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  #1  
Old 14th September 2006, 11:09 AM
Oaksnaf Oaksnaf is offline
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Default Last Start Winners System

Im Looking for some value that gives each-way betting a chance.

Im tossing and turning to whether select mid-week racing or not. As I haven't done the research to show whether its a viable option or not.

*The horse obviously must have won on its last start.
*Must not be tipped by selectors
*Must not be returning from spell

*If more than two selections in the one race - pick the longest odds.


From Flemington on Saturday:

Races 6
Winners 0
Placings 3

But those placings were at $12.40 (R1), $3.30 (R3), $7.50 (R4)

Not bad at all.

Randwick

Races 1
Winners 0
Placings 0

Belmont

Races 3
Winners 0
Placings 0

Eagle Farm

Races 6
Winners 1 $19.60 (Race 3) $4.10 the place
Placings 0

Cheltenham

Races 2
Winners 0
Placings 0

So total

Races 18
Winners 1 $19.60
Placings 3 $12.40, 3.30, 7.50, 4.10 (Winners place payment)

Each-way betting

Lay: $36
Return: $46.90

Not bad for a little bit of a play.
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  #2  
Old 14th September 2006, 11:54 AM
Oaksnaf Oaksnaf is offline
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Im certainly not going to back them. But here are the qualifiers for today

Mornington

Race 5 #13
Race 7 #2

Hawkesbury
Race 9 #5,10

Ballina

Race 3 #1
Race 4 #4
Race 5 #9
Race 6 #7
Race 7 #4
Race 8 #7
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  #3  
Old 14th September 2006, 05:16 PM
Oaksnaf Oaksnaf is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Oaksnaf
Im certainly not going to back them. But here are the qualifiers for today

Mornington

Race 5 #13
Race 7 #2

Hawkesbury
Race 9 #5,10

Ballina

Race 3 #1
Race 4 #4
Race 5 #9
Race 6 #7
Race 7 #4
Race 8 #7


Mornington

Winners 0
Placings 1 $3.70 (race 7)

Hawkesbury
Winners 0
Placings 1 $4.80 (#10 was scratched)

Ballina

Winners 1 $2.10 (Race 4) $1.10
Placings 0

Lay:$18
Return: $11.70
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  #4  
Old 16th September 2006, 11:54 AM
Oaksnaf Oaksnaf is offline
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Today's Selections:

Ararat
Race 8 #13
Race 9 #11
Race 10 #9

Moonee Valley
Race 4 #6
Race 7 #2
Race 9 #17

Rosehill
Race 1 #7
Race 3 #8
Race 5 #10
Race 6 #13
Race 9 #10

Kembla Grange
Race 6 #3

Doomben
Race 1 #4
Race 4 #4
Race 5 #8
Race 6 #14
Race 7 #6
Race 8 #4

Morphetville
Race 1 #8
Race 3 #8
Race 4 #8
Race 8 #11

Yikes a little too many selections. But nonetheless ill see how they go.
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  #5  
Old 16th September 2006, 04:39 PM
Oaksnaf Oaksnaf is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Oaksnaf
Today's Selections:

Ararat
Race 8 #13
Race 9 #11
Race 10 #9

Moonee Valley
Race 4 #6
Race 7 #2
Race 9 #17

Rosehill
Race 1 #7
Race 3 #8
Race 5 #10
Race 6 #13
Race 9 #10

Kembla Grange
Race 6 #3

Doomben
Race 1 #4
Race 4 #4
Race 5 #8
Race 6 #14
Race 7 #6
Race 8 #4

Morphetville
Race 1 #8
Race 3 #8
Race 4 #8
Race 8 #11

Yikes a little too many selections. But nonetheless ill see how they go.


Results:

Ararat:
Races 3
Winners 0
Places 0

Mooney Valley
Races 2 (Race 9 scratching)
Winners 0
Places 0

Rosehill
Races 5
Winners 0
Places 1 $4.20

Kembla Grange
Races 1
Winners 0
Places 0

Doomben
Races 6
Winners 1 $21.00 - $5.30
Places 1 $1.70

Morphetville
Races 4
Winners 1 $14.00 - $3.70
Places 0

Lay: $42
Return: $49.90
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  #6  
Old 16th September 2006, 04:53 PM
manygeese manygeese is offline
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wasn't Dirtere (r4 Doomben) returning from a spell?
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Old 16th September 2006, 04:57 PM
Oaksnaf Oaksnaf is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by manygeese
wasn't Dirtere (r4 Doomben) returning from a spell?

Didn't say so in the form guide (herald sun) I was looking at.
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  #8  
Old 17th September 2006, 07:02 AM
manygeese manygeese is offline
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It was 78 days since its last start. Depends how long a spell is. Personally have trouble regarding that sort of break as current form. Six weeks is stretching it.

4 Dirtiere 1-10 2.5L, Mackay, 6Jy06, 1050m, 2y Hcp, Open 2, (2), $9000 ($12800), Good, I Toward, 9, Cd 58.0, (54.0), 1:01.40, 4/6F, S -, 12 -, 8 -, T -, 2-Let's Not 55.5
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