Rugby Union

[kiwiz]

S15
Highlanders up against Reds
To score a try - Chris Feauai-Sautia

[kiwiz]

S15
Western Force up against Hurricanes
Taking Hurricanes

[kiwiz]

S15
Western Force up against Hurricanes
Taking Western Force +9.6 pyol

[kiwiz]

S15
Western Force up against Hurricanes
To score a try -Julian Savea

[kiwiz]

S15
Western Force up against Hurricanes
To score a try -Ben McCalman

[kiwiz]

S15
Cheetahs up against Blues
Taking Cheetahs

[kiwiz]

S15
Cheetahs up against Blues
Taking Blues +10.5 pyol

[kiwiz]

S15
Cheetahs up against Blues
To score a try - Cornal Hendricks

[kiwiz]

S15
Cheetahs up against Blues
To score a try - Lolagi Visinia

[kiwiz]

Aviva Premiership
Northampton up against Harlequins
Taking Northampton

[kiwiz]

Aviva Premiership
Northampton up against Harlequins
To score a try - Samu Manoa

[kiwiz]

Pro 12
Ospreys up against Leinster
To score a try - Hanno Dirksen

[kiwiz]

Pro 12
Ospreys up against Leinster
To score a try - Jimmy Gopperth

[kiwiz]

Pro 12
Ulster up against Scarlets
Taking Ulster

[kiwiz]

Pro 12
Ulster up against Scarlets
To score a try - Craig Gilroy

[kiwiz]

Aviva Premiership
London Welsh up against London Irish
Taking London Irish 13+ margin

[kiwiz]

Aviva Premiership
London Welsh up against London Irish
To score a try - Alex Lewington

[kiwiz]

Aviva Premiership
Saracens up against Newcastle
Taking Saracens

[kiwiz]

Aviva Premiership
Saracens up against Newcastle
To score a try - David Strettle

[kiwiz]

Aviva Premiership
Saracens up against Newcastle
To score a try - Chris Wyles

[kiwiz]

Pro 12
Munster up against Glasgow Warriors
To score a try - CJ Stander

[kiwiz]

Pro 12
Cardiff Blues up against Edinburgh
To score a try - Lloyd Williams

[kiwiz]

S15
Bulls up against Sharks
Taking Bulls

[kiwiz]

S15
Bulls up against Sharks
Taking Sharks +7.5 pyol

[kiwiz]

S15
Bulls up against Sharks
To score a try - Marcell Coetzee

[kiwiz]

S15
Lions up against Stormers
Taking Stormers

[kiwiz]

S15
Lions up against Stormers
To score a try - Nizaam Carr

[kiwiz]

The Six Nations
Scotland up against Italy
Taking Scotland

[kiwiz]

The Six Nations
Scotland up against Italy
To score a try - Alex Dunbar

[kiwiz]

The Six Nations
France up against Wales
Taking France

[kiwiz]

The Six Nations
France up against Wales
Taking Wales +6.5 pyol

[kiwiz]

The Six Nations
France up against Wales
To score a try - Rhys Webb

[kiwiz]

The Six Nations
France up against Wales
To score a try - Yoann Huget

[Raystef5845]

The ratings look good for week 4. The effect of week 2 was to counteract some of the over corrections from week 1 due to the huge upsets and to reinforce the ratings a few teams that have improved since last year, such as the Hurricanes, Brumbies and Chiefs. As a result of the ratings being more accurate for week3, 6 of my 7 predicted winners did win. I think the ratings and predictions should be accurate for week 4 and beyond.

Good luck with week 4,

Ray

[kiwiz]

S15
Chiefs up against Highlanders
Taking Chiefs

[kiwiz]

S15
Chiefs up against Highlanders
To score a try - Charlie Ngatai

[kiwiz]

S15
Chiefs up against Highlanders
To score a try - Sonny Bill Williams

[kiwiz]

S15
Chiefs up against Highlanders
To score a try - Waisake Naholo

[kiwiz]

S15
Brumbies up against Western Force
Taking Brumbies

[kiwiz]

S15
Brumbies up against Western Force
To score a try - Henry Speight

[kiwiz]

S15
Brumbies up against Western Force
To score a try - Matt Toomua

[kiwiz]

S15
Brumbies up against Western Force
To score a try - Nick Cummins

[kiwiz]

RFU Championship
Bristol up against Nottingham
Taking Bristol 13+ margin

[kiwiz]

Pro 12
Glasgow Warriors up against Zebre
Taking Glasgow Warriors 13+ margin

[kiwiz]

Pro 12
Glasgow Warriors up against Zebre
To score a try - Sean Lamont

[kiwiz]

Pro 12
Glasgow Warriors up against Zebre
To score a try - Peter Murchie

[kiwiz]

Pro 12
Cardiff Blues up against Connacht
Taking Cardiff Blues

[kiwiz]

Pro 12
Cardiff Blues up against Connacht
Taking Connacht +12.5 handicap

[kiwiz]

