Thanks Chrome. I guess although your stats relate to metrop only they would hold pretty much fo all venues would they not?

I have posted this Fav plan on this site .
Look up- Favorite Next Race Plan or Next race Fav Plan

The idea is to wait for a TAB fav to get up at that venue before one comences betting at level stakes on the next TAB Fav.
We allow a max of 4 outs at that venue before ceasing betting at that venue for the day.

We Stop betting at that venue once one of our Favs gets up.(This is very important)

If you see a race where there are 2 FAVS at the same price(RARE) ignore that race , pretend it did`nt exist & continue on to the next race.

Now do the same for all the other venues on the day.

If you look at our old posting ,we ran it for a number of days which produced a good profit.

It still produces a profit .

Check it out.

__________________
Cheers.

Hey Bahgwan

That is exactly what i did (look at my post under "dutch betting staking plan" this morning when i said i went to the local),
I waited till a fav got up at melbourne race x and then left it out of my selections for the next race race Y at that venue, i read your post on this before, its a little ripper, thats what gave me the idea.
So it you that i have to thank for that "lucky fist full of fifties", not the gods.

Cheers
Dingo

Where on earth do you get the 80% from ?????

I agree, as 80% of the TAB money goes on in the last 10 minutes or less, it's obvious if you stand in any TAB and just watch. Half of them scribble anything like it's a keno ticket or just back the favourite on the screen.

You are saying that the intelligent money goes on first.?That you actually lean over peoples shoulders in the TAB and look at their betting slips.???That simply by looking around you can prove that 80% of people dont understand form guides??

No, I'm not saying the intelligent money goes on first, but 80% of the money goes on in the last few minutes and the reason why it's 80% is that the large punters try to stop the TAB punters following the big bets, because they know the general punters will follow the money rather than the formguide.

This is why it happens for the big punters this way. The TAB punters simply bet race to race at the last minute (the majority, not all).

No I don't lean over people's shoulders, I'm sure I'd cop a fair whack if I did, but you get to know the regulars at all TABS in the local area over many years, and most of them are creatures of habit, who do the same thing day in day out, making the same decisions and mistakes over and over.

Have a look at discarded cards on the counter and you'll see what I mean, or stand behind a window and most mistakes are punters picking scratchings by not even looking at the fields!!!

I wish I had a dollar for every time I heard this converstation:

TAB AGENT: "Number 6 is a scratching mate."
CUSTOMER: "Oh sorry, ummm (turns to odds screen) I'll take 5 instead."

I'm saying 80% of people in TAB agencies don't.

Am I right with the following?
Assuming an 8 race programme then you would need a favourite to win in the first 4 races for the plan to be followed. If the fifth race was the first one where the favourite won then there would only be 3 races left in the day which would not provide you with your max number of outs.

I must admit I don't see how this method can work in the long run since I can't work out why betting within a meeting gives you an advantage. I am sure if you simply follow the races in a day and simply bet on the favourite after the first favourite has won during a day then in the end you would lose....so why would it work for a single meeting?

I'm not saying I'm for or agin' this plan and I'm only going on a hunch here but it seems to me you have some meetings where favorites win race after race and others where favorites seem to miss out. A heavy track for example may cut the number of favorites. I guess if you wait for a favorite to win it may push the chances of this plan working in your favour.

QUOTE
No, I'm not saying the intelligent money goes on first, but 80% of the money goes on in the last few minutes and the reason why it's 80% is that the large punters try to stop the TAB punters following the big bets, because they know the general punters will follow the money rather than the formguide.


So correct CP, usually the Smokey is bet early to get the sheep following and then at the last second the REAL MONEY goes on the correct nag.

That's why I bet the way I do, not every race obviously, and somedays nothing shows up.

Midweeks 100% better than main meetings.