Smartgambler
Pro-Punter

Go Back   OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums > Public Forums > Horse Race Betting Systems
User Name
Password
Register FAQ Search Today's Posts Mark all topics as read

To advertise on these
forums, e-mail us.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #1  
Old 3rd December 2007, 01:07 PM
stugots stugots is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 879
Thumbs up betfair

had a fair spell off the punt for the 1st time in years, partly due to ei, partly due to having had enough.

back as of last monday laying away on betfair & the obvious change, which i am sure many here have also noticed, is that the pools esp on ordinary midweek events have increased greatly - case in point the 1st at taree today, a dirty old maiden (one of my fav's) - there was $15k matched with 5min till the jump.

i rarely remember pool sizes like that prior to my break, could be due somewhat to the reduced number of meets, but still its great to see & so far i have found it much easier to get set at the prices i am after.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 3rd December 2007, 01:15 PM
King Cugat King Cugat is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 326
Default

Stugots

Still run by a 'few' though in regards to 'stacking' bets midweek. They can get away with it midweek. I am refering to those that stack a few thousand on the lay side to keep the price down then jump over to the bet side to catch those poor unsuspcting out by laying. This works vice versa when they want to get on i.e. stacking the bet side to push prices then jump over a the end to 'get on' at a hopefully inflated price. It happens everywhere i know (sharemarket etc) If you can see past these few & most regulars will, i still rate betfair as the best betting tool in the market in regards to following the smart money.
I did enjoy watching the mug chase the punters from $2.30 >> $2.54 and then some before they jumped in the 1st @ Taree...... he got smacked!
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 3rd December 2007, 01:43 PM
stugots stugots is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 879
Default

kc, interesting points you make, do notice some "strange" happenings from time to time,

as to the fav in the 1st at taree, had the mare clearly & easily rated on top & was happy to lay around it esp the 7 - last placings all 7 - they never win!
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 3rd December 2007, 02:31 PM
stugots stugots is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 879
Default

the 7's thing was a joke btw, just being silly whilst having a good day

still if anyone could run the numbers just out of interest - no7 & last 3 placings = 777
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 4th December 2007, 03:40 AM
Chrome Prince Chrome Prince is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 4,415
Default

Got whacked well and truly by a horse in England that had two duck eggs next to it and was 7/1.
I thought surely this horse was underpriced in a flat race at Wolverhampton.
It led all the way and just clung on.

As for the market manipulators both here and in the UK, the risk is tremendous.
Application freeze, pc freeze, Betfair goes down, Internet goes down, some bookie plonks on the overpriced (to him) favourite.
Another manipulator is waiting for the manipulee's money.
All a recipe for disaster.

If you browse the forum, it's obvious a few have been caught out recently.
__________________
RaceCensus - powerful system testing software.
Now with over 413,000 Metropolitan, Provincial and Country races!
http://www.propun.com.au/horse_raci...ng_systems.html
*RaceCensus now updated to 31/01/2025
Video overview of RaceCensus here:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W821YP_b0Pg
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 4th December 2007, 04:08 PM
baco60 baco60 is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Gold Coast
Posts: 157
Wink

What's up Chrome UK racing not doing the best or just UK favourtes are?
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 4th December 2007, 04:28 PM
Chrome Prince Chrome Prince is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 4,415
Default

I was laying around the favourites, because of recent results.

I just found out that form goes completely out the window at Wolverhampton, it's a synthetic tight track and some horses fire there and others don't, perhaps one should stick to laying favourites there only
__________________
RaceCensus - powerful system testing software.
Now with over 413,000 Metropolitan, Provincial and Country races!
http://www.propun.com.au/horse_raci...ng_systems.html
*RaceCensus now updated to 31/01/2025
Video overview of RaceCensus here:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W821YP_b0Pg
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On
Forum Jump



All times are GMT +10. The time now is 10:40 AM.


Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.0.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
©2008 OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved . ACN 091184655