#1
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![]() If one had over the past two days bet this system:
1) Minimum of 8 starters, 2) Neural default settings, 3) Minimum of 3 horses under double figures in the resulting neural market, then the results using Unitab divvies are: Friday Outlay of $21 Return of $45.10 Saturday Outlay of $91 Return of $128.20 There were 36 races and the winner was struck in 24 of them for a strike rate of 66%. Overall. Total outlay of $112.00 Total return of $173.30 Last edited by michaelg : 4th March 2012 at 10:24 AM. |
#2
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![]() "3) Minimum of 3 horses under double figures in the resulting neural market,"
Maximum???? perhaps MG. But it looks like something I work on in a slightly different way.
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Jose'. |
#3
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![]() Thanks, Jose - it should have read "maximum of 3 horses".
I've been doing something similar with a minimum of 4 selections also with the neural default market, but laying the field. Last edited by michaelg : 4th March 2012 at 11:13 AM. |
#4
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![]() Same here basically, but I am using them for GB races oddly enough.
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Jose'. |
#5
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![]() With three races to go, the Lay the Field method cannot lose.
Jose, you've piqued my interest about applying the method to the U.K. - do the neurals load their scratchings, and if so, when? And I presume you're successful? The Win method described in the initial listing of this thread had a losing day. The outlay was $44, and the return was $40.20. However the Betfair S.P (return was $51.58. In reality the return would have been even more because I deducted 5% of the winning dividend instead of the gross profit. From the 15 qualifying races the winner was struck in 10 of them for a 66% strike rate. Last edited by michaelg : 4th March 2012 at 06:36 PM. |
#6
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![]() I actually use the DS market, (don't trust those neurals enough for real $$$) but it is similar.
If there is 5 horses <=$12 in the DS market, I lay the field, but it has become a bit erratic of late. Today: 9 races (1 to run) for 1 favourite winning. That race was Devonport R1, where incidentally there were 6 favs winning from the 8 races. Seems to work for the UK races so far. Touch wood. Cheers.
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Jose'. |
#7
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![]() Jose, I used to use D.S's market but I too found it somewhat unsuitable for laying the field, mainly because I didn't want any races where the fave was too short - I don't think D.S's market is ideal for this.
It seems the neurals, especially the combination of the CP and CF algorithyms, except horses that are resuming from a spell, are more suitable. I also see that today's Devenport R1 had only seven starters - I am quite hesitant to lay these smaller races without knowing the prices just prior to the start of the race. I had an excellent day with Laying The Field based on the neurals, over $300 profit, and this is putting the bets on as soon as the scratchings are loaded, and not having to be at the computer just prior to the race to be aware of the prices. Last edited by michaelg : 4th March 2012 at 08:26 PM. |
#8
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![]() Quote:
Hi michaelg. You've piqued my interest in that this could be something I could load onto a bot before work each morning. Just a few of questions. 1. What are the default settings literally? I've mucked around with them and can't figure out how to get it back. I press default and nothing happens (maybe they are the default settings ![]() 2. What are your figures based on - $1 outlay per selection? 3. Could it/would it work better if the outlay was placed on winning the same amount for all runners? Say betting to win $5 whatever price the runner is. 4. The 66% strike rate that has come up the last few days is the race strike rate I take it. Obviously betting on 44 horses with 10 winning is not 66%. 5. Have you checked this out with more data than just the last 3 days? Sorry for all the questions but I might as well get it right if I'm going to give it a go.
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Never give up on a dream just because of the time it will take to accomplish it. The time will pass anyway.” ― Earl Nightingale |
#9
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![]() Most likely a blonde question from me, but which horses are you backing? The ones in single figures?
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#10
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![]() Minimum of 3 horses under double figures in the resulting neural market,
it should have read "maximum of 3 horses". Hi Michael Is that the Neural Accessed Price market or live BF Market. Cheers.
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Cheers. |
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