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#1
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![]() I was looking at http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=6234
and I noticed 2 different methods to get odds for dogs based on average time. One was a rating method and the second was using monte carlo analysis. I decided to make an automated excel spreadsheet which when after entering the dog's names in a race. I click a button and will grab the career data of every dog in the race from GRV and give me a dogs career avg mps (Meters per second) and the standard deviation. Then I added another function which would simulate 20000 races and the results would appear on the sheet in about 2 minutes. This would give me a second set of odds and I believe that the monte carlo analysis is more accurate than the 1st rating method using 100*(0.94^hundreths of a second behind winner). I created the spreadsheet inside 2 hours and if anyone is interested just e-mail me with a request. |
#2
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![]() Hi kennedy,
I'd love to take a look at it thankyou. racestats at hotmail dot com Cheers.
__________________
RaceCensus - powerful system testing software. Now with over 417,000 Metropolitan, Provincial and Country races! http://www.propun.com.au/horse_raci...ng_systems.html *RaceCensus now updated to 30/04/2025 Video overview of RaceCensus here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W821YP_b0Pg |
#3
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![]() would love a copy
please send to aussiestable @ yahoo dot com dot au |
#4
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![]() I would love a look at the system
garbo10 |
#5
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![]() Count me in!
thebookie @ hotmail.com |
#6
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