Smartgambler
Pro-Punter

Go Back   OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums > Public Forums > Horse Race Betting Systems
User Name
Password
Register FAQ Search Today's Posts Mark all topics as read

To advertise on these
forums, e-mail us.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #1  
Old 5th December 2008, 01:16 PM
thorns thorns is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2007
Posts: 446
Default Radio TAB selections

Does anybody have the figures for the place SR of the top RadioTAb tips? How much of a loss do they make in the long term?
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 5th December 2008, 01:38 PM
crazybadger crazybadger is offline
Suspended invalid e-mail address
 
Join Date: Aug 2008
Posts: 19
Default

Edit: Wait I found a bug in my code and it was retrieving incorrect data. Will go fix that before I start giving stats...

Last edited by crazybadger : 5th December 2008 at 01:41 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 5th December 2008, 02:08 PM
crazybadger crazybadger is offline
Suspended invalid e-mail address
 
Join Date: Aug 2008
Posts: 19
Default

Fixed. Here's my data for Jan - Oct 2008:

Top One Tab Tip
Selections: 12636
1st: 3232 (25.58%)
2nd: 2136 (16.9%)
3rd: 1717 (13.59%)
Not Placed: 5551 (43.93%)
Avg Win Price: 4.16
Avg Plc Price: 1.73

Top Two Tab Tips
Selections: 25271
1st: 5528 (21.87%)
2nd: 4178 (16.53%)
3rd: 3481 (13.77%)
Not Placed: 12084 (47.82%)
Avg Win Price: 5.24
Avg Plc Price: 1.92

Top Three Tab Tips
Selections: 37834
1st: 7192 (19.01%)
2nd: 5987 (15.82%)
3rd: 5163 (13.65%)
Not Placed: 19492 (51.52%)
Avg Win Price: 6.29
Avg Plc Price: 2.11


Races without Tab Tips are excluded.
Some races have only 1 or 2 tips. In these cases only the horses listed in the tips are counted.
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 5th December 2008, 02:21 PM
crazybadger crazybadger is offline
Suspended invalid e-mail address
 
Join Date: Aug 2008
Posts: 19
Default

2007:

Top One Tab Tip
Selections: 14240
1st: 3655 (25.67%)
2nd: 2509 (17.62%)
3rd: 1951 (13.7%)
Not Placed: 6125 (43.01%)
Avg Win Price: 4.19
Avg Plc Price: 1.7

Top Two Tab Tips
Selections: 28475
1st: 6210 (21.81%)
2nd: 4804 (16.87%)
3rd: 3887 (13.65%)
Not Placed: 13574 (47.67%)
Avg Win Price: 5.25
Avg Plc Price: 1.89

Top Three Tab Tips
Selections: 42568
1st: 8157 (19.16%)
2nd: 6774 (15.91%)
3rd: 5820 (13.67%)
Not Placed: 21817 (51.25%)
Avg Win Price: 6.3
Avg Plc Price: 2.07


Races without Tab Tips are excluded.
Some races have only 1 or 2 tips. In these cases only the horses listed in the tips are counted.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 5th December 2008, 03:22 PM
Sportz Sportz is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 11,983
Question

Okay, what's going on? Surely there must be something amiss with those figures? Either that or I'm not reading them correctly or something.

Because otherwise, I declare that you've found the holy grail!!!
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 5th December 2008, 05:20 PM
stugots stugots is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 879
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sportz
Okay, what's going on? Surely there must be something amiss with those figures? Either that or I'm not reading them correctly or something.

Because otherwise, I declare that you've found the holy grail!!!



lol, just what i was thinking - no1 tip has win s/r of 25.67% & avg divy of $4.19, im sure bhagwan has a staking plan to make those figures work
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 5th December 2008, 06:24 PM
crazybadger crazybadger is offline
Suspended invalid e-mail address
 
Join Date: Aug 2008
Posts: 19
Default

Haha no way gentleman. That average price is the average of all the win prices offered for the Top Tab Tip. Some of those can be outsiders and thus skew the results of the "average" price.

Maybe should have explained that first...in a few minutes I'll get that data back and tell you the average price of just the winners. My guess is that it will be around $3

Edit: On a site note its a good example why you shouldn't trust "average" figures because while that figure is 100% correct it does not represent the expected returns you would get using this system
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 5th December 2008, 06:31 PM
crazybadger crazybadger is offline
Suspended invalid e-mail address
 
Join Date: Aug 2008
Posts: 19
Default

Some more stats for you gents on that Top One Tab Tip for 2008 (just to prove it isnt that simple!)

Longest Wining Sequence = 6
Longest Losing Sequence = 27
Average Win odds (all horses) = $4.16
Average Win odds (just winners) = $3.15

Big difference there
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 5th December 2008, 06:47 PM
Sportz Sportz is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 11,983
Default

Yeah, that's more like what I would have expected.

Damn, we'll have to keep searching for that holy grail.
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 5th December 2008, 07:40 PM
stugots stugots is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 879
Wink

dang, & here i was getting set for a big one tomorrow...
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On
Forum Jump



All times are GMT +10. The time now is 12:50 AM.


Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.0.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
©2008 OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved . ACN 091184655