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  #1  
Old 29th October 2008, 10:28 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Wink My Melbourne Cup System

Here's a stand-out trifecta system I've been using with success on the M.Cup.

1 ) All horses at $21 in the Tuesday morning Daily Telegraph's market to win.
2 ) Field by Field to run second and third.

I have checked the results back to day one when trifectas were introduced. I seem to remember it was the year Just A Dash won. The trifecta has been struck every year, and in the past 20-odd years there have been two occassions when the tri paid in excess of $60,000 - the year when Vintage Crop won, and the second occasion was when there was a dead-heat for third. I can't remember who won, and also the divvies in previous years. But the year when Tawriffic won I think the divvy was quite substantial.

As a $1 outlay totals approx $4,500 (scratchings drastically reduce this which happens most years) the max outlay over the past 20 years would be about $90,000 - the two $60,000 divvies would more than cover the outlay.

Since the introduction of flexi-betting I have been betting this system and am showing a good profit even though none of the divvies have been too high. The best year was when Makybe Diva won its first Cup. The divvy here in NSW was approx $13,000 yet it paid $20,000 at either Unitab or Tabcorp.

Since betfair has been operating I have also been Dutch-betting the selections and am showing a good profit. If I remember correctly, last year I got Efficient slightly over $30.

Hopefully the Forum Curse will now not strike.
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  #2  
Old 29th October 2008, 10:34 AM
Stix Stix is offline
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Default

Also an observation for the Melbounre Cup program is that an Adelaide visitor always seems to win a race on the day (usually the lead up races to the MC) at big odds, I don't have any stats to back it up, just something I've noticed over last few years.
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  #3  
Old 17th November 2008, 02:02 PM
schmucta80 schmucta80 is offline
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I'm not sure how the trifecta has been struck each year, wasn't Makybe Diva fave in the last two of her wins?

Was she $21 in the market on the tuesday?

Maybe I missed something sorry
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  #4  
Old 17th November 2008, 03:13 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Wink

Sorry, Schmucta80 - I should have stated "all horses up to $21".

For some reason this year the Tuesday Tele only showed the TAB divvies and not the market. However, if they had I don't think Viewed would have been $21 or less. The Forum Curse...?
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