OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums - Recent fortnight winning highlights

#11

1st August 2014, 08:26 AM

Michal

Member

Join Date: Oct 2005

Posts: 1,007

Half 2 July 2014

Code:

Casanova           $41.00  SR3
Kingston Time      $34.00  InD
Gundy Gal          $31.00  InD
The Factor         $26.00  PkD3
Redentes Edge      $26.00  SR3
Thiamandi          $23.00  IR2-SR2
Central Park       $21.00  PkD3
Absolutelycertain  $21.00  PkD2-SR3
Anfitriona         $21.00  IR3-SR3
Real Yummy         $19.00  InD-PkD2
Old Feeling        $19.00  InD-SR3
Wanasah            $19.00  InD-PkD1-IR1-SR1
Tunes              $18.00  InD-PkD1
Super Tycoon       $18.00  IR3
Born To Run Easy   $18.00  SR3
Balametalica       $17.00  PkD2
Rage Within        $17.00  PkD3-SR3
Hurritdanz         $17.00  InD-SR3
Bacchante          $16.00  PkD1
Sakhero            $16.00  InD-PkD3-IR3-SR3
Foreign Prince     $16.00  InD-PkD1-IR2-SR1
One In One Out     $16.00  InD
Ready To Reel      $16.00  InD-PkD2
Chop And Change    $16.00  SR2
Dodging Eddie      $15.00  InD-PkD1
Victorian Crown    $15.00  InD-PkD2-IR2-SR1
Perfect Punch      $15.00  InD-PkD1-IR2-SR2
Arkiboum           $15.00  InD-PkD1
Blackspace         $15.00  PkD3
Consul Reef        $15.00  SR2
Mr Good Looking    $14.00  PkD3
Lovely Chap        $14.00  InD-PkD1-IR1-SR1
Egyptian Ruler     $14.00  InD
Son Of Coco        $14.00  InD-SR3
Our Littletreasure $14.00  InD
Anything You Touch $14.00  InD-SR3
Champagne Flyer    $14.00  IR3-SR2
Roln Robi          $14.00  SR3
The Ruffian        $13.00  PkD2
Topending          $13.00  InD-PkD1-IR3-SR1
Generous Miss      $13.00  PkD3
Power Supply       $13.00  InD-PkD2
Sanvel             $13.00  IR3
Sky Magic          $13.00  SR3
Providence         $12.00  InD-PkD1
Reckless Assassin  $12.00  PkD2-IR1-SR1
Anatomic           $12.00  InD-PkD2
Caroun             $12.00  PkD3
Made To Order      $12.00  PkD2
Final Bid          $12.00  InD-PkD1
Safe World         $12.00  InD-PkD1-SR3
Dad Said           $12.00  InD-PkD3
Cliques            $12.00  SR3
Forward March      $11.00  InD-PkD2-SR3
Patch Hero         $11.00  InD-PkD2-IR3-SR2
More Than Aholiday $11.00  InD-PkD1-IR2-SR1
Sanctuary          $11.00  InD-PkD1-IR2-SR2
Mr Good Cat        $11.00  PkD3
Hurrara            $11.00  InD
Almighty Flash     $11.00  PkD2-IR3
Kirov Boy          $11.00  PkD1-IR2-SR2
Ruling Force       $11.00  InD
Suvarna            $11.00  InD-PkD3-IR2-SR2
Polish Pearl       $11.00  SR2
Lenience           $10.00  InD-PkD2
Babur              $10.00  InD-IR3
Devious Fella      $10.00  PkD1
Mayan Prophecy     $10.00  InD-IR2-SR2
Sergius            $10.00  InD-PkD1
Wheely Wilson      $10.00  PkD2-IR3-SR3
Auramour           $10.00  InD-IR3
Rowland            $10.00  InD-PkD1
Olly I Am          $10.00  InD
Modern Al          $10.00  InD-PkD3-IR3-SR3
Radical Impact     $10.00  PkD2
Court Lane         $10.00  InD-PkD3-IR3
Purrfect Cocktail  $10.00  IR2-SR2
Full Strike rate results for all priced winners ....
-Intelligence Rating: All 631 Races
 Top Pick 26.47%, Top 3 58.64%.
-Speed Rating: All 631 Races
 Top Pick 25.36%, Top 3 55.94%.

