#1
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![]() Currently I'm testing a system in which selects a strike rate of around 75% per race with multiple horses. Certain races appear to have 6-7 selections but on the odd occasion you have 1-2 picks which I want to back. Mainly 2 selections if they are paying over $3 each.
I've isolated the selections per venue/day and found that certain venues don't have much history behind them to get enough confidence. So I thought maybe instead of by venue I just look at all the day of the week or maybe do it by distance for the whole week. Instead of looking a horses in form, I'm basically applying rules to elimate horses that can't win a little like a quad. Any thoughts? PS: Anyone heard of the staking place using 1,2,3,4,5,6,7 Your stake is the 1st and the last number e.g. $8. If it loses you then use 2 and 6, to be $8 again. However if it wins you add the winning profit onto the sequence. I overheard a gentleman on the weekend down at the races using it but couldn't gather all the information |
#2
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![]() I have.I,m sure i,ve seen it in the PPM EBook of staking plans (free at their site)
Cheers darky |
#3
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![]() Sounds like a cancellation type of plan, have seen them numerous times over the years. From my memory, after a loss, you add that amount to the end of the series, so if your first bet was 1+7 and it lost, you would add 8 to the end, so your next bet was 1+8=9 and so on.
Cant remember the exact rules for when you win, but something along the lines of when it wins if its over a certain dividend, you cross off the two number at either end ie in above example, if your $9 bet won, you would cross off the 8 and 1, and then next bet would be 7+2. Maybe someone can clear it up better than that, but I think its something along those lines. |
#4
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![]() Example of what was said.
1234567....8L 23456.......8L 345..........8L 4.............4L Do we start again? On a good run I can see this working , but one has to know when to stop before giving it all back again. I think you will find that it can also be used in the opposite of what was described. Example 8L.......1234567 9L......12345678 10L......123456789 11L.....123456789,10 Win 12W @1/1....123456789,10,11 Now deduct one digit off either end of No. sequence for each point of its fractional odds e.g. 1+11 Next bet Win 12W 2/1......23456789,10 winner - Now deduct 2 digits off either end of No. sequence for each point of fractional odds.e.g. 2+3+9+10 Next Bet 12............45678 The idea is to keep going until there is only one digit left which means you have made a profit. The idea works on paper but one has to have a bank of approx 1000:1 to have any chance of surviving because the bets go really up there when a few wins come in ,then a long run of outs. It was originally designed to be used targeting odds of 6/4 (2.50 shots) ====================================== Heres an easier staking plan to follow. After a loss 1 2 3 4 5 6 Go back the number of spots according to winning odds. e.g. Go back 2 spots if priced say 1/1 each (2.00) (ignoring the fractionals at end of price) 123456w 56w 567w 6w 5 6w 4ect Go back the No. of points the winning price , ignoring the fractionals in the price dividend e.g. Div 4.90 , take it as 4.00 (3/1) e.g. Div 2.20, take as 2.00 (1/1) Now go back the No. of point of winning odds after a winner is struck. e.g. 2.00 go back 1 spot (1/1) 1 2 3 4 5 6w @2.80 (treat as 1/1) Next bet 5w @ 2.20 (treat as 1/1) Next bet 4w @ 4.00 = 3/1 Ret 41.60 O/L 30.00 Prof +11.60 Next bet 1 ect If the winning odds is less than 1/1 We still go back one spot because the fractional we ignore on the others, will make up the shortfall. This plan only works showing a profit , where a selection plan brakes even at level stakes. We are assuming the selections are 2.00+ to make this work.
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Cheers. |
#5
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![]() The size of the immediate wager should not be influenced by any factor that does not have a bearing on the current event.
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