OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums

23rd January 2011, 08:42 PM

gfalconer

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Join Date: Aug 2010

Posts: 1

Favourites

Hello to All

I have read with interest many of the posts in this forum over the last 2 to 3 years and obviously there are many "dedicated punters" around. I have an interest in favouites win %, being that is an reasonablly easy set of statistics to follow and record, and am working on a "theory" and was wondering if anyone could provide me with some statistics going back 2 or more years.

What I am looking for are some stats on Fav win % when compared with the number of starters in the race.

My method of keeping records is pretty basic and time does not allow me to record the number of runners in each race.

Any help would be greatly appreciated.

Graham

23rd January 2011, 09:53 PM

Shaun

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Join Date: Jan 1970

Location: Western Australia

Posts: 3,457

I don't have the answer but am sure it has been asked before, do a search of the forum and i am, sure you will find the answer.

24th January 2011, 04:24 AM

Bhagwan

Member

Join Date: Jan 1970

Posts: 2,428

Try Online system builder (Google)

Its a free Aust. interactive data base site , so maybe make your price $3.00 & less ,then go through the various field sizes for the last 2 yrs.

Another interactive data site is Adrian Massey (UK racing) (Google)
Also free.

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24th January 2011, 09:05 AM

darkydog2002 darkydog2002 is offline

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Join Date: Nov 1999

Posts: 4,332

Malcolm Knowles of inracing would have exactly what you require in one of his little booklets.

Cheers
Darcy

25th January 2011, 02:59 AM

Chrome Prince Chrome Prince is offline

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Join Date: Jan 1970

Posts: 4,426



Field Size Win Percentage Profit/Loss

    2            75.00%        +7.50%

    3            57.65%        -8.71%

    4            45.90%       -15.87%

    5            43.86%       -12.70%

    6            38.86%       -16.30%

    7            36.36%       -15.40%

    8            35.19%       -12.23%

    9            32.97%       -13.37%

    10           31.50%       -13.54%

    11           30.56%       -12.40%

    12           28.86%       -14.41%

    13           28.96%       -10.17%

    14           27.03%       -15.29%

    15           26.18%       -14.69%

    16           23.89%       -17.87%

    17           23.23%       -17.83%

    18           21.00%       -16.80%

    19           16.13%       -27.10%

    20           20.93%        -3.60%

    21            0.00%      -100.00%

    22            0.00%      -100.00%

    23            0.00%      -100.00%

    24         100.00%      +265.00%

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25th January 2011, 07:26 AM

Dale

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Join Date: Jan 1970

Location: Bundy

Posts: 292

My read on those figures is tht races with 8/9 to 13 starters are the ones worth looking at.

The returns are too small under 8 or 9 and the strike rate starts to suffer over 13.

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