schaul is also in the worst form of her career. Garrigues is the sort of player who gets everything back and she should have too much today.

Garrigues $1.80 @ Centrebet 1 Unit
(might be better prices later as poor margins at Centrebet)


Morigami v Peer
Istanbul: Round 2

A close match-up. Peer is a young up-and-comer who's relatively inexperienced on clay as she prefers it much faster. I feel a lot of her price is based on her reputation as opposed to her clay skills. Morigami was impressive in her Round 1 demolition of Lisa Raymond. The Japanese player is two-handed on both sides which seems to suit this surface. A close game but the edge is with Morigami.

Morigami $1.80 @ Olympic 1 Unit
(also available at smaller books. Might be better prices later but this is ok value)


Notes: I wouldn't advise backing Vaidisova at such short odds. However, she's definitely worth laying below $1.20 for a small sum at Betfair (you'll probably be able to lay her below $1.15). Vaidisova's has a big reputation but is inexperienced on clay. She's first up here while Abramovic came through qualies.