#1
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![]() Just out of interest from Sunday 1 Jan I looked at TAB no.1 where there is a 'b' and secondly, a 'c' against its name. The only filter I used was to delete the 'b' selections if it was returning from a spell, and for 'c' selections if it was having its second run from a spell. The results are quite encouraging even with NSW TAB divvies. At a quick glance it seems the country meetings have a better strike rate, but with only a handful of races it is impossible to say if this is really the case.
'b' System (beaten fave at last start) 20 selections for 9 winners returning a total of $27.00. 19 selections (one race was no-place betting) for 13 placegetters returning a total of $20.30. 'c' System (won at today's distance at today's track) 17 selections for 8 winners returning a total of $28.50 17 selections for 11 placegetters returning a total of $20.10 If anyone is interested, today's selections are: 'b' System. Randwick R5 no.1 - Fox Lake Sandown R2 no.1 - I command Sandown R7 no.3 - Shades of Laughter Dombeen R6 no.1 - Daunting Lad Morphetville R4 no.1 - Grace and Power. Gold Coast R6 no.1 - Helter Skelter Toowoomba R2 no.1 - Clever Cat Ascot R7 no.1 - King Wally 'c' System Randwick R4 no.1 - Old Mystique Randwick R6 no.1 - Turaga Dombeen R6 no.1 - Daunting Lad Gold Coast R6 no.1 - Helter Skelter Ascot R2 no.1 - Idyllic Prince Ascot R3 no.1 - He's Smoking Hopefully it won't crash today. |
#2
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![]() Ran your B system from June 2004 to 2/1 2006.
Selections = 3189 all meetings Win POT loss 26.2% Place POT loss 19.7% By the way, Fox Lake doesn't meet your B requirement of no 1st uppers. Below is what I thought met your systems today. Hope I'm right. B SYSTEM 7/01/2006 12:30 Sandown Lakesi 2 1 I Command ** 7/01/2006 2:02: Morphettville 4 1 Grace And Power ** 7/01/2006 3:50: Sandown Lakesi 7 1 Shades Of Laughter ** 7/01/2006 4:14: Gold Coast 6 1 Helter Skelter ** 7/01/2006 4:27: Toowoomba 2 1 Clever Cat ** 7/01/2006 5:15: Fannie Bay 2 1 Tonsawine ** 7/01/2006 6:37: Ascot 7 1 King Wally ** C SYSTEM 7/01/2006 2:10: Randwick 4 1 Old Mystique CS 7/01/2006 3:25: Ascot 2 1 Idyllic Prince CS 7/01/2006 3:30: Randwick 6 1 Turaga CS 7/01/2006 3:41: Doomben 6 1 Daunting Lad CS 7/01/2006 4:05: Ascot 3 1 Hes Smokin CS 7/01/2006 4:14: Gold Coast 6 1 Helter Skelter CS 7/01/2006 4:37: Fannie Bay 1 1 Rattletrap CS 7/01/2006 5:05: Toowoomba 3 1 Sandy Jack CS 7/01/2006 6:17: Esperance 5 1 Bar Screamer CS 7/01/2006 6:25: Fannie Bay 4 1 Gatto Uccello CS 7/01/2006 6:56: Esperance 6 1 Little Fella CS 7/01/2006 7:03: Fannie Bay 5 1 Kappa CS |
#3
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![]() Sorry Michaelg
Those selections I sent are correct as best I can tell but the analysis is incorrect. Still shows a loss however.( B System ) Loss for the win of 17.4% and loss for place of 14.2%. Does show a win on fast tracks only but not enough action with only 62 selections for the 18 months. Has a win of 31.3% and place loss of 2.1%. Best of luck with whatever you decide to do with it. |
#4
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![]() Hi, Surround - thanks for the info even though the results are not what I was hoping for. Maybe with certain filters it might be better...
We differ with a few selections. I'm looking at the Telegraph for my info. With method B, Fox Lake is not resuming from a spell, and both I Command and Daunting Lad are definite selections according to the Tele. I don't have any info on Fannie Bay or Esperance. With method B, Toowomba R3 no.1 is resuming from a spell so I have omitted it. Because we are obtaining our info from sources that differ, our selections will therefore not agree. Let's see how the Tele fares. I am keeping seperate records for non-city races to see if they are worthwhile. |
#5
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![]() An old system I read about years ago said back TAB no 1 if it was carrying at least 2 kgs more than the next horse.
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#6
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![]() Hi, Dr Ron.
I seem to think that system was looked at here but it did not perform. Maybe I am wrong and someone will correct me? |
#7
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![]() Probably has an ok strike rate but the low divis would kill it.
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#8
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![]() "The only filter I used was to delete the 'b' selections if it was returning from a spell, and for 'c' selections if it was having its second run from a spell."
I took that to mean for the "C" selections that it couldn't be having it's 2nd run from a spell. My program shows T'ba race 3 is 1st up from a spell of 287 days and not 2nd up as per the rules. Yes you are right in what the different media class as a spell. Fox Lake has had 67days off by my program. But we'll always have different selections by using different sources I'm sure. Good luck |
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