Only the better priced winners and full results summary for the half month are shown here, due to post size restriction.
The full detailed results of 2nd half of July 2014 are found here.
http://ratings2win.net/our-products...axis-highlights

__________________
Michal - Ratings2Win Pty Ltd
R2W Axis - Axis is Australia's leading horse racing software and database;
with sophisticated form analysis tools and accurate horse performance ratings for TAB meetings.
http://www.ratings2win.com.au/

#12

2nd August 2014, 05:15 AM

Michal

Member

Join Date: Oct 2005

Posts: 1,007

July 2014 Performance Summary

Number of race 1331 (All races every day)
Intelligence Rating (Our flagship rating):
Top Pick 26.4%
Top 3 58.4%

Consistent performance every month!

#13

17th August 2014, 08:06 AM

Michal

Member

Join Date: Oct 2005

Posts: 1,007

1st half of August 2014

Code:

Tycoon Rob         $67.00  InD
Our Nkwazi         $51.00  SR3
Whatanexcuse       $41.00  InD
Bicol Express      $41.00  IR2-SR2
Dont Shoot         $35.00  PkD3
Ebony Gold         $31.00  InD-PkD3-SR3
Beckon             $31.00  InD-PkD3-SR3
Excellently        $31.00  IR3-SR2
Love At A Distance $26.00  SR3
Positive Decision  $21.00  InD-PkD3
Mr Scary           $21.00  InD-PkD3
Thebarwonprince    $21.00  InD
Dark Rock          $21.00  InD
Galaxy King        $21.00  InD
Drovers Lane       $21.00  InD
Silent Gee         $21.00  InD-PkD1
Kreuzberg          $19.00  InD-SR3
Little Ted         $19.00  InD-PkD3-SR3
Volley Of Fire     $19.00  InD-PkD1-SR3
Sir Joel           $19.00  PkD3
Salote             $19.00  SR3
Pezenas            $18.00  InD-PkD1-IR3-SR3
Liquidation        $18.00  PkD3
Echo Gal           $18.00  IR1
Jalerte            $17.00  PkD1
Murta Cape         $17.00  InD-PkD1-IR1-SR1
Run Jake Run       $17.00  InD
Bearish            $17.00  IR2-SR3
Oakfield Count     $16.00  InD
Kimiko             $16.00  InD-PkD3
Chips              $16.00  IR3-SR2
Tongue Of Fire     $16.00  SR2
Friday Jewel       $16.00  SR3
Royal Bluff        $15.00  PkD3
Cleaver            $15.00  PkD2
Hamam              $15.00  InD-PkD1
Yarrandi           $15.00  InD-PkD1
Make Your Own      $15.00  IR3
Small And Spicy    $14.00  PkD1
Albonetti          $14.00  InD-PkD2
White Roe          $14.00  InD
Red Almighty       $14.00  SR2
Freshman           $13.00  PkD3
Monet Shot         $13.00  InD-PkD3
Tara Man           $13.00  InD
Gaelstorm          $13.00  IR3
Aerial Ping Pong   $12.00  InD-PkD3-SR3
Saturday Sorcerer  $12.00  InD-IR1-SR1
Sutton Bailey      $12.00  InD-PkD3-SR3
How Good Is This   $12.00  InD-PkD1
Fashion App        $12.00  InD-PkD2-IR1-SR1
El Tegra           $12.00  PkD1
Sister Quest       $12.00  InD-PkD2
Circuit Spirit     $12.00  InD-PkD1
No Smoken          $12.00  InD-IR3
Igneous            $12.00  PkD3
Elsalinda          $12.00  InD
Dash About         $12.00  InD
Outback Pride      $11.00  InD-PkD2-IR3-SR3
Eight Carat Queen  $11.00  InD-SR3
Dane Opera         $11.00  InD-PkD2
Lady Ladette       $11.00  InD-PkD2
The Californian    $11.00  PkD3-IR2-SR1
Venture On         $11.00  InD-PkD2-SR2
Red Room Of Pain   $11.00  PkD3
Frenzy Fox         $11.00  PkD3-SR3
Utmost Faith       $11.00  SR3
Keep It A Secret   $11.00  SR3
Reale Fury         $10.00  InD-PkD2
Pop Hero           $10.00  InD-IR2-SR1
Benchi Pegasus     $10.00  InD-PkD3
Rods Bid           $10.00  PkD1
Victorian Crown    $10.00  InD-IR3-SR2
Beaumaris          $10.00  InD-PkD3
One More Knight    $10.00  InD-PkD3-IR2-SR2
Novadarl           $10.00  PkD2
Redevelop          $10.00  InD-PkD3
Accompny Me        $10.00  InD
Loaded Owners      $10.00  InD-PkD3
Battle Of Evermore $10.00  PkD3-IR3-SR3
Lentini Mist       $10.00  InD-PkD3
Beltonic           $10.00  InD-PkD3-IR3-SR2
Onemore Eightmore  $10.00  InD-IR3-SR3
Territory          $10.00  InD-PkD1-IR3-SR2
Gold Cufflinks     $10.00  IR3-SR3
Write No More      $10.00  IR3-SR3
Moiras Charm       $10.00  IR1
Full Strike rate results for all priced winners ....
-Intelligence Rating: All 752 Races
 Top Pick 25.00%, Top 3 56.52%.
-Speed Rating: All 752 Races
 Top Pick 22.87%, Top 3 53.32%.

