|
|
To advertise on these forums, e-mail us. |
|
|
Thread Tools | Search this Thread | Display Modes |
#1
|
|||
|
|||
Betting by Averages
This is a system I have used for many years, I rarely have a losing weekend and my system can pick out some pretty good roughies.I use Best Bets to work this out with.
My system comes in 2 parts, Part 1. I give every type of race a rating RACE RATINGS G1 1 G2 2 G3 3 WFA 4 HCP 5 LR 6 C6 7 C5 8 C4 9 C3 10 C2 11 C1 12 MDN 13 Any race not included comes under handicap I then add up the last 3 finishing positions for each horse in the race and this gives me the favourite for the race. Example; Horse 1 4th in mdn,2nd in mdn,1st in mdn gives a score of 43 Horse 2 1st in G1,1st in G1,1st in G1 gives a score of 6 Part 2 From part 1 I then use this system to sort my best picks for the day G: SELECTED HORSES THAT HAVE HAD ATLEAST 1 GROUP RACE IN ITS LAST 3 STARTS W: SELECTED HORSES WHO WON ITS LAST START T: FINISHED TOP 3 IN ATLEAST 1 OF LAST 3 STARTS D: RACED AT THIS DISTANCE IN ATLEAST 1 OF LAST 3 STARTS(50m either side) J: FINISHED TOP 3 WITH THIS JOCKEY IN ATLEAST 1 OF 3 STARTS I get these choices based on averages, horses who ran the distance win 52% of the time, with the jockey 35% of the time etc. G 14.70 W 29.41 T 23.52 D 52.94 J 35.29 1st up and horses with less than 3 starts are excluded. So my top picks come from this system in this order DJWTG work down from there. I get an average place rate of 72% I think I have explained this adequately, any questions. Last edited by scott50 : 2nd June 2005 at 07:50 PM. |
Thread Tools | Search this Thread |
Display Modes | |
|
|