#1
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![]() Just wondering if anyone has a trifecta or first 4 betting system.
I have read a lot about the backing 2nd to 4th fav (with overlays) and winning, so I was wondering if the same could be applied to trifectas and first 4's For example * For first - 2nd to 4th fav * For Second - 2nd to 6th fav * For Third/Forth - field Of course this would cost you a lot to back every race at anyone meeting, not to mention at all meetings for the day, so using a flexi bet with NSWTAB of what ever percentage of your bank you normally use i.e. 2%,4%,5%,6% etc... I enjoy the bigger dividends that the exotics provide and with flexi betting, it is affordable.... Thanks and good puntin |
#2
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![]() Stix,
UNfortunately the favourite will run in the quinella about 45-50% of the time so would eliminate every second bet. Using the stats I have available that I got from this forum, I worked out an approximate strike rate of about 10-12 % for your combos. given a ten horse race and a strike rate if your lucky of 15% you would need an average divi of about $ 633 or there abouts. If you could narrow down the races to ones where you think there is a false favourite you might be able to increase the strike rate and lower the divi needed to produce a profit. SOme one on the forum might be able to produce some actual figures based on a sizeable amount of races that would paint a clearer picture. Hope this info helps. Last edited by DR RON : 5th April 2005 at 05:25 PM. Reason: very poor keyboard skills |
#3
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![]() Stix,
I used to do this many years ago on track using bookies, but I presume it would work the same using the tab or a fixed odd bookie site. Take your odds at the 10 minute mark, then bet the following patterns. Each number is the market from fav out. 123/123456789 456789/123/456789 456789/456789/123 456789/123 The cost from memory was $384. Gets a LOT of results some small and some very large. If you get your bet size in profit knock off for the day. Try to pick races 9 to 14 runners and stay clear of races where there are very short 1st 2nd and 3rd favs. Cheers |
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