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  #11  
Old 7th September 2004, 04:51 PM
darkydog2002 darkydog2002 is offline
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Moeee.Theres some truth in what you say but the recommended wagering FROM these sites is to concentrate on the top rater at 15 - 18 points and as good or better than their assessed price.
Following that recommendation as I say is a long time between drinks as in 90 % of cases they are lower than their assessed price.
Probably better to follow YOUR advice I think.
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  #12  
Old 7th September 2004, 07:28 PM
xptdriver xptdriver is offline
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Gday All..
Betting the overs... now ya talking...

IMHO it is the only way to bet and make a profit consistently. Not sure about 115% of YOUR assessed price tho. I think a good safe way go for 150% of YOUR assessed price ( or your ratings provider's price)

I don't concentrate on the horse I rate on top... my ratings aren't that good to be able to make a profit by doing that. The way I have found successful for me is concentrate on the horses I have rated between $1.10 and $9.90 and bet only if I can get 150%. My minimum div is $3.00 I won't bet odds on or take under 3 bucks. It has served me in good stead. The thing to remember with ratings is they are an indication only.. Some days good some days ordinary..... ah but thats the punt.




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  #13  
Old 8th September 2004, 03:08 AM
Bhagwan Bhagwan is offline
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Heres a simple method of rating a price of your own.

Jot down the win percentage of the
5 pre-post Favs from a Good track condition performances only. (I have found this a good way of comparing apples with apples.)

In other words ignor it`s past performance over Fast, Dead, Slow & Heavy tracks only target it`s wins on a good track.

Once you have the percentages ,convert to a price.
This is how I do it.
E.G. 50% win on good track conditions only, would be 100 divided by 50=2/1 chance or $3.00.
40%=2.5/1=$3.50
30%=3.30/1=$4.30
25%=4/1=$5.00
20%=5/1=$6.00
10%=10/1=$11.00

You will notice I have rated the percentage outcome 1 point higher than expectation to its past history, if history were to repeat itself.
We are trying to instill some value here.

Bet all these Mules if price is same or longer than your accessed market.

Try this out on Fields of 8-12 runners only,where the whole field has had 2 starts+
Otherwise no bet that race.

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  #14  
Old 16th September 2004, 03:48 AM
Bhagwan Bhagwan is offline
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Hi XPT
I tend to agree with that .

Another simple way of framing your own market is take the prices from the newspaper & deduct 0.5-1 pt off the price shown, treat the shortest price as a min of $3.20 even if it indicates shorter than that.

Focus on the 1st 5 pre-post Mules


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  #15  
Old 16th September 2004, 04:08 AM
Bhagwan Bhagwan is offline
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Once you have jotted down your 5 priced accessd mules to your price that it needs to be, we now divide our price into say $15
e.g. if your accessed price is $5.00 we divide that into the said $15=O/L$3.00 on that mule if its paying greater than $5.00
Another in the same race may be say
$7.00=O/L$2.00

Do the same for the others if the actual price shown before jump, is greater than our assecced price

If all are paying more than your assecced price, bet all 5 (rare)


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