Pro 12
Cardiff Blues up against Connacht
To score a try - Lloyd Williams

[kiwiz]

Pro 12
Cardiff Blues up against Connacht
To score a try - Josh Navidi

[kiwiz]

Pro 12
Cardiff Blues up against Connacht
To score a try - Matthew Healy

[kiwiz]

Aviva Premiership
Bath up against Sale Sharks
Taking Bath

[kiwiz]

Aviva Premiership
Bath up against Sale Sharks
To score a try - Semesa Rokoduguni

[kiwiz]

Aviva Premiership
Bath up against Sale Sharks
To score a try - Sam Burgess

[kiwiz]

Aviva Premiership
Bath up against Sale Sharks
To score a try - Magnus Lund

[kiwiz]

AIL League
Clontarf up against Dolphin
Taking Clontarf

[kiwiz]

RFU Championship
Worcester up against Plymouth Albion
Taking Worcester 13+ margin

[kiwiz]

Aviva Premiership
Harlequins up against London Irish
Taking Harlequins

[kiwiz]

Aviva Premiership
Gloucester up against Northampton
Taking Northampton

[kiwiz]

Aviva Premiership
Harlequins up against London Irish
To score a try - Marland Yarde

[kiwiz]

Aviva Premiership
Gloucester up against Northampton
To score a try - Samu Manoa

[kiwiz]

Pro 12
Ospreys up against Munster
Taking Munster

[kiwiz]

Pro 12
Ospreys up against Munster
Taking Ospreys +12.5 handicap

[kiwiz]

S15
Cheetahs up against Bulls
Taking Bulls

[kiwiz]

S15
Cheetahs up against Bulls
Taking Cheetahs +6.5 pyol

[kiwiz]

S15
Cheetahs up against Bulls
To score a try - Adriaan Strauss

[kiwiz]

S15
Cheetahs up against Bulls
To score a try - Willie Le Roux

[kiwiz]

S15
Stormers up against Sharks
Taking Stormers

[kiwiz]

S15
Stormers up against Sharks
Taking Sharks +7.5 pyol

[kiwiz]

S15
Stormers up against Sharks
To score a try - Damian de Allende

[Raystef5845]

Week 4 gave us more upsets. If you think it’s been an odd year so far, you are right. The home teams have an 11-16 record (40%). Normally, the home teams win about 60% of their games. Let’s see what surprises are in store for us in week 5.

Good luck,

Ray Stefani

[kiwiz]

European Champions Cup
Benetton Treviso up against Racing Metro
Taking Racing Metro
Racing Metro 26:10

European Champions Cup
Northampton up against Ospreys
Taking Northampton
Northampton 34:6

European Champions Cup
Clermont Auvergne up against Sale Sharks
Taking Clermont Auvergne 13+ margin
Clermont Auvergne 35:3

[kiwiz]

Currie Cup
Western Province up against Golden Lions
Taking Western Province
Western Province 19:16

International Match
England up against South Africa
Taking South Africa +1.5 line
South Africa 31:28

International Match
England up against South Africa
Taking South Africa +7.5 pyol
South Africa 31:28

[kiwiz]

International Match
France up against Australia
Taking Australia +6.5 pyol
France 29:26

International Match
France up against Australia
Taking total points Over 41.5
Total points 55

International Match
Wales up against Fiji
Taking total points Under 57.5
Total points 30

[kiwiz]

International Match
Wales up against Fiji
To score a try - Nemani Nadolo
Try Nemani Nadolo

International Match
Romania up against Japan
Taking Japan
Japan 18:13

International Match
Tonga up against USA
Taking Tonga
Tonga 40:12

[kiwiz]

Aviva Premiership
Sale Sharks up against London Irish
Taking Sale Sharks
Sale 36:8

Aviva Premiership
Bath up against Newcastle
Taking Bath
Bath 23:14

Aviva Premiership
Wasps up against London Welsh
Taking Wasps 13+ margin
Wasps 71:7

[kiwiz]

U20 International
England up against Scotland
Taking England 13+ margin

[kiwiz]

U20 International
Italy up against France
Taking France 13+ margin

[kiwiz]

S15
Hurricanes up against Blues
Taking Hurricanes

[kiwiz]

S15
Hurricanes up against Blues
Taking Blues +16.5 pyol

[kiwiz]

S15
Hurricanes up against Blues
To score a try - Lolagi Visinia

[kiwiz]

S15
Hurricanes up against Blues
To score a try - Julian Savea

[kiwiz]

S15
Hurricanes up against Blues
To score a try - Maa Nonu

[kiwiz]

S15
Western Force up against Rebels
Taking Western Force +1.5 pyol

[kiwiz]

S15
Western Force up against Rebels
Taking Rebels +7.5 pyol

[kiwiz]

S15
Western Force up against Rebels
To score a try - Nick Cummins

[kiwiz]

S15
Western Force up against Rebels
To score a try - Lopeti Timani

[kiwiz]

Pacific Rugby Challenge
Junior