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  #1  
Old 19th May 2011, 10:18 AM
moeee moeee is offline
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Default Ballarat Race 8

2 BARRABAS $6.3
3 SELYNYA SURPRISE $7.7
5 ALLEN MONARO $7.8
10 MAJOR ENFORCER $7.8
7 MELALUKA LAD $7.8
1 CHARLIE CHA CHA $7.8
4 SAM WINCHESTER $8.6
8 COOL FURY $12

Notice the closeness of the Market here.
It don't mean not to bet, it just means they all have equal chance of winning.
I suggest backing any animal available at over $12 for a small amount.
Even better would be over $16
small means 2 or 3 bucks.
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  #2  
Old 19th May 2011, 02:34 PM
moeee moeee is offline
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Default Post Mortem

Hopefully the result here ain't an indication of what is gonna happen for me tonight at Sandown
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  #3  
Old 19th May 2011, 03:01 PM
lomaca lomaca is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by moeee
Hopefully the result here ain't an indication of what is gonna happen for me tonight at Sandown
My point moeee, I can't for the life of me see why you lost money on this race?

2-3-5 you predicted, what on earth prevented you from betting

3 units on the 2 and 1 on each the 3 and the 5?

Never go below your third selection for a win, that is just gambling.
If you can't pick a winner in three, and you can! you are proving it every day, don't bother going any further down.

Cheers

Last edited by lomaca : 19th May 2011 at 03:04 PM.
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  #4  
Old 19th May 2011, 03:37 PM
moeee moeee is offline
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Ah, Now I understand Lomaca why you can't understand why I keep losing!!

The thing about my postings is that they aren't selections as such.
I ain't about tipping animals like they do in Newspaper Polls.

If you look at the Odds I provided here, you will see that they are all the same, or vey close to it.
That means I can't split them.
That I happened to have the Winner in 3rd on this occasion, may well have been because of Alphabetical Order of the Names.

I think you need to ponder a little more about your statement "Never go below your third selection for a win, that is just gambling."

EVERY animal has a chance of winning a Race Lomaca.
Some are very remote, and hinge on half the Field falling over.
But a chance nevertheless.

Its pretty hard to argue with you here when your point is documented in the Results, but don't forget, I managed to back a $24 Winner yesterday which was about 5th pick.

I sort of know what you are saying, and I figure that if I followed your advice, then the option would be to pass this Ballarat Race completely as being too hard.
But me being Gamblerholic, is very difficult for me, and the best I can do at the minute is to limit my Wager Size to a negligible amount.
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  #5  
Old 19th May 2011, 03:46 PM
moeee moeee is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by lomaca
My point moeee
If you can't pick a winner in three, and you can! you are proving it every day, don't bother going any further down.


No difficult task at all Lomaca.
Favourites win 30%
2nd Faves win maybe 16%
3rd Faves, I dunno , say 12%?

Theres 58% of winners just selecting the top 3 in the Market and no need to spend a second of time doing the Form.
And I figure the actual percentage might be closer to 66%.

There is a lot more to winning than just backing the top selections.
Getting Overlays is the ONLY way of making Profit, but devising a way of estimating whether a animal is an Overlay or not is extremely difficult.

If you are winning Lomaca , it is because you are finding Overlays, whether you understand that you are or not.
It is somehow inherent and built into your selection method, even if you are unaware of it.
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  #6  
Old 19th May 2011, 03:53 PM
darkydog2002 darkydog2002 is offline
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Oh Mooee why are you even considering Ballarat at all.There,s nothing there but risk.
Just put a $1000 on the 1 I gave you at Sandown.
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  #7  
Old 19th May 2011, 04:01 PM
moeee moeee is offline
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$1,000?????

GTF out of here!!!!
I'ld be lucky to invest that in a whole week!!!

On another point,Aren't you supposed to be dead from Cancer by now?
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  #8  
Old 19th May 2011, 04:26 PM
darkydog2002 darkydog2002 is offline
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Talking

The visit to Fatima And the dunking by the Pedo in the frock at Lourdes seems to have created a miracle for me.
Isnt that wonderful but then it couldn,t have happened to a better man eh.?
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  #9  
Old 19th May 2011, 04:46 PM
lomaca lomaca is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by moeee
No difficult task at all Lomaca.
Favourites win 30%
2nd Faves win maybe 16%
3rd Faves, I dunno , say 12%?

Theres 58% of winners just selecting the top 3 in the Market and no need to spend a second of time doing the Form.
And I figure the actual percentage might be closer to 66%.

There is a lot more to winning than just backing the top selections.
Getting Overlays is the ONLY way of making Profit, but devising a way of estimating whether a animal is an Overlay or not is extremely difficult.

If you are winning Lomaca , it is because you are finding Overlays, whether you understand that you are or not.
It is somehow inherent and built into your selection method, even if you are unaware of it.
I don' think we are talking about the same thing here moeee.

As a matter of fact I really don't know what you are doing or talking about.

I'm talking about your rating not the first 3-4-5-6 in the market!

Like yesterday, I think you rated 3 races got the winner in the first, and it was the fave. or sec. fave. then you got the winner in the second race you rated and it payed over $10.

Now, why couldn't you just bet on them for a win and stop after the second win?
Are you allergic to money?

Look, anyhoo, you do as you please.

Good luck
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  #10  
Old 19th May 2011, 05:28 PM
moeee moeee is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by darkydog2002
The visit to Fatima And the dunking by the Pedo in the frock at Lourdes seems to have created a miracle for me.
Isnt that wonderful but then it couldn,t have happened to a better man eh.?


Did Derryn Hinch go with you?

Why do all the worst people seem to have the best of Luck
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