Smartgambler
Pro-Punter

Go Back   OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums > Public Forums > Horse Racing
User Name
Password
Register FAQ Search Today's Posts Mark all topics as read

To advertise on these
forums, e-mail us.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #1  
Old 8th January 2007, 10:56 PM
Merriguy Merriguy is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 609
Default American Racing

Has anyone tried making a dollar from the U.S. races? Betfair churns them out all night (and early morning); but there is little (no) mention of them in these posts?

And, while speaking of Betfair, those English races (common) of over a $1 Million invested ---- does that mean Betfair are taking in 5% of half that on every race? Boy if they are then it is little wonder that they are getting awards for economic development and achievment.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 10th January 2007, 09:51 AM
scraggerwest scraggerwest is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2007
Posts: 1
Default

You can make money from the US - particularly as the tote takeouts have been reduced by most states. It is best to bet with an offshore operator for multis, although they cap payouts, which is no good for superfecta or pick 6 wagering. The best of the offshore operators is Pinnacle which offers rebates of between 5% and 7%. Ehorse is another. The key to winning in the US is to monitor the win pools in the last 2 minutes. Like some states of Australia, if you follow jockey / trainer combo's or jockeys and trainers with high strike rates you can generally make a reasonable earn. Another key factor is understanding the race handicapping. I generally only bet on the A class tracks such as Santa Anita, Del Mar, Hollywood, Oak Tree, Oak Lawn, Churchill Downs, Arlington, Hawthorne, Turfway and Gulfstream Park and NYRA tracks - Saratoga, Aqueduct and Belmont during the northern summer.There are arbing opportunities with Betfair, BetDaq and more recently Ehorsex. I don't do form, ratings or handicapping. I average around 7% profit p/a. An excellent site (free data) for statistics is thorostats.com. Good luck if you intend venturing into US racing.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 10th January 2007, 10:25 AM
crash crash is offline
Suspended.
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: gippsland lakes/vic
Posts: 5,104
Default

Good info.
I'm looking at overseas punting possibilities too. There is just not enough punters here to maintain a decent standard of racing for the number of weekly meetings run. Low standard racing [including Sat. for most of the year] has created a very difficult handicapping mish-mash, as very few horses have any form or class consistency from one prep. to the next [Just look at the rubbish races and horses to try to pick a winner from today. Wed.].

The whole show here has become one big mess and the new rating handicapping system has all the owners and trainers outraged while leaving us punters even more clueless.
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 11th January 2007, 06:12 PM
Merriguy Merriguy is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 609
Default

Thanks guys for the replies.

Am with you in most of what you say, Crash. I was just thinking that there must be something one can do with all the races that apparently take place over there!

Thanks for all those thoughts, too, Scraggerwest (wherever did you get that name?). They give me a lot of starting points for what I will need. Appreciated.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 12th January 2007, 11:23 AM
mad mad is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2005
Posts: 898
Default

Yep, been at it for a while now.

As Crash already elluded to, the quality and consistency here is insufficient, particularly midweek, to sustain my interest and profitability. However between decent Provincial, Metro and the U.S a few little nuggets 'o gold can easily be found. I use Pinnacle too and find them to be as good as any, have heard of eHorse but never used them myself.

However i'm a form student, tried and true, and find "racereplays" and "TSN" to be sufficient providers of the required info. Scragger's list of tracks is spot on. Their is enough quality racing at these tracks on any given day to be worried with the others.

Might have to start a U.S racing thread soon.

Best of luck.
__________________
I like Bing Lee.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 13th January 2007, 01:44 PM
Merriguy Merriguy is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 609
Thumbs up

Thanks, Mad. Interesting!
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 13th January 2007, 05:29 PM
crash crash is offline
Suspended.
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: gippsland lakes/vic
Posts: 5,104
Default

Might be a good idea about a US racing thread there Mad.
I was so bored with todays metro. offerings I only had 3 bets [2 in Melb. and 1 on the G.coast]. I am a form student first and foremost as my main interest in racing and I'm rapidly losing the desire to even bother here anymore with the garbage being offered up in OZ.

The 'no metro wins' rubbish at Sandown last Sat. was a good example of what we are now putting up with. Why was it a 'no metro wins' day? Because it was able to attracted a lot of runners [due to the amount of metro racing over Xmas, there would have only been very small fields otherwise] and a bigger turnover and profit for the TAB. No other reason. We are going to see a lot more of it and it sucks!
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 14th January 2007, 02:57 PM
mad mad is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2005
Posts: 898
Default

I know how you feel Crash, however i enjoyed the idea of the Sandown meeting last week, as something different as opposed to the quality of racing on offer. Wouldn't like it every week though.

I suppose it's difficult to have non-stop group racing but essentially that's what started me on my quest to find alternatives. First and foremost i find race replays to be the key for me. Hence i now find most of my wagering following this pattern. The U.S has a good replay service "racereplays.com", TVN provides Melbourne and Sydney metro (and the odd Provincial now too), and the Hong Kong Jockey Club has free replays on it's site. Quick review of a form guide highlights potential punting prospects and the replays confirm, or perhaps more importantly, eliminate potential losing prospects. It must be added that some of these services cost a few $$$$, but from personal experience, well worth every cent.

Similarly, in keeping with my replays are king theme, i have been harassing Sky Channel and more recently Tabcorp in order to get them to produce this service. After originally being told to acquire a 3G mobile phone as the solution to my queries, i recently received an e-mail suggesting that such a service is in the works. Whether or not it ever eventuates, well we'll have to wait and see. This is encouraging news for those of us that can't stay up late to watch the replays on TV.

Anyways, enough rambling from me. I'll post a few American form guides here for you to peruse. Racereplays are good for results, free signup.

Unfortunately this site can't support files of this size, however if you'd like to have a look-see at a few Yankee form guides drop me an e-mail at: madmaher@bigpond(dot)net(dot)au
__________________
I like Bing Lee.

Last edited by mad : 14th January 2007 at 03:00 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 22nd January 2007, 10:05 AM
Merriguy Merriguy is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 609
Question

Just to bring this thread back to the top!!!

Does anyone know if the American races ever start on time? They always seem to start about ten minutes late! Am I missing something here? Makes it difficult to make any 'last minute' decisions.
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 22nd January 2007, 10:28 AM
Mark Mark is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Qld
Posts: 1,410
Default

Merriguy

I think it's more that Betfair get the times wrong, and don't bother updating the times if any change. I've seen them start 20 minutes early and up to 45 minutes late.

ESPN gives a more accurate starting time. Don't forget that video and radio are also delayed. I've been caught laying bets when they're starting to load and the race gets suspended because they've jumped.

Good luck to anyone 'doing the form' for US races. IMO they are the most inconsistent and supsicious races to bet on.
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On
Forum Jump



All times are GMT +10. The time now is 10:57 PM.


Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.0.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
©2008 OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved . ACN 091184655