Only the better priced winners and full results summary for the half month are shown here, due to post size restriction.
The full detailed results of 1st half of August 2014 are found here.
http://ratings2win.net/our-products...axis-highlights

#14

1st September 2014, 07:24 AM

Michal

Member

Join Date: Oct 2005

Posts: 1,007

Half 2 August 2014

Code:

Golden Trinkets    $51.00  InD
Beckon             $31.00  InD-PkD3-SR3
Crafty Cruiser     $26.00  InD-PkD2
Thanks A Million   $23.00  InD
Hard Marker        $23.00  PkD1-IR1-SR1
Silent Gee         $21.00  InD-PkD1
Bernaurd           $21.00  InD-PkD2
Hell Strong        $21.00  InD-PkD1
Glendara           $21.00  IR3
Mourinho           $20.00  PkD2
Liquidation        $18.00  PkD3
Hiddens Sister     $18.00  InD-PkD3-IR3-SR3
Distant Dreams     $18.00  SR2
Sudden Rush        $17.00  InD-PkD2-SR2
Annihilation       $17.00  PkD3-SR3
Besa Bola          $17.00  InD
Livery             $17.00  InD
Prophecy           $17.00  PkD3
Diamondrocker      $17.00  InD
Kimiko             $16.00  InD-PkD3
General Orders     $16.00  InD-PkD1
Vonlenska          $16.00  InD
Lady Of Troy       $16.00  PkD3-IR3-SR3
Im A Flying Star   $16.00  InD-PkD2-IR3-SR2
Knight Hero        $16.00  IR3
Alabasta Bay       $15.00  PkD3
Biscayne Blue      $15.00  PkD1
Tristrams Sun      $15.00  IR3
Albonetti          $14.00  InD-PkD2
White Roe          $14.00  InD
Smith N Western    $14.00  InD-PkD2-IR3-SR1
Godfrey            $13.00  PkD2-SR3
Backdrop           $13.00  InD
Curragh King       $13.00  PkD1
Conroys Gap        $13.00  PkD3-IR3-SR2
Mabrouk            $13.00  PkD3-SR2
Centavision        $13.00  PkD2
Dash About         $12.00  InD
Mightysui          $12.00  PkD2
Everybody Happy    $12.00  InD-PkD2-IR3-SR1
Relentless         $12.00  InD
Spherical          $12.00  InD-PkD3-SR3
Rolston            $12.00  InD
Atheli             $11.00  InD-PkD2
Iconic             $11.00  PkD3
Coming Or Not      $11.00  InD-PkD2-IR2-SR2
Huxssen            $11.00  IR2
Keep It A Secret   $11.00  SR3
Territory          $10.00  InD-PkD1-IR3-SR2
Landlocked         $10.00  InD-PkD1-IR1-SR1
Kirov Boy          $10.00  PkD1-IR1-SR1
Lennies Choice     $10.00  InD-PkD2
Meilucca           $10.00  PkD3-IR3-SR3
Gumdale Boy        $10.00  InD-IR3
Elegant Doubt      $10.00  InD-PkD1-IR1-SR1
Delray Beach       $10.00  InD-PkD3-IR1-SR1
That Snow Athlete  $10.00  IR1-SR3
Trancing           $10.00  SR2-SR3
Full Strike rate results for all priced winners ....
-Intelligence Rating: All 662 Races
 Top Pick 25.98%, Top 3 59.67%.
-Speed Rating: All 662 Races
 Top Pick 23.41%, Top 3 53.93%.

