With the help of Gungadin running the favourite's finishes for ea SP and comparing the next 5 favourites strike rates we now have a matrix of how the horses performed against the favourite. Below $2 the fav had up to 82% win in 22 races at @$1.20 From $2 to $5 and beyond there was a consistant slide from 42% to 15.3%. The band of 2nd to 6th favs stayed consistant just moving from a total of 51.6% out to a total of 60.8%. Still backing all produces a loss no matter which way we did it.

What we can take from this is <$2 100% to 93.3% strike rate
From $2 to $5 FavSP 93.3% to 75.1% strike rate
for first six favourites.

Maybe somebody has a new slant on this.
Thanks Gungdin for your input
Regards Beton

Attached Files

average matrix 2.doc (19.0 KB, 875 views)