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  #11  
Old 26th January 2010, 02:54 PM
beton beton is offline
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lomaca
There is an obvious edge even it you only use as a choice between two runners Beton
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  #12  
Old 26th January 2010, 03:42 PM
lomaca lomaca is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by beton
lomaca
There is an obvious edge even it you only use as a choice between two runners Beton
Yes, I know what you mean, but I really don't want to give away too much on the forum only to find it sold as a "System" soon after posted.
There is a line between being open to all and sundry and going behind the forum to divulge info to only certain members.

It would be unfair to both the forum proprietors who pay for all this and to the other members as well, so I prefer to give a hint and others can do the research themselves once the way is pointed out to them. May I add that you will find the % rate of barriers on the net but not which ones are the profitable ones.

(incidentally I can't explain why some barriers at certain tracks ARE better than others, I'm in the process of studying all tracks to make sense of it, but sure as I sit here, others have already done it and profiting from it!)

Good luck

Last edited by lomaca : 26th January 2010 at 03:45 PM.
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  #13  
Old 26th January 2010, 04:01 PM
beton beton is offline
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LSB. Obviously some statistically minded soul saw value in researching this in the UK. Had the brains to think of it and do it then allowed it to be freely be copied on the internet. The key is to get a base of barrier wins in specific fields at specific distances. and then sort out for rail placement. A chore but I think well worth it. Beton
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  #14  
Old 26th January 2010, 04:10 PM
lomaca lomaca is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by beton
allowed it to be freely be copied on the internet. The key is to get a base of barrier wins in specific fields at specific distances. and then sort out for rail placement.
there you go then!
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  #15  
Old 26th January 2010, 04:40 PM
beton beton is offline
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lomaca
I just ran figures for 1000-1050M EF 10 runners. Only 20 races in my database.B1 only 1 win, B9 for 4 wins and B2 the only positive @3%. Too small a sample. Beton
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  #16  
Old 26th January 2010, 06:29 PM
lomaca lomaca is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by beton
lomaca
I just ran figures for 1000-1050M EF 10 runners. Only 20 races in my database.B1 only 1 win, B9 for 4 wins and B2 the only positive @3%. Too small a sample. Beton
my last word on the subject, forget EAF on any distance any BPos for profit on the Bpos. criteria alone.
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  #17  
Old 26th January 2010, 07:30 PM
Reckless Reckless is offline
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Re: earlier posts on UK track bias.

Beware of old information re: these. I have seen UK publication saying many biases noted have changed or been eliminated by course works at the different courses in recent times.
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  #18  
Old 26th January 2010, 08:36 PM
lomaca lomaca is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by lomaca
my last word on the subject, forget EAF on any distance any BPos for profit on the Bpos. criteria alone.
slight corrections for Ea Farm, in all those negative returns I missed this one.

Bp 5, Dist 1600, Wins 21, Races 179, POT $49.00, Win% 11.73.
sorry
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  #19  
Old 30th January 2010, 02:56 PM
AusPunter79 AusPunter79 is offline
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Todays Wide Barrier Runners:

Benalla Race 7: #10 Very Suave (2nd - $3.00)
Kembla Grange Race 6: #9 Military Secret (Unplaced)
Flemington Race 7: #2 Absolute Faith
Randwick Race 8: #3 Madibagold
Ascot Race 8: #6 Real Honour

Last edited by AusPunter79 : 30th January 2010 at 03:17 PM.
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  #20  
Old 31st January 2010, 05:42 PM
Reckless Reckless is offline
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The Lightning Stakes result provided a very good illustration of barrier stats.

The winner Nicconi came from the most outside gate (10) and second Wanted came from barrier 1.

Both of these barrier positions have outstanding stats at Flem 1000 metres.
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