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  #1  
Old 13th April 2011, 09:17 AM
moeee moeee is offline
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Default Wednesday Greyhounds

I'm slowly decreasing the Number of animals in my database.
The idea is that will I Rate less races due to the amount of time I spend per race is really making a mess of my Life in that there is simply too much neglect happening.

If I was making a buck it wouldn't be too bad, but I'm not , so I'm slowly working my way to eliminate more and more races and probably end up wagering only on City Tracks and Provincial FreeForAlls.

The MEADOWS Race 8

2 CLASSIC CITI $3.2
6 SERENE PASSION $4.8
1 DRIPSTONE $5.3
4 TROYUDEN $10
5 SASSI JAY $11
3 PEDRO'S MOBILE $14
8 RULLA SHAW $40

I've got Classic Citi as leading all the way.
Serene Passion will chase it and could gobble it up, and Dripstone runs on for a placing.
The rest make up the numbers, and only benefit if there is problems with the top 3, which there could well be in a Race of this somewhat poor Quality animals.

Market Odds will decide whether I have a try in this.
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  #2  
Old 13th April 2011, 11:07 AM
moeee moeee is offline
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Default WARRNAMBOOL Race 8

1 CREDIT CRUNCHER $3.5
8 VEE BEST VANE $3.6
2 RICH SHIRAZ $6.1
6 WALTER BALE $7.4
7 BAHMAN BALE $16
3 HARISON BALE $25
4 RIVER MISS $40
9 SURE ON PEDRO $80

I've got Credit Cruncher leading, and possibly run down by Vee Best Vane.
Rich Shiraz and Walter Bale are the only other place chances.
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  #3  
Old 13th April 2011, 01:30 PM
moeee moeee is offline
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Default Meadows Post Mortem

How can you have the top 3 selections run the Trifecta and still LOSE?
And further, how can you have the top 4 selections run the First 4 and STILL LOSE?

I figure if this was gallops , I'ld be doing fine, but it ain't, and I ain't

I'll be doing the Daily Double Races for Ballarat tonight, and I'll be concentrating heavily on what it is I am doing whilst I'm doing it.

What tends to happen, when you study the Form, the early studies reveal the MOST IMPORTANT Stuff.
Then later you hone down to the minor Form Factors to get a more accurate result.

What I'm doing, is the more I study, the more significance I am attaching to the minor details and allowing them too much weight and that is destroying my good work.

But it won't be happening at Ballarat.
If I get Ballarat wrong, its because I am simply STOOPID and have no idea of handicapping Greyhounds and Luck is the only reason I have a Bank Account.
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  #4  
Old 13th April 2011, 02:25 PM
moeee moeee is offline
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Default BALLARAT Race 6

7 DYNA VIV $3.4
2 BUREAUCRAT $3.7
6 HEY KOBYBOYN $5
4 HIZ GOT CHILLS $10
8 ZLATAN $16
5 LINUS BALE $20
3 INSPIRATOR $33

These Odds are as Exact as I can get them.
One thing I'm fairly confident of it the Exacta will come from this lot.
7,2 - 7,2,6
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  #5  
Old 13th April 2011, 04:39 PM
moeee moeee is offline
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Default BALLARAT Race 8

2 PROFICIENT $3.9
5 RYKER BALE $6.7
1 CRUISY'S COURAGE $7.4
7 SISCO DIAMOND $7.4
8 WARD BOND $7.4
3 ELLA PATCHE $8.3
6 LEKTRA BILLY $14

As can be seen, VERY OPEN
Mainly because there are bolk good beginners here, and the permutaions of who gonna lead is Infinite.

The slowest of the animals appear to be the Favourite, and #6 Lektra Billy.
What I feel is a good bet is to Box Quinella 5,1,7,8,3.
Or better still the 3 roughest of those 5 animals.
And to be safe, a Trifecta of the Favourite to beat those 3 animals.
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  #6  
Old 13th April 2011, 04:40 PM
lomaca lomaca is offline
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Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by moeee
7 DYNA VIV $3.4
2 BUREAUCRAT $3.7
6 HEY KOBYBOYN $5
4 HIZ GOT CHILLS $10
8 ZLATAN $16
5 LINUS BALE $20
3 INSPIRATOR $33

These Odds are as Exact as I can get them.
One thing I'm fairly confident of it the Exacta will come from this lot.
7,2 - 7,2,6
Hi moeee if there were 3 place divies I'd go for No 3 INSPIRATOR 1*10 each way. As it is it's too risky with 2 place div.

I think it's the sleeper in the race, but you pretty well covered the main chances.

Good luck with it.

Last edited by lomaca : 13th April 2011 at 04:43 PM.
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  #7  
Old 13th April 2011, 04:52 PM
moeee moeee is offline
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Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by lomaca
Hi moeee if there were 3 place divies I'd go for No 3 INSPIRATOR 1*10 each way.


I'll email you $10 for every animal it beats home, and you email me $5 for every animal that it don't.
Not that this Race is Class, but that animal is way up in Class, which sounds ridiculous when it is a Grade 4 and the others are Grade 5

And if it does do well, then there is another Lesson I need to learn - "WHEN YOU HAVE NO VISION OF AN ANIMALS RACES DON'T OPEN YOUR BIG MOUTH"
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  #8  
Old 13th April 2011, 05:00 PM
lomaca lomaca is offline
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Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by moeee
I'll email you $10 for every animal it beats home, and you email me $5 for every animal that it don't.
Not that this Race is Class, but that animal is way up in Class, which sounds ridiculous when it is a Grade 4 and the others are Grade 5

And if it does do well, then there is another Lesson I need to learn - "WHEN YOU HAVE NO VISION OF AN ANIMALS RACES DON'T OPEN YOUR BIG MOUTH"
Nah mate, if I were brave enough and sure enough I'd be putting money on it on the TAB.

It just bobbed up in my rating, as I said before I'm new to this and I respect your expertise. (that is ekspertise in case it's bleeped out)

Cheers
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  #9  
Old 13th April 2011, 05:11 PM
moeee moeee is offline
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Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by lomaca
Nah mate, if I were brave enough and sure enough I'd be putting money on it on the TAB.

It just bobbed up in my rating, as I said before I'm new to this and I respect your expertise.


Its a fair bet, means it only needs to beat 2 animals home for money back.

Tell me about your ratings.
Do I guess right that the Best Time on the track has a lot to do with it?
And that the Consistency on same has a lot to do with it?

Can I give you a tip where I continue to mess up but shouldn't?
Have a look at that animals lifetime Number of starts.
Have a look at that animals number of wins.
Have a look at that animals number of placings.

What its saying is , either the animal is chasing the lead dogs, which means you are good about it running a place tonight, or to me it means it ain't interested enough in the lure to be competitive against these animals.
But the most likely scenario is that the animal gets too far back and comes home much too late.
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  #10  
Old 13th April 2011, 05:17 PM
moeee moeee is offline
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Default WARRNAMBOOL Post Mortem

I messed up on the Trifecta and the First 4
Fortunately, I took a couple of Exactas with the top 2 selections to beat Walter Bale, becuse it was showing $16 or so near start time.

Don't you just hate when the Quinella pays more than the Exacta?
I always notice when the Winner is Odds On , that this situation is almost certain to occur, but not when the Winner is over $3

I'm still down $5 for the day that went missing on #6 Serene Passion.
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