Anyone got any ideas about tonight's game between Melbourne and Hunter?

I am leaning towards the Pirates because the Tigers wil probably be missing a few players (Mcdonald, Tucker and Mottram) and Thomas is just coming back from an injury.

Also the Pirates have beaten the Tigers twice already this season and the other game they choked away a double digit second half lead.

The only thing that worries me is that if the Tigers are to win the season series they must win by 17, which makes me feel uneasy about the spread being only 7.5.

I figure the safe bet may be to take the over 203.5 because the Tigers will be trying to score a stack of points and Hunter will have to try and keep pace.

Let me know your thoughts.