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  #1  
Old 8th December 2002, 04:56 PM
Dowong Dowong is offline
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Hello keen punters

A recent past post titled "Value" made me think about a mechanical trifecta selection method using SP's. Every Topic correctly stated that the fav wins most of the time, 2nd fav comes 2nd most of the time, 3rd fav comes 3rd most of the time.
Have just quickly checked some results (not nearly enough) to see how this goes. So far so good.
In fields of 10 or more stand out the fav for 1st, 2nd-6th favs for 2nd and 2nd to 8th favs for 3rd.
Also stand out the 2nd fav to run 2nd with 1st-6th fav for 1st and 1st to 8th favs for 3rd.
Also stand out 3rd fav to run 3rd with 1st-6th favs for 1st and 1st-8th favs for 3rd.

You will get the trifecta twice sometimes and even 3 times when the favs run 1-2-3 in order. The big divs come when either the 2nd or 3rd fav comes in with the other 2 unplaced.

I suggest the bigger races with larger pools so prices don't fluctuate so erratically.

Is there any quick way of checking past results based on SP?

Regards

Dowong
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  #2  
Old 8th December 2002, 06:31 PM
Mr. Logic Mr. Logic is offline
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Sorry to disappoint you but I believe your method will lose long term. It is what I have seen many tote punters do. Stand out the favourite with a selection of other horses. Tote favourites wreck trifecta payouts because the tote wins every race. There is no simple, easy mechanical way to win at trifectas by just checking the tote prices shortly before they jump. I wish it was so easy. Then I wouldn't have to put in many hours of form study each week.
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Old 9th December 2002, 12:24 AM
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You would be better off finding races where you don't like the first two favs and then have a box trifecta with 3 horses for 1st, 5 for second and 6-8 for third. Like the major race at Doomben on Sat. At least then if you get it, the dividend will be healthy.
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  #4  
Old 10th December 2002, 01:27 PM
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To Dowong:see my post in the Betting Systems part of the forum,and let me know what you think.Regards,angel 416
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