Only the better priced winners and full results summary for the half month are shown here, due to post size restriction.
The full detailed results of 2nd half of August 2014 are found here.
http://ratings2win.net/our-products...axis-highlights

#15

1st September 2014, 08:50 AM

Michal

Member

Join Date: Oct 2005

Posts: 1,007

August 2014 End of month

Number of race 1364 (All races every day)
Intelligence Rating (Our flagship rating):
Top Pick 26.0%
Top 3 58.4%

Consistent performance every month!

#16

17th September 2014, 05:45 AM

Michal

Member

Join Date: Oct 2005

Posts: 1,007

Half 1 September 2014

Code:

Rogertheredneck    $41.00  InD
Toshinaga          $34.00  InD
Rememba Howe       $31.00  InD
Irish Nip          $29.00  SR2
Windsor Gold       $26.00  InD
Stellas Choice     $26.00  InD
Angelic Light      $26.00  PkD2-SR3
Tiffs Special      $26.00  PkD3-IR2-SR1
Second Dozen       $26.00  InD-PkD1
Scrunchie          $21.00  InD-PkD3-IR2-SR2
Who You Know       $21.00  InD
Debeersonus        $21.00  InD
Hartleys Hope      $21.00  InD
Carry On Singing   $21.00  InD
Zedfast            $21.00  InD
Gods Brief         $21.00  InD-PkD3
Guru Bay           $19.00  InD-SR2
Stratigraphy       $19.00  PkD2
Queenian           $19.00  PkD2
The Hard Way       $18.00  IR3-SR3
Midnight Ride      $17.00  InD-PkD2-IR2-SR1-SR3
Caravan Sang       $17.00  InD-IR3
Taqwaa             $17.00  InD
Ice Chiller        $16.00  PkD1
Brother Patrick    $15.00  InD
Umaluka            $15.00  InD
Purr Plan          $15.00  PkD2-IR2-SR2
Roses Song         $15.00  InD-PkD2-SR1
State Of Wealth    $15.00  PkD3-IR3-SR3
Browneyedhawk      $14.00  PkD2
Gunner             $14.00  PkD2
Duet               $14.00  InD-PkD2-IR2-SR2
Alcohol            $14.00  InD-PkD3-IR2-SR1
Yes Zariz          $14.00  PkD2-SR2
Karaka Storm       $14.00  IR3-SR3
Isla Poppy         $13.00  InD
Zenzu              $13.00  InD-PkD2
To Dubawi Go       $13.00  InD
Winner Wimmer      $13.00  PkD3-IR2-SR2
Kim Dynasty        $13.00  InD-PkD1
Mainshaft          $13.00  IR2-SR2
Mighty Sequalo     $13.00  IR1-SR2
Esprits Choice     $12.00  InD-PkD1-IR2-SR2
Ontheroad For Gold $12.00  PkD3
Small And Spicy    $11.00  InD
Turbulence         $11.00  PkD2
Still My Friend    $11.00  InD-PkD3-IR2-SR3
Keep On Dancin     $11.00  InD-PkD1-IR2-SR1
Wotchinyu          $11.00  InD
Maximum Overdrive  $11.00  InD
Express Flyer      $11.00  InD-PkD2
Jewels Of Ava      $11.00  IR3
Miss Famous        $11.00  IR2-SR2
Goldbya            $10.00  InD
Tax Exemption      $10.00  InD-PkD1-IR3-SR3
Pretty Gully       $10.00  InD-PkD1
First Release      $10.00  InD-PkD1
Larue Damor        $10.00  InD-IR2-SR2
Pushkin Sonnet     $10.00  PkD1
Junee Boy          $10.00  InD-PkD1-IR3
Benchi Pegasus     $10.00  InD-PkD1-IR1-SR1
Full Strike rate results for all priced winners ....
-Intelligence Rating: All 613 Races
 Top Pick 25.77%, Top 3 59.38%.
-Speed Rating: All 613 Races
 Top Pick 24.63%, Top 3 57.26%.

Only the better priced winners and full results summary for the half month are shown here, due to post size restriction.
The full detailed results of 1 half of September 2014 are found on our site.
http://ratings2win.net.au

#17

23rd September 2014, 01:46 PM

luv2bet

Member

Join Date: Jan 1970

Posts: 939

Quote:

Originally Posted by Michal

Number of race 1364 (All races every day)
Intelligence Rating (Our flagship rating):
Top Pick 26.0%
Top 3 58.4%

Consistent performance every month!

Any chance of posting PROFIT/LOSS with these results. Strike rates by themselves can be misleading.

__________________
get in the Q

#18

23rd September 2014, 05:49 PM

Michal

Member

Join Date: Oct 2005

Posts: 1,007

Quote:

Originally Posted by luv2bet

Any chance of posting PROFIT/LOSS with these results. Strike rates by themselves can be misleading.

Thanks for your question. Can I just say that the strike rate is not misleading, it is a FACTUAL statement of performance, it cannot be misinterpreted and can be scrutinized by potential clients.
Your question leads more to whether it is possible to make money with it. Which is a fair question! We have previously published the POTs, the issues with this is many fold.

1. What div do we use ? If we use single tote, then this casts an unrealistically bad light on the results. If we use better options we are then accused of embellishing our results.

2. The strike rate indicates performance of the rating, that is all that we stand by and can control (as opposed to dividends) but under no circumstances are we saying that betting the top pick (for instance) in every race makes money; the selection of bets rests with the client and as a result we cant really publish profits as we do not know what races/horses clients wish to peruse. Axis and the data are tools.

3. Time frame makes it also hard to judge anything, a months result is not a indicative of longer term performance.

4. Most other competitors (free or otherwise) don't publish anything close to our (up to date) results let alone the POT ! Or they pick and choose their races (which becomes tipping, not rating). Or they just make unsubstantiated statements. So there is little to compare with; its a given that all RAW ratings lose money, the point is how close are you to breakeven as a starting point.

5. There are some that have unrealistic expectations and agendas, due to point 4 or other issues.

Having said that, it is obvious that I will have to answer the question after all. We are not trying to avoid it, far from it, Im very proud of our work, Im going to provide strike rates and POT for ALL RACES for our Intelligence Rating for 2014, I hope that is fair ? At least we eliminate the short term frame issue.

Date range 01/01/2014 to 22/09/2014 Total races 11,883
Top Pick Strike rate 26.6% ( our advertised 4 year average is 26.8%)
Top 3 Strike rate 58.4% ( our advertised 4 year average is 58.4%)

Top Pick POTs - Flat bets
NSW Tote -11.37%
SP/NSW -7.05%
Closing Fixed Price -4.22%
Best Tote and SP -3.64%

Top Pick POTs - Proportional bets
SP/NSW -5.7%
Closing Fixed Price -3.04%
Best Tote and SP -2.61%

Early/better shopping can secure even better prices and better outcomes; our BEST testable combination in the Betting Analyses yealds +0.22 POT but this depends on the user and is likely not realistically achievable under normal circumstances. However it is possible to obtain results SOMEWHERE BETWEEN the worse and best case scenario featured above. Remember these are FACTUAL statements that can be scrutinized by potential clients.

It should be noted that our public membership allocation is currently full, due to our limited membership. The only subscription on offer is Historical which is also the prerequisite of being in the queue for standard Axis subscription, anyone interested should contact the office for updated status. Further, having answered the question factually, I will not be engaging into any debates regarding the statements made.

P.S.
As I had to do a test recently for the Newspaper price (not using our software) here is the Strike rate for the same period as above: Top pick 25% and -17% POT using NSW tote. Ours is -11.37% Something to compare!

Last edited by Michal : 23rd September 2014 at 05:54 PM.

#19

1st October 2014, 11:20 AM

Michal

Member

Join Date: Oct 2005

Posts: 1,007

Half 2 Sep 2014

Code:

Break The Moment   $41.00  PkD2
Craiglea Carina    $41.00  PkD3
Irish Nip          $29.00  SR2
First Seal         $28.00  InD
Mostly Matisse     $28.00  IR3-SR3
Second Dozen       $26.00  InD-PkD1
Lets Be A Star     $26.00  InD-PkD1
Davalon            $26.00  InD-PkD3-IR3-SR2
My Move            $26.00  PkD2
Its Poets Day      $26.00  InD-PkD1
Kincaple Chief     $26.00  PkD2
Baggy Eyes         $26.00  InD-PkD2-IR3-SR2
Captain Orange     $26.00  InD-PkD1-SR1
Gods Brief         $21.00  InD-PkD3
The Fastnet        $21.00  InD-IR2-SR3
Harlem Shuffle     $21.00  InD-PkD3-IR1-SR1
Straying Tiger     $21.00  InD
Foretoken          $19.00  InD-PkD2
Breeze On By       $19.00  InD
Rahy Storm         $19.00  InD
Sireeze            $18.00  InD-PkD1
Star Fashion       $18.00  InD
Sum It Up          $18.00  InD
Captain Wings      $18.00  SR3
Gris Caro          $18.00  SR3
Rex The Weapon     $17.00  InD-PkD1
Prentice           $17.00  InD-PkD2
Danablue           $17.00  InD
On The Deck        $17.00  InD
Scottish Border    $16.00  InD-PkD1-IR3-SR3
Andis Boy          $15.00  InD
Silent Gee         $15.00  InD-PkD3
Clumsy             $15.00  PkD3
Polskie Prince     $15.00  InD-PkD1-SR3
Merry Yeoman       $15.00  InD-PkD2-IR3-SR3
Lassies Venture    $15.00  IR3
Garcia             $15.00  IR3
Mumslad            $15.00  IR3-SR3
Yes Zariz          $14.00  PkD2-SR2
Dust Devil         $14.00  InD-PkD1-SR2
Captain Titanium   $14.00  InD-PkD1-IR2-SR2
Kim Dynasty        $13.00  InD-PkD1
No Smoken          $13.00  InD
Matron             $13.00  InD-PkD3-SR3
Like A Carousel    $13.00  InD-PkD2
Sweets             $13.00  IR3
Comanche Red       $13.00  IR3
Gojo Mimo          $13.00  SR3
Flash Of Doubt     $12.00  InD-SR3
Jopa               $12.00  InD-PkD1-IR3-SR3
Fitzgerald         $12.00  PkD3
Goodlookinrooster  $12.00  PkD2-SR3
Respected          $12.00  PkD3
Hosting            $12.00  InD
Our Brucie Bonus   $12.00  InD-PkD1-SR3
Disclaimer         $12.00  SR2
Vaintorio          $12.00  SR3
Express Flyer      $11.00  InD-PkD2
Infourit           $11.00  InD-PkD2-IR3-SR1
Arena Rock         $11.00  PkD3
Chatham Road       $11.00  InD
Snippetee Bee      $11.00  IR3-SR3
Jos Luck           $11.00  IR3-SR3
Benchi Pegasus     $10.00  InD-PkD1-IR1-SR1
Alvares            $10.00  InD-PkD3
Spotluck           $10.00  InD-PkD1-IR2-SR2
Miss Carobose      $10.00  InD-PkD2
Sea Spray          $10.00  InD-PkD1-IR1-SR1
Transfers          $10.00  PkD1
Manila Academy     $10.00  InD
The Iliad          $10.00  PkD3
Bold Embrace       $10.00  PkD2
Explosive One      $10.00  PkD2-IR2
Parousia           $10.00  InD-PkD2-IR2-SR2
Longeron           $10.00  IR2
Woodbine           $10.00  SR3
Full Strike rate results for all priced winners ....
-Intelligence Rating: All 708 Races
 Top Pick 25.71%, Top 3 57.49%.
-Speed Rating: All 708 Races
 Top Pick 25.00%, Top 3 52.54%.

Only the better priced winners and full results summary for the half month are shown here, due to post size restriction.
The full detailed results of 2nd half of September 2014 are found on our site.
http://ratings2win.net.au

#20

1st October 2014, 11:24 AM

Michal

Member

Join Date: Oct 2005

Posts: 1,007

Sep 2014 EOM

End of Month Figures

Intelligence Rating

1220 Races
Win SR Top Pick 25.2%
Win SR Top 3 56.7%

All Races 72,570+
Top pick win 26.8%
Top 3 win 58.4%

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