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  #1  
Old 9th May 2012, 09:03 AM
Bhagwan Bhagwan is offline
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Posts: 2,428
Default Increase after a win - Staking Plan

The idea is to compound the profits quickly once a streak of wins hits.
Most methods have winning & losing streaks, if the SR is around the 23%+ mark.

This aims to campitalise when the streak is on & reduces accordingly if its going cold again.

This is not as risky compared to a loss recovery plans that try to recoup all in one go.

On a really bad run , we would be betting just 2.0 units until the streak kicks in again.

Initial Bet 4 units
Increase by 1.50 after a win
Decrease by .50 units after a loss.

Min bet 2.00 units
Max bet 8.00 units



Example using a 600.00 bank
Div O/L
3.00 x 4.0
- x5.5
- x5.0
- x4.5
- x4.0
- x3.5
- x3.0
- x2.5
- x2.0
- x2.0
4.00 x2.0
3.60 x3.5
- x5.0
3.90 x4.5
3.00 x6.0
- x7.5
3.00 x7.0
3.00 x8.0
- x 8.0
- x7.5

Ret 113.0
O/L 95.0
Total 18.00 = 19% POT
Bank increase 4.5%
SR 35%


Compared to Level stakes.
400.00 bank- 4.00 bets.
Ret 94.00
O/L 80.00
Prof 14.00 = 17.50% POT
Bank increase 3.5%

7 from 20 bets = 35% SR

And thats using small prices.
With any larger prices & the profits can double compared to level stakes betting.
And losses halved on a really bad run.

All systems experience bad runs, sooner or later and you dont want to be standing there with a dazed look in your eye, saying, "what just happened".
This is where most punters fall down , they dont have a "what if" plan if things start going Pear shaped, they usually wait until all their money is gone.

Make sure you selection method has approx 23%SR @ $3.00 min, otherwise long runs of outs will be experienced.
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  #2  
Old 9th May 2012, 09:26 AM
moeee moeee is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Melbourne
Posts: 5,359
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bhagwan
Make sure you selection method has approx 23%SR @ $3.00 min, otherwise long runs of outs will be experienced.


Any time the strike rate is less than the payout rate , then a long run of outs is the Least of your problems.
As TRUE as it is that the sun comes up every morning , just as TRUE is it that a negative expectation selection system will kill you.
A LONG SLOW LINGERING DEATH.
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