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  #1  
Old 13th October 2004, 01:03 AM
knowledge knowledge is offline
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Wednesday, 13 October
Hunter Pirates v Perth Wildcats
Perth - $1.38

Perth (-6.5) - $1.85

HT/FT Double
Perth-Perth $1.75

Perth should continue their 100% record against the Pirates. Pirates lost to the Bullets by 8 pts, the Razorbacks beat the Bullets by 31 and Perth beat the Razorbacks by 23. Do you need any more convincing? Consider $1.75 value.

Over 199.5 pts at $1.85 looks like a safe bet to me.
-----------------------------------------------------
Perth Wildcats 04/05:
Wildcats 120 v Razorbacks 97
Wildcats 110 v Taipans 93

Hunter Pirates 04/05:
Pirates 97 v Bullets 105
Pirates 95 v Tigers 88

[ This Message was edited by: knowledge on 2004-10-13 02:04 ]
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  #2  
Old 13th October 2004, 01:11 AM
knowledge knowledge is offline
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Sydney Kings v Melbourne Tigers
Sydney - $1.45
This looks like value to me, I'm surprised to be honest. I thought it would be a lot shorter.

Sydney (-5.5) - $1.85
HT/FT - Sydney-Sydney - $1.85
Over 186.5 Pts - $1.85

-----------------------------------------------------
Sydney Kings 04/05:
NZ Breakers 96 v Kings 94

Melbourne Tigers 04/05:
Hawks 96 v Tigers 88
Tigers 99 v Taipans 96
Pirates 95 v Tigers 88
Tigers 112 v Crocodiles 95
[ This Message was edited by: knowledge on 2004-10-13 02:12 ]

[ This Message was edited by: knowledge on 2004-10-13 02:14 ]
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  #3  
Old 13th October 2004, 06:19 AM
Mr J Mr J is offline
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Hey guys what sort of betting limits can you get for NBL? And how long does the season last?
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  #4  
Old 13th October 2004, 06:34 AM
knowledge knowledge is offline
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There are 21 rounds and the last round ends on February 20. I assume there is then a finals play-off series which ends on April 09. I assume it is April 09 because that is when the 'Premiership Winner' market closes.
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  #5  
Old 13th October 2004, 09:05 AM
Fernando Fernando is offline
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Wildcats vs Pirates. The reasons I think the Wildcats will win.

*Average quarter scores*
Wildcats 30 25 35 27.5
Pirates 29.5 30 18 18.5

This indicates the Wildcats are a solid team performing in every quarter. The Pirates however can slack off when they need it most.

*Average shoot percentage*
Wildcats 53.5% - 3 points 53.5%
Pirates 42% - 3 points 42.5%

10% gap on both seems to much to handle

*Average game score*
Wildcats 117.5 / 95
pirates 96 / 96.5

I wouldn't predict a point start yet, as this is my first prediction and bet on a basketball game.




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  #6  
Old 13th October 2004, 11:55 AM
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Pirates v's Wilcats

******** poor game to start the week off on,and is a danger game for the wilcats,who have had 2 easy games at home and now are on the road for the 1st time,could go either way, so Pirates + 6.5 for me.

Pirates + 6.5 $1.85 [small bet]
Under 199.5 $1.85

Kings v's Tigers

This will be the only the 2nd game for the kings,going down in extra time in NZ, and their 1st at home, whilst it is the 5th game for the tigers winning both home games and losing both away games, the kings should be too strong at home this time.

Kings win $1.45 *
Over 186.5 $1.85


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  #7  
Old 13th October 2004, 12:14 PM
Fernando Fernando is offline
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do you know if there is a difference in crowd size for Wednesday games compared to fri-sat games. Im currently thinking home advantage is a bigger factor in fri-sun games.
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  #8  
Old 13th October 2004, 12:26 PM
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Not sure about the games interstate, but in sydney i think they are down around 15% on wednesdays compared to the weekends, but they always seem to pack the stadium anytime the pirates are at home.
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  #9  
Old 13th October 2004, 12:35 PM
knowledge knowledge is offline
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Wildcats are in hot form and I wouldn't feel comfortable backing against them. Maybe they won't be as efficient interstate but tonight will tell.

I've taken the double, Perth-Sydney at $1.95. Looks value to me, and whatever money I have left after that is all going on Brazil to beat Colombia at $1.25. So in the long run, I'll be safe.

Another system that could generate money is this... Bet 10 units on Perth-Sydney at $1.95: $19.50. Bet 5 units on Hunter-Sydney at $3.85: $19.25. 15 units down for a minimum profit of 4.25, hoping the reigning champs don't lose.
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  #10  
Old 13th October 2004, 12:42 PM
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I backed the razorbacks over there to beat them,cause their pre-season form was terrible and the coach was really ********ed off at feeble attempts, must have woken them up, turned out to be a bad mistake on my half.
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