Okay, I've been experimenting with something for a little while now, compiling a list of class ratings for horses racing in Australia. I guess it's similar to what they have in PPM if any of you have seen that. It's a combination of the very best horses in Australia and some others that I think could be winning in the next few weeks. I'll be updating the list before every major meeting, and using the ratings as a guide to racing on major metropolitan meetings. I've come up with some betting plans for using on the ratings and we'll see how they go. Today's list and details of the betting plans can be found in the attached file at the bottom of this post. Take a look.

Now, here are today's rated runners:

HORSE ________________ CLS. _____ WT. _____ DISTANCES/TRK _____ BEST DIST/TRK

BE DELICIOUS _________ 48.5 _____ 100 _____ 1100-1650 G-S _____ 1400-1650 G-D
COFFEESHOPRUMOURS ____ 46.0 _____ 104 _____ 1000-1550 G-S _____ 1200-1350 G-S
DIAMOND JAKE _________ 51.0 _____ 109 _____ 1600-2850 G-S _____ 2100-2850 G-S
EL MAN GOSS __________ 48.0 _____ 106 _____ 1000-1250 G-H _____ 1000-1150 G-H
EXPUNGE ______________ 52.0 _____ 110 _____ 1600-2850 G-H _____ 1800-2850 G-S
FLYING PEGASUS _______ 52.0 _____ 106 _____ 1000-1350 G-S _____ 1000-1250 G-D
FUMBLE _______________ 51.5 _____ 107 _____ 1000-1450 G-D _____ 1100-1250 G
GENEBEL ______________ 50.5 _____ 106 _____ 1600-2850 G-S _____ 2100-2850 G-D
MAXERELLE ____________ 49.5 _____ 105 _____ 1000-1650 G-H _____ 1000-1450 G-D
NYAVIREZI ____________ 49.5 _____ 105 _____ 1000-1250 G-S _____ 1000-1150 G-D
RA SUN _______________ 52.0 _____ 110 _____ 1000-1250 G-H _____ 1000-1150 G-H
ROKOCOKO _____________ 47.0 _____ 105 _____ 1200-1650 G-S _____ 1300-1650 G-S
SEUL AMOUR ___________ 49.0 _____ 107 _____ 1400-2550 G-S _____ 1800-2250 G-S
SNAPPY TOM ___________ 49.0 _____ 107 _____ 1000-1250 G-H _____ 1000-1150 G-S
SORENSTAM ____________ 50.5 _____ 106 _____ 1000-1650 G-H _____ 1000-1450 D-H
TOMMIFRANCS __________ 52.0 _____ 110 _____ 1400-2550 G-H _____ 1800-2550 G-H
VANQUISHED ___________ 51.0 _____ 109 _____ 1600-2550 G-D _____ 1800-2550 G
WATCHYERBACK _________ 52.0 _____ 110 _____ 1000-1450 G-S _____ 1000-1250 G-S
WILLIE COMMAND _______ 46.0 _____ 104 _____ 1600-2550 G-S _____ 1800-2250 G-S

Attached Files

ClassRatings.xls (70.5 KB, 539 views)

Todays selections from the major plans:

Plan 1:
Flem R1 - 1 Be Delicious
Flem R3 - 5 Rokocoko
Flem R4 - 1 El Man Goss
Flem R6 - 3 Expunge & 4 Tommifrancs
Flem R7 - 6 Ra Sun & 7 Watchyerback
Flem R8 - 1 Willie Command
Flem R9 - 3 Sorenstam
Rand R5 - 1 Vanquished
Rand R6 - 1 Presently & 8 Flying Pegasus

Plan 2:
Flem R1 - 1 Be Delicious
Flem R3 - 5 Rokocoko
Flem R4 - 1 El Man Goss
Flem R6 - 4 Tommifrancs
Flem R7 - 7 Watchyerback
Flem R8 - 1 Willie Command
Rand R5 - 3 Seul Amour
Rand R6 - 7 Fumble

Plan 3:
Flem R1 - 1 Be Delicious
Flem R3 - 5 Rokocoko
Flem R4 - 1 El Man Goss
Flem R6 - 4 Tommifrancs
Flem R7 - 7 Watchyerback
Flem R8 - 1 Willie Command
Rand R5 - 3 Seul Amour
Rand R6 - 7 Fumble

Other plans' selections

Plan 6:
Flem R3 - 6 Coffeeshoprumours
Flem R6 - 4 Tommifrancs & 12 Genebel

Plan 7:
Flem R1 - 1 Be Delicious
Flem R3 - 6 Coffeeshoprumours
Flem R4 - 1 El Man Goss
Flem R6 - 4 Tommifrancs
Flem R7 - 12 Snappy Tom
Rand R5 - 1 Vanquished
Rand R6 - 13 Nyavirezi

Plan 8:
Flem R4 - 1 El Man Goss
Flem R6 - 3 Expunge
Rand R5 - 1 Vanquished

Sorry. A couple of errors with horses on the first file attachment. Here's an updated correct version.

Attached Files

ClassRatings.xls (70.5 KB, 476 views)

Hmmm, I must admit I was worried about Race 3 in Melbourne. Not good.

These ratings are a work in progress and I'll monitor them as I go and keep trying to tighten them up. I think I was too lenient today and included a few runners that are lacking in class. Rokocoko and Coffeeshoprumours were the last 2 horses I included in the ratings today and obviously, I should have left them alone. I think it will pay to be wary of those runners with low class ratings (around 45-47). I might have to delete those in future and only include runners with class ratings of 48 or more.

Worried about Honalee in R7 in Melbourne now that the track's dried out.

Just as I thought.

Yep. Good idea.

I made an omission from my earlier post. Sorenstam was a selection for Plan 2 as well as Plan 1. These were the results from today, using Unitab divs:

Plan 1:
Flem R1 - 1 Be Delicious $1.70
Flem R3 - 5 Rokocoko
Flem R4 - 1 El Man Goss $3.40/$1.70
Flem R6 - 3 Expunge & 4 Tommifrancs $2.30/$1.50
Flem R7 - 6 Ra Sun & 7 Watchyerback
Flem R8 - 1 Willie Command
Flem R9 - 3 Sorenstam $2.40/$1.10
Rand R5 - 1 Vanquished $3.10/$1.80
Rand R6 - 1 Presently & 8 Flying Pegasus
Out 18 units, In 23.5 units

Plan 2:
Flem R1 - 1 Be Delicious $1.70
Flem R3 - 5 Rokocoko
Flem R4 - 1 El Man Goss $3.40/$1.70
Flem R6 - 4 Tommifrancs $2.30/$1.50
Flem R7 - 7 Watchyerback
Flem R8 - 1 Willie Command
Flem R9 - 3 Sorenstam $2.40/$1.10
Rand R5 - 3 Seul Amour
Rand R6 - 7 Fumble
Out 18 units, In 19.6 units

Plan 3:
Flem R1 - 1 Be Delicious $1.70
Flem R3 - 5 Rokocoko
Flem R4 - 1 El Man Goss $3.40/$1.70
Flem R6 - 4 Tommifrancs $2.30/$1.50
Flem R7 - 7 Watchyerback
Flem R8 - 1 Willie Command
Rand R5 - 3 Seul Amour
Rand R6 - 7 Fumble
Out 16 units, In 14.8 units

Plan 6:
Flem R3 - 6 Coffeeshoprumours
Flem R6 - 4 Tommifrancs $2.30/$1.50 & 12 Genebel
Out 2 units, In 1.15 units

Plan 7:
Flem R1 - 1 Be Delicious $1.70
Flem R3 - 6 Coffeeshoprumours
Flem R4 - 1 El Man Goss $3.40/$1.70
Flem R6 - 4 Tommifrancs $2.30/$1.50
Flem R7 - 12 Snappy Tom
Rand R5 - 1 Vanquished $3.10/$1.80
Rand R6 - 13 Nyavirezi
Out 7 units, In 10.5 units

Plan 8:
Flem R4 - 1 El Man Goss $3.40/$1.70
Flem R6 - 3 Expunge
Rand R5 - 1 Vanquished $3.10/$1.80
Out 3 units, In 6.5 units

Total: Out 64 units, In 76.05 units

Not too bad I guess. If I hadn't been quite so lenient and included those 3 lower rated runners today, I would have made a handy profit with all of the plans.

Around 23% pot better than bank interest

Actually Doc, it's only about 19%. But still okay for the first day.