Interesting stats recently posted by the WATURF Club - Of the 521 metropolitan races run during the period 1 August 02 through to 30 April 03, 94 (18.04%) were won by horses carrying the No. 1 saddlecloth.

Next successful were No. 2 (74 - 14.20%), No. 3 (56 - 10.75%) and No. 4 (53 - 10.17%) in that order. Over 53% were won by horses 1 to 4. :wink:





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All the best from the West

Sandgroper :smile:

[ This Message was edited by: Sandgroper on 2003-05-27 11:48 ]

which means that horses with high handicap numbers are risky tip.
on those statistics many of the total races would be set weights and some wfa which could potentially increase the percentage of 1 -4 . so the better performed horses running in their own classes win the most races. not sure if there's a profit there but it certainly improves the strike rate.

Very interesting stats Perth Placegetter.

Does it mean (and remember I'm Irish) that unless you are having average fields of 8, that the handicapper is not doing as good a job as he / she should.

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Ta me go maith

G'day Sandgroper,some interesting figures you posted for Perth racing.Here are some figures(albeit from 5 years ago)for races Australia wide.Based on the figures you posted,I imagine they would still be fairly close to the mark today.
TAB No.1 19.5%
TAB No.2 12.8
TAB No.3 13.4
TAB No.4 7.5
TAB No.5 8.9
TAB No.6 7.3
TAB No.7 5.5
Interesting to note that from these numbers comes a staggering 74.9% of winners.
Some figures on days since last start:

Within 7 days 30.2%
8 to 14 days 37.0%
15 to 21 days 19.0%
22 to 28 days 5.0%
29 and above 8.8%
Note that 86.2% of all winners had their last start within the last 21 days.

Old figures I admit,but definitely food for thought!
cheers

interesting statistics angel. do you have them for barriers as well.
total for each barrier regardless of distance.
regards

Topsy 99,here are the figures you asked for,again,they are old figures.
Barrier 1 10.5
2 9.5
3 7.6
4 7.4
5 7.7
6 6.2
7 7.2
8 5.7
9 5.7
10 4.9
11 5.0
12 5.9
13 5.9
14 11.4
The significance of barrier draws would not appear to be as clear cut as the other figures,though it is interesting to note that barriers 1-6 produce almost 50% of all winners.I have an excellent book by Malcom Knowles that gives the SR% for ALL barriers at every major track in Australia.I don't know if it's still available,I could post all the figures if you are really interested,but it would take some time to do so,and it would be an incredibly long post!
cheers,hope these figures are of some interest

Courtesy The West Australian website:

The WA Turf Club has changed the emphasis of Ascot's racing carnival to feature young horses, in a move aimed at revitalising its profile on the Australian racing calendar.

Racing manager Greg Carpenter said the carnival would provide a feast of champagne racing. The highly progressive administrator hopes to increase stakes to complement the new look.

Stakes rises and endorsement of the new plan will be discussed at the WATC committee meeting in two weeks, when budgets for the 2003-2004 season are finalised.

Carpenter's vision provides a platform for the State's top young horses to become stars of the multi-million dollar extravaganza.

By edging back the Group 1 Railway Stakes and Fruit 'N' Veg Stakes by a week - to November 29 and December 13, respectively - and leaving the WA Guineas on November 15, he provides a springboard for the best three-year-olds to grab potentially just under a $1 million in total prize money.

By programming the three-year-old features, the Champion Fillies Stakes (1600m) and T J Smith Trophy (1800m), on Railway Stakes Day, owners will have the option of racing their youngsters in their own age group or in the $500,000 Railway (1600m) which is open to all-age sprinters.

Special attention will be paid to sprint series, with stakes increases proposed for the finale, the Channel Nine Stakes (1200m) on December 20.

Carpenter's plan lifts the Melbourne Cup day meeting to its former glory, with feature three-year-old sprinting events the Burgess Queen (1400m) and Fairetha Stakes (1400m) added to a bumper card for the first Tuesday in November.

Fillies and mares are well catered for, with the Jungle Dawn, Jungle Mist, Hahn Premium and La Trice series continued.

The $350,000 Perth Cup (3200m) is the club's most popular meeting and has become new year's party time for the under-35s. It is locked in on January 1.

Ascot will celebrate its traditional opening on the Caulfield Cup day meeting on October 18.

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Ta me go maith

Extract courtesy The West Australian website:

Fred Kersley's champion galloper Northerly and co-star Shirazamatazz returned to the Forrestdale training centre on Friday to start what will be a history-making campaign.

Kersley is setting Northerly to equal the record of turf legend, Kingston Town, by winning three Cox Plates. Kingston Town won in 1980, 1981 and 1982. Northerly won in 2001 and last year.

Shirazamatazz shapes as a young horse with oodles of staying potential after his sweep in the autumn, capping five wins from six starts with victory in the Group 1 WATC Derby (2400m) at Ascot last Easter Monday.

Both Kersley horses start work today.

"Northerly put on 30kg during his spell," Kersley said.

"He's a little bit gross at the minute. I am happy about that because it gives me something to work with."

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Ta me go maith

Courtesy The West Australian website:

WA'S three racing codes will have three years to get their financial houses in order as a new era for the industry dawned in State Parliament last night.

Racing and Wagering WA, which will become the industry's new controlling body from August 1, was passed through the Legislative Council at 5.21pm yesterday and is likely to be officially adopted through the Lower House on Tuesday.

Unlikely arbitrators, Greens (WA), forced the two major parties into several compromises.

Contentious amendments successfully included
- give the racing codes just one representative each on the new eight-member board;
- freeze current TAB distribution for the next three years instead of the Labor-proposed two and Liberal-proposed five;

- and establish a joint standing committee review by both houses of Parliament after five years.

The Greens, who hold the balance of power in the Upper House, forced the Liberals to withdraw a proposed five-year sunset clause for the legislation and forced the Government to accept the parliamentary committee review.

Following close votes on all contentious clauses, Racing and Gaming Minister Nick Griffiths and shadow racing minister Barry House heralded exciting times for the industry.

"This package will give the industry a real restart," said Mr Griffiths, who was sporting his new lucky horse racing tie.

"It's been a long day but the industry now has an exciting future and today is the start. If I didn't think this was workable I wouldn't be doing it."

Mr Griffiths said he would immediately turn his attention to the appointment of a chief executive and a chairman of the new body. He hoped to achieve this within the next three weeks.

Choosing a chairman would be a difficult decision but the person needed to be acceptable to all three codes, he said.

Mr House said RWWA would give the industry a balanced approach to the future.

"For the whole racing industry, this is an exciting day and effectively the dawning of a new era," Mr House said.

"As of today, the racing world has moved on."

Greens racing spokesman Jim Scott said he had been lobbied by so many different industry stakeholders, he was still making up his mind on some issues during yesterday's debate.

Earlier in the debate, Mr Griffiths had told the chamber any delay in implementing RWWA would cause the industry to go backwards. He also hinted he would be pushing for more shared facilities within the industry.

"This will mean a better world for all three codes of racing and the sooner it is put in place the better," he said. "The racing industry is a very important industry and I'm doing everything I can to promote it. The future lies in shared facilities."

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Ta me go maith