I was looking at http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=6234
and I noticed 2 different methods to get odds for dogs based on average time. One was a rating method and the second was using monte carlo analysis. I decided to make an automated excel spreadsheet which when after entering the dog's names in a race. I click a button and will grab the career data of every dog in the race from GRV and give me a dogs career avg mps (Meters per second) and the standard deviation. Then I added another function which would simulate 20000 races and the results would appear on the sheet in about 2 minutes. This would give me a second set of odds and I believe that the monte carlo analysis is more accurate than the 1st rating method using 100*(0.94^hundreths of a second behind winner).

I created the spreadsheet inside 2 hours and if anyone is interested just e-mail me with a request.

Hi kennedy,

I'd love to take a look at it thankyou.

racestats at hotmail dot com

Cheers.

__________________
RaceCensus - powerful system testing software.
Now with over 409,000 Metropolitan, Provincial and Country races!
http://www.propun.com.au/horse_raci...ng_systems.html
*RaceCensus now updated to 31/10/2024
Video overview of RaceCensus here:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W821YP_b0Pg

would love a copy

please send to aussiestable @ yahoo dot com dot au

I would love a look at the system
garbo10

Count me in!

thebookie @ hotmail.com

Please

onesouthlandman @ hotmail.com

Ok i have sent to the people who have requested it. I sent it to all at the same time so check in the bulk, spam or junk inboxes just in case thats where it ended up.

Thanks Kennedy much appreciated.

Very nice work.

__________________
RaceCensus - powerful system testing software.
Now with over 409,000 Metropolitan, Provincial and Country races!
http://www.propun.com.au/horse_raci...ng_systems.html
*RaceCensus now updated to 31/10/2024
Video overview of RaceCensus here:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W821YP_b0Pg

Would also like a copy.
'good4th@hotmail.com'

__________________
Never give up

Thanks for this as it looks very useful.

I have only started investigating the possibilities of how to use this but if anyone does come up with a good staking plan or finds it useful for exacta, quinellas, trifectas, etc, please post it.

I will start playing with this tonight ... thanks again.