very tough day not sure what the track is going to be like or what sort of bias there will be during the day my guess is outside is where you want to end up towards the back half of the day. I am going to work with a slow rating but I have heard it could be even better than that so I am just not sure.

Race 1: I have a couple I don't mind here High Academy probably slightly ahead of Bohemian Dancer and Skyleda and my old man has been telling me not to leave out Abu Simbel so for that fact I will include in my thoughts. they all have a bit of wet track form. This first race is going to be a bit of a guessing game I will look for a bit of value would probably want to get double figures on any of my selections although I might be willing to go shorter for High Academy maybe around $8.

Race 2: I like one of my favs here Roman Squire his last run was very nice a real powerful win I think Pengelly got this horse to improve by a few lengths really hit the line with a bit in hand, The danger to Roman Squire might be Wings of Seraph has some wet track form and i really liked the way it got home in a fairly run race last start. Roman Squire is my bet here I would like to get as close to $5 as I can probably don't really want to go any lower than $3.50 might have a little e/w on Wings of Seraph if it is up around the $20 mark.

Race 3: Not interested here to be honest smallish field lacking anything that i really like the fav loooks hard to beat but Mohawk has a little bit of ability if he got out over $25 i might be tempted to have a go here. doubtful betting race Mohawk the only one I would consider and he would have to be big odds.

Race 4: I have had a long hard look at this race and the one I keep coming back to is Primal Impulse the jockey does worry me a little but I will give her a chance, The other horse I would consider is Tenshi a horse over from a good stable in Adelaide form doesn't look to bad and this is not a strong race. Primal Impulse looks hard to beat but certainly isn't a certainty would entertain Tenshi at $10 or better.

Race 5: I amnot interested here at all as a betting prospect Falvalea might be a rough sort of hope agains the favs but not about to throw any money on it. No Bet

Race 6: terribly hard race I could give a chance to just about anything in the race,
#1 Xcellent has more ability than any of these but eighteen months off the seen with stemcell surgery is a big ask if at his best he could easily blow these away a repeat of his mudgway wins this IMO.

#2 Malcolm can't be treated as a chance on his last run it was awful and if anything he went backwards in the straight no hope for mine.

#3 Mitanni his form is good but my query with him is maybe he is coming to the end of his tether he has had a long capaign I am just thinking that he may have already produced his best.

#4 Gee I Jane I had been told was flying in NZ and was supposed to really give this race an almighty shake but she has not fired a shot here although I have heard excuses and maybe they are warranted and although she wouldn't surprise me I couldn't have her.

#5 Black Ink he is a place chance in this he just can't finish off 1400m properly IMO a place I would nearly expect however a win would really shock me.

#6 Gold Edition all the talk this morning it almost sounds like they are going to hand this race to this horse or atleast try to I just hope this is not a trot and canter if she wins then good on her but atleast do it on her meritts not have the race handed to her, I do still feel she is a query at 1400m but she might not have to run 1400m and if that is the case she might prove hard to run past.

#7 Royal he is a good honest horse always puts in and doesn't go to badly on wet tracks his 1st run here was pretty good when I didn't think he was asked to do to much and drops 5.5kgs on that effort he has raced well in good company before and will be hitting the line in this race.

#8 Stormhill thought this was a great run 1st up in brissie interesting they are going 2nd up into this race he can sit up near the pace I feel he will sit 2nd or 3rd and try and peel off them as they straighten I think at some point in the straight he will hit the lead whether he can hang on to it I amnot sure he is a horse I wouldn't leave out of anything you do though.

#9 Hard to Catch I just can't have him on the wet track he wanted this bone dry

#10 Shinzig he has never shown his best in Australia can't see this being the day he does

#11 Reigning to Win quality horse trained by one of the best in the business but since his 1st win here over 1400m I thought he had raced very flat to be honest even in the win at doomben it wasn't impressive, I really feel this guy would have to lift to be winning this.

#12 Benedetti I have heard a few people spruiking this guy but his melbourne form is nothing to go ga ga over and sure he won in Dubai but what sort of quality was it anyway I'd be happy to leave him out personally especially 1st up.

#13 Daunting Lad No hope I feel

#14 The Jackal he is the one I see putting a little pressure on Gold Edition he pulls so hard everytime he races interesting that Patillo is riding it today I can't have him though you can't do the amount of things wrong this guy does and get away with it in these races.

#15 Mr Ubiquitous he was a chance in therain stuck around and he could still run a nice race but can't see him troubling them to much.

#17 Smart and Mighty can't have him either was beaten pointlessly last week no hope IMO.

#18 Magic Marvo backed him for a place in last years stradbroke this year it wouldn't shock me if he ran last needed to have a few more runs under his belt I thought.

#19 Nova Star she is in the best form of her career she has never been consistent but she has been this prep really hitting the line hard back in brissie she is a blowout chance in this on her last win even though no horse has never won that double.

#20 Sniper's Bullet I have thought since his 1st up run this bloke is a major chance in this with the weight he has he meets his other 3yo counterparts so much better and although it can be argued he hasn't got the credentials the others do he hasn't been far off them with bad luck in some of the good 3yo races in the sydney, he has been set for this race all along and is going to be tough to hold out.

#21 Snort he is a horse i liked a bit as a youngster but he is a frustrating horse always seems to be able to find trouble and for that reason I stopped even looking at the horse, he is a rough chance in this but I think he would need all the favors to get there.

Sniper's Bullet I am already on and happy with that after that I am looking at the likes of Royal Ida, Nova Star, Stormhill all pretty much equal for me and will probably have a trifecta with those 4 and maybe a couple of others hard race and good luck to everyone in it

Race 7: This is a tough derby to work out but I will look for value and the 3 I am looking at are Resolution, King of the Nile & Volcanic Star they all look good odds and seem decent e/w bets depends on how I am travelling at this point as to who I back. right now I am thinking that I will have something e/w on King of the Nile and Resolution but if going well enough will probably have a stab at Volcanic Star aswell as I thought his last run was full of meritt and he should have won.

Race 8: there are 2 I like here Hasta La Ciao Ciao and Stylish Qualo the 1st I think could end up near fav and the other is a roughie that could rattle over the top of them if they went crazy up front although it is up in class a bit here. Hasta La Ciao Ciao I was hoping to get around the $6-$7 range but I can't see that happening as everyone has been tipping the horse $5 would be my limit outside of that will probably have a stab e/w at Stylish Qualo.

Good luck for the day guys to hard for me to give a best or anything right now might come back later on and do it.

Very tough day Raw.

1st race has more duck eggs in it than the lake I live on in Spring!
I'll go Syleda and Point made.

2nd. Old Belvedere gets his chance here after 2 big runs and fitter for this one. The toppy with the claim will be the big danger out in front and might be hard to run down in the condt.

3rd. Stolit bit off more than he could chew last start and will relish back to this class. 4th. start in too. Stirring, even with the 57kg. the main danger.

4th. Primal Impulse is ready for a win and finally gets a decent barrier and will love the SLOW.

5th. Key Bar Nights, Falontime, Miss Watagan
6th. Reigning to Win or Storm Hill if gold Edition puts a foot wrong out front.
7th. Fort n' won for me with Empire's Choice the danger

8th. Forget the fav. Hasta La Cio Cio as it will be too short. Like Sheezvalue and Sir Monashee.

The bookies will win on the day most probably, but you never know:-))

Cheers.

Race 1,
A few in this that are evenly rated,,not a race for me to get excited about.High Acacedmy and Skyleda the two that will like the sting out..if the track wasnt rain affected i'd be all over Point Made who was very brave last start in a way harder race..its a very good drying day again with this wind around but untill i see the track i'll be taking it easy,,,
Race 2 ,
Old belvedere will apreciate this track,,Roman Squire with the big strides mightnt be to suited on this surface,,,,these look the two with Old Belvedere at least backable..
Race 3 ,
Stirring looks to good for these,,the improver Main Vein shouldnt be ignored.,this is the one that will sit off Stiring and try and run her down..I'm a fan of the jockey so i might have something on at the odds,,
Race 4,
I was super keen on Clevergaze before the rain....I think Donbodine interesting in this,,has been working well likes the slow and should sprint well fresh,,,not a race i'm keen on,,,
Race 5.
The two obvious horses alittle unders imo.KeybarNights the better of the two,,,i went looking for value and thought Falcontine a good e/w ,,the horse doesnt run a bad race and from the barrier will get the sit just behind Miss Watagan...
Race 6,
I'm already on geeiJane and although not super confident i still think she can run a cheeky race ,,she has the good barrier in the big field and has a good sprint at the end..if they are getting into the track this will suit even more...
I'll be trying to jag that 1st4 ...with horses like Royal Ida, Blackink,Goldy,Mitanni, Nova,RTW,Mitanni..and Snipers all in there somewhere....not sure what order because i want to see how this track plays..
Race 7,
I'm a fan of FortnWon,,,the horse should have won last start with clear running i'm not a massicve fan of the jockey as i think he takes wrong options to many times for a top jock,,but hes always been set for this and i should get around 10s,,,Sirmione and theseo the main dangers ahead of Empires Choice,,,
RAce 8,
thought Sir Monashee peeling out wide a big show at odds in this,,,Hasta has had probs..Sheezavalue will have to do some work early and i dont think leading will be the place to be this time of the day....

Best, Old Belvedere, FortnWon
Best e/ws, Falcontine, MainVein, Sir Monashee

Melbourne
Arctic Silver, our Apache, willie Comand
Gold Coast
Bringelly, Mr Mister (watch track)
Adelaide
Pride of Archway, Madam Lush

R1
dud race, skyleda, if its around $8.
R2
Old Belvedere/ Wings of Seraph
R3
Mohawk
R4
Clevergaze
R5
Miss Whatagan
R6
Mitanni*, Snort/Shinzig/malcolm/black ink, for second & third
R7
Empires Choice
R8
Stylish Qualo*, Words Of Magic

Best
Miss Whatagan
Mitanni
Stylish Qualo.

The best bet at Eagle Farm today is Race 3 No.1 Stirring. Stirring jumped in class up to a 3yo quality last start and led and held on very well for 3rd behind Cocktail Supreme and Sniper's Bullet (both of which would massacre this field).

Has ability on slow tracks as evidenced by her 2nd race start where she won by 6.5 lengths in maiden class, running 2 seconds quicker than the other maiden that day.

She looks far too good today and any price above $1.5 is a good bet.

Hey Raw,

Good days racing, as it always is on Straddy day. Shame about the track being rain affected, but we can't really complain about the rain up here.

Race 1 - Like Devastating here. He doesn't like it when its firm now, but when the sting is out of the track, he seems to improve sharply. I think that in this field he can go close. Skyleda is obviously the danger given his wet track form. Byrne knows him well, so he'll just get him outside of horses and come right down the outside. High Academy is some sort of a chance, but i can never seem to get him on his day. He's been wide the trip at his last couple, so i'll give him another chance.

Race 2 - I'll stick with Roman Squire here, though the time he ran last start doesn't appear to be all that quick. Given that he is stepping up in distance and handles the wet, i'll leave him on top. Old Belevedere for 2nd. He handles the wet and it was a good run last time, the drop back in journey might suit him and he is right in this. And for 3rd i'll stick in Telegrand who is a mud-runner. He'll get to the outside and be running on into a hole at the death.

Race 3 - I'll go with Main Vein here. Has been winning in very good style in easier races his last couple. This isn't the strongest 3yo race you'll ever see so i think its a nice race for this bloke. Obviously the danger is Stirring who put in a top run in strong company last time and appears suited on the level weights here. Nice quinella i think. For 3rd i'll stick in Easy Rocker who has been running well in Toowoomba lately.

Race 4 - Really like Primal Impulse here. Loves Eagle Farm, goes well at the distance and can perform in the wet. Gets all the ticks for me. 6 or 7-1 is a nice price too. Aim So High is the danger for mine. Has gone well fresh in the past and can run good time on his day. Clevergaze for 3rd, who can run on well at the death if there is some good speed on.

Race 5 - Don't mind Key Bar Nights here. Its a bit of a guessing game with the wet, but this was a top run last time and if she holds that level, she is in this up to her ears. Falvalea can improve off the last run if she gets some luck. The run prior to that was super and a repeat would see her very competitive. Atomic Huss has ability also, and if she runs to her best, is a rough chance.

Race 6 - Think Xcellent is the one here. If he can handle the track and it isn't too chopped up on the fence by the time this race comes around, i think hes just too classy. It doesn't appear to be the best straddy, so i think that even with all the time off, he can win this. His win in the Mudgeway was super, and a repeat of that should see him home. Black Ink is a top chance if they ride him a bit cold. They led for some reason last year in this race and he race a great 5th, but i think he's better suited ridden cold and steaming home. Handles the wet nicely too, which is a bonus. Royal Ida is a super chance too, now that he comes to the bigger EF track. Handles the wet and might be the forgotten horse today. Chance at odds.

Race 7 - Don't mind Fort 'n' Won here. Has been ticking over nicely, the one problem is, though, he hasn't won a lead-up race yet. However, he gives ever impression that the extra ground will suit him nicely, and he has won in the wet before (with a lot of weight, too). So at good eachway odds, he'll do me. Sirmione grows a leg in Brisbane it seems. So if there is speed on, he is definately the testing material. Really like him. Resolution ran a good race at Doomben last time and he also ran well in the Derby over the ditch. If he can handle the ground, he is certainly there with a good chance.

Race 8 - Like Stylish Qualo here. I think that if he gets back with the speed on, he can storm down the extreme outside and win. Hasta La Ciao Ciao is the class of the race and can easily win this by 2 or 3 but i just don't like her at the 1000m...think its a little short to be confident. Top chance on class alone tho. Sequallan is good in the wet and can run time when he wants to aswell. Don't let him sneak under the guard.

Good days racing today with my best being Devastating, Primal Impulse and Xcellent with a good rough chance being given to Stylish Qualo in the last.

Good luck everyone,

Sven

Race 1 - 8 Skyleda

Race 2 - 3 Roman Squire

Race 3 - 1 Stirring

Race 4 - 7 Primal Impulse

Race 5 - 5 Key Bar Nights

Race 6 - 20 Snipers Bullet

Race 7 - 2 Theseo

Race 8 - 13 Sir Monashee

geez Roman Squire was short today ended up putting him in an all up couldn't see any value anyother way really

how good was the win though raw

Lets have some fun: 5.1.3.10 for the exacta and tri. in r5