Smartgambler
Pro-Punter

Go Back   OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums > Public Forums > Horse Racing
User Name
Password
Register FAQ Search Today's Posts Mark all topics as read

To advertise on these
forums, e-mail us.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #21  
Old 9th February 2005, 09:34 PM
Duritz Duritz is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 956
Default

one thought - why doesn't the decimal chance total add up to 1.00?
Reply With Quote
  #22  
Old 9th February 2005, 09:35 PM
Duritz Duritz is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 956
Default

I am talking to myself here, and worse still, I don't know the answers. I do love maths sometimes though. Great challenge for the mind. Really makes it stretch.
Reply With Quote
  #23  
Old 9th February 2005, 09:37 PM
Duritz Duritz is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 956
Default

Actually, they do add up to one. The chances of each combination do. Problem is there were some dead heats, which I didn't account for.

BRB
Reply With Quote
  #24  
Old 9th February 2005, 09:43 PM
Duritz Duritz is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 956
Default

OK with dead heats accounted for, these are the decimals:

A - 0.53
B - 0.41
C - 0.06

and odds therefore are a matter of dividing those into 1, because those add up to 1.

For those who couldn't be bothered, however, here is one I prepared earlier:

ODDS

A - $1.89
B - $2.45
C - $15.75

OK - I reckon that is RIGHT. I reckon, given those outcomes, those are the TRUE ODDS of each of those jockeys WINNING the jockey challenge.

SIGH!

Thoughts, anyone?

I am going to get a glass of red.
Reply With Quote
  #25  
Old 9th February 2005, 10:35 PM
Sportz Sportz is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 12,027
Talking

Having a good conversation with yourself???
Reply With Quote
  #26  
Old 9th February 2005, 10:39 PM
mugwump mugwump is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 5
Default

Now that you've had your Cab Sav, can you put it all in a nutshell so I can win some money?
Reply With Quote
  #27  
Old 9th February 2005, 10:55 PM
Duritz Duritz is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 956
Default

Mugwump yeah not really. Would need to write the program bigger. Wrote it merely for the possibilities only of this example.

Oh yeah, and it's shiraz.

Duritz
Reply With Quote
  #28  
Old 14th February 2005, 09:14 AM
moeee moeee is offline
Suspended
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Melbourne
Posts: 5,359
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sportz
Think you're getting yourself confused Mo. If not, you're certainly doing a good job on the rest of us!


Don't you worry Buddy.
I'll make up for the mess during the Footy season.
Reply With Quote
  #29  
Old 14th February 2005, 09:24 AM
moeee moeee is offline
Suspended
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Melbourne
Posts: 5,359
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Duritz
one thought - why doesn't the decimal chance total add up to 1.00?


Most likely because of a slight hiccup!
Or the vine expelling some of those fermented gasses!
Reply With Quote
  #30  
Old 14th February 2005, 07:26 PM
moeee moeee is offline
Suspended
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Melbourne
Posts: 5,359
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Duritz
ODDS

A - $1.89
B - $2.45
C - $15.75

OK - I reckon that is RIGHT. I reckon, given those outcomes, those are the TRUE ODDS of each of those jockeys WINNING the jockey challenge.

SIGH!

Thoughts, anyone?



Yes my good man.You are spot on.
Prices being quite close to the original starting prices of the mounts.
And that,boys and girls is how it is done.
So with 8 races of 12 starters each,the permutations are somewhat daunting.
Can I borrow your calculator Filante?
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On
Forum Jump



All times are GMT +10. The time now is 06:19 PM.


Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.0.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
©2008 OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved . ACN 091184655