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Old 10th June 2006, 11:58 AM
Sportz Sportz is offline
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Experimenting with a new rating method at the moment, so I thought I'd post them here and see how they go. I must say that I don't necessarily agree with what the ratings came up with in every race, but I'll post them all the same. I'm not sure how they'll go if the track gets severely rain affected today. As I said, they're purely experimental, so be wary.

Ratings are out of 100. I generally use a cutoff point of 40 points to find the major winning chances. As a guide, horses rated 80+ are strong winning chances, horses rated 60-79 are good winning chances, horses rated 40-59 are fair winning chances and horses rated less than 40 are only outside winning chances. But you can look for value in all the rated runners if you wish. I've been looking at multiples with the top 3 or 4 rated runners for 1st and the next 3 or 4 for the placings.

E.FARM R1 - RTNG - ODDS
4 VERY CANNY - 73 - $3.8
3 PENTATHON - 70 - $4.0
1 DEVASTATING - 45 - $6.2
6 SIR COUP - 43 - $6.5
----------
9 ABU SIMBEL - 25 - $11.2
12 MY CHINESE KING - 17 - $16.8
14 OLIVER'S MAGIC - 12 - $24.0
5 HOFMEISTER - 10 - $28.0

E.FARM R2 - RTNG - ODDS
11 MESMERISING - 77 - $3.7
3 LISTEN PAL - 45 - $6.2
1 KING OF SOUL - 40 - $7.0
----------
2 PARTY EXPRESS - 37 - $7.6
9 DARKSIDE LASS - 33 - $8.4
6 PARTRIDGE - 32 - $8.8
4 TYCOON ROSE - 15 - $18.7
5 LOUGHNAN - 15 - $18.7

E.FARM R3 - RTNG - ODDS
11 MYSTIKOS - 77 - $3.7
1 BECKS - 73 - $3.8
10 BITABIFF - 48 - $5.8
9 SOLID AS A ROCK - 47 - $6.0
---------
5 BUZZ - 20 - $14.0
6 CHASIN' TAIL - 20 - $14.0
3 GENERAL PATTON - 13 - $21.0

E.FARM R4 - RTNG - ODDS
2 ASTOUNDED - 83 - $3.4
----------
1 ANGEL GIRL - 37 - $7.6
7 DIAMONDS AM I - 30 - $9.3
4 LUNA PRIDE - 27 - $10.5
9 PLACHUTTA - 27 - $10.5
14 SWEET AS - 23 - $12.0
3 CHARMANA STAR - 23 - $12.0
17 PREY FOR PEACE - 20 - $14.0
12 PERRINI - 17 - $16.8

E.FARM R5 - RTNG - ODDS
5 STARLACTIC - 85 - $3.3
9 A LITTLE NAUGHTY - 52 - $5.4
----------
2 LEONE CHIARA - 38 - $7.3
10 MISS MOONEY MOONEY - 38 - $7.3
3 KING REX - 23 - $12.0
6 HELTER SKELTER - 18 - $15.3
1 IMPRISONED - 18 - $15.3

E.FARM R6 - RTNG - ODDS
1 BELMONTE - 97 - $2.9
3 ICE CHARIOT - 63 - $4.4
20 ALLOW - 50 - $5.6
----------
2 KINCHARM - 28 - $9.9
11 MASTER DENIS - 22 - $12.9
14 LOANHEAD - 15 - $18.7
8 CAPE BRETON - 10 - $28.0
13 JUST GRAND - 10 - $28.0

E.FARM R7 - RTNG - ODDS
8 COG HILL - 63 - $4.4
7 SHANIA DANE - 55 - $5.1
----------
12 HARD TO CATCH - 32 - $8.8
20 LA MONTAGNA - 28 - $9.9
3 ST BASIL - 27 - $10.5
16 LA SIZERANNE - 27 - $10.5
11 BLACK INK - 18 - $15.3
14 DAUNTING LAD - 18 - $15.3
1 RED OOG - 10 - $28.0

E.FARM R8 - RTNG - ODDS
4 ANCA - 78 - $3.6
5 MOSSO - 62 - $4.5
2 SINGLE ROSE - 42 - $6.7
11 ACCARDO - 42 - $6.7
----------
14 FEELIN DANDY - 22 - $12.9
1 EMIT TIME - 20 - $14.0
3 DULACCA DIVA - 18 - $15.3
6 FABIARNA - 13 - $21.0

What do you think of them? Are these ratings anywhere near close to the mark???

Last edited by Sportz : 10th June 2006 at 12:01 PM.
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