Smartgambler
Pro-Punter

Go Back   OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums > Public Forums > Horse Race Betting Systems
User Name
Password
Register FAQ Search Today's Posts Mark all topics as read

To advertise on these
forums, e-mail us.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #1  
Old 27th January 2007, 04:22 AM
Bhagwan Bhagwan is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,428
Default Take the money & run plan

Here is a plan that producers a good percentage of winners & the odd double digit payer. Without any form study.

RULES
1) Target the top 2 selections of your favorite source of tipsters
e.g. DFS , Sky Channel (available on-line) UniTAB ect.
These have a 36-45% SR on an average day.

2) Bet the one that has the WORST Wt rating as per say UniTAB
e.g. 100ptrs

3)Stop at the first winner each venue producers. This is important.

4) Do the same for each venue on the day.

It usually hits at least one out of 8 shots.
The reason why we target the worst rating is that they usually pay more than the better rating of the 2 selections.
Lets face it , if the better rating got up every time , it would make racing dead easy, but it doese'nt work that way.

STAKING
1 1 1 2 4 6 9 12 = 36 units

Have 7 lots of 36 units = 252 units.
This covers 56 bets

If the winner pays less than expected , accept the small loss & stop betting at that venue.
Restart at 1 unit.

If we strike 8 outs in a row, write it off & start again at 1 unit.
It usually recovers outstanding losses with a few good priced winners along the way of future bets.

It can be run as one continuious bet, venue to venue or seperate staking for each individual venue.

A winner greater than 2/1 will make it show profit.

The selections usually pay $3.50+ with the odd $10 winner.

The SR is definatly there, it rarely has a day where it doesnt hit upon a winner at each venue , especially in the first couple of races.

Work out ones results over each set of 100 bets, to see how its working for you.

Check it over some past results first, before betting real money.

Cheers.
__________________
Cheers.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 28th January 2007, 07:20 PM
kiwi kiwi is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: new zealand
Posts: 851
Thumbs up

One of your better Schemes Bhagwan, could be the one i'm after.
__________________
At the feast of ego everyone leaves hungry
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 29th January 2007, 09:59 AM
dingoboy dingoboy is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 241
Default

Hi BW,

Would it therefore be correct that you would just take the lowest number, as the top weighted nag is No1 60 kgs, second weight is No2 58 kgs and No3 57.5 Kgs etc, so if unitab/sky whatever has their tips as 1,3 and 2, we would be on the 1 automatically ?

Would you have a cut off price of say $12 or just take what is on offer ?

Seems to work though !

CHeers Dingo
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 30th January 2007, 12:43 AM
Bhagwan Bhagwan is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,428
Default

Hi Dingo,
The idea is to take the selection with the worst wt rating out of your tipsters top 2 selections e.g. 90pts over 100pts as per say UniTAB wt ratings

For example , there was a $9.20 winner at Terang race 3. Mon 29th
It had the worst rating out of the top 2 tipster selections.

A more concervative staking approach is ...
1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 = 20 units

Cheers.
__________________
Cheers.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 30th January 2007, 07:35 AM
dingoboy dingoboy is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 241
Default

Thanks,

That seems to be a good one,

Some nice dividends.

Cheers D
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 30th January 2007, 07:20 PM
leroy leroy is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2005
Posts: 146
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bhagwan
Hi Dingo,
The idea is to take the selection with the worst wt rating out of your tipsters top 2 selections e.g. 90pts over 100pts as per say UniTAB wt ratings

For example , there was a $9.20 winner at Terang race 3. Mon 29th
It had the worst rating out of the top 2 tipster selections.

A more concervative staking approach is ...
1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 = 20 units

Cheers.
Would it work if you just took the selection with the highest odds, say 5mins before jump.Or when too close to split then go lowest rating?

Cheers
Leroy
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 30th January 2007, 09:44 PM
Bhagwan Bhagwan is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,428
Default

It should work just as well, not all Favs win, therefore it stands to reason that the other selection stands a good chance of scoring at least 1 win in 8

Go over some previouse results.

Remember to stop at that venue as soon as 1 winner is struck.

Cheers.
__________________
Cheers.
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 1st February 2007, 09:05 AM
darkydog2002 darkydog2002 is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Nov 1999
Posts: 4,332
Smile BHAGWAN

A mate and I are making a killing with this one.

Thank you.

Cheers.
darky.
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 1st February 2007, 11:48 AM
AngryPixie AngryPixie is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Posts: 1,070
Thumbs up

Interesting Bhagwan. I like the simple ones

What do you do if they both have the same WT rating?

Last edited by AngryPixie : 1st February 2007 at 11:51 AM.
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 1st February 2007, 12:21 PM
Bhagwan Bhagwan is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,428
Default

If they have the same Wt rating.
One has to make there own guestimate about that one.

Maybe take the shorter price of the two, rightly or wrongly.

Fortunatly, this does'nt occure too often.

Past results have favoured the shorter price of the two where the Wt rating is the same as one another.

Cheers.
__________________
Cheers.
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On
Forum Jump



All times are GMT +10. The time now is 05:04 AM.


Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.0.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
©2008 OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved . ACN 091184655