Smartgambler
Pro-Punter

Go Back   OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums > Public Forums > Horse Race Betting Systems
User Name
Password
Register FAQ Search Today's Posts Mark all topics as read

To advertise on these
forums, e-mail us.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #11  
Old 20th January 2012, 10:35 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,788
Wink

Today I will only list those races that have six selections or more because they could be races where there are several chances. Yesterday there were four of them - they were all profitable. However, I will also privately monitor today's races that have five and less selections.

Ballina
3/ 1, 2, 3, 6, 7, 8
7/ 1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 7, 9, 10

M'ton
7/ 2, 3, 4, 7, 8, 9
8/ 1, 3, 4, 5, 7, 10

Ipswich
6/ 2, 3, 4, 7, 11,12
7/ 1, 2, 3, 6, 7, 8

Cranbourne
6/ 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 9
Reply With Quote
  #12  
Old 20th January 2012, 06:56 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,788
Wink

Not the worst of days. A profit of $4.72 was made.

A small profit but the liability is also small.

Last edited by michaelg : 20th January 2012 at 06:58 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #13  
Old 21st January 2012, 10:35 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,788
Wink

Today's qualifying races:

The numbers shown are layed for a liability of $30, all others for $31

Flemington
6/ 2, 3, 5, 7, 8, 11
8/1, 2, 4, 5, 6, 7

Eagle Farm
4/ 1, 4, 5, 8, 9, 12

M'ville
6/ 1, 2, 3, 4, 8, 10

Albury
6/ 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 10

Toowoomba
1/ 1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 7

Ascot
5/ 1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 13, 14
Reply With Quote
  #14  
Old 21st January 2012, 06:14 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,788
Wink

Not a bad day. There were five profitable races from the seven for an overall profit of $5.70.

As a matter of interest, if every selection since I started listing the selections and their liabilities here on Thursday, were bet for $5 on Betfair S.P., the results after 5% had been deducted, would have been:

Thursday - $230 bet for a return of $273.30.
Friday - $355 bet for a return of $465.20.
Today - $390 bet for a return of $455.40.

Total bet = $975
Total return = $1193
Profit = $218, which is a POT of 22%.
Reply With Quote
  #15  
Old 22nd January 2012, 11:27 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,788
Wink

In my last posting I listed the total Betfair S.P. return for backing every horse for $5 in the qualifying races over the past three days. The total outlay was $975 and the total Betfair S.P. return was $1,193 for a POT of 22%.

Out of interest I've compared this with the NSW TAB - the TAB return was surprisingly $1,260 which is about 5% more then S.P. However, it was only 18 races, but it was 195 bets.

Today's qualifying races and the liabilities are:

Grafton
5/ 1, 3, 4, 7, 8, 9

Ballarat
6/ 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 8, 10
7/ 1, 2, 3, 6, 8, 10

Geraldton
6/ 1, 3, 4, 6, 8, 11
7/ 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 9
Reply With Quote
  #16  
Old 22nd January 2012, 12:24 PM
The Ocho The Ocho is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2010
Posts: 1,033
Thumbs up

You're going well there MG, keep it up.
Reply With Quote
  #17  
Old 22nd January 2012, 06:11 PM
Mark Mark is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Qld
Posts: 1,400
Talking

Hard to lose today as a layer with some of the big SP's.
Reply With Quote
  #18  
Old 22nd January 2012, 07:26 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,788
Wink

No, it was a terrible day thanks to Geraldton R7 where the hot fave won.

The method lost $3.51.

After the four days it is $13.00 in profit so I can't really complain, just disappointed.
Reply With Quote
  #19  
Old 23rd January 2012, 10:36 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,788
Wink

Today there's only one qualifying race.

Moruya
7/ 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7


I have also been looking at the weight carried by horses, particularly those of 59.5-plus kilos.

Over the past seven days there were 49 selections that qualified for a system I'm checking. As there were 49 smiles from them, some at single figure prices I'll list today's only selection and see how it goes.

Terang 8/2 ($11 pre-post)
Reply With Quote
  #20  
Old 23rd January 2012, 06:50 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,788
Wink

A winning day for the method for a profit of $2.04.

The "weight" selection was beaten for a smile/profit of $1.46.
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On
Forum Jump



All times are GMT +10. The time now is 12:20 AM.


Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.0.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
©2008 OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved . ACN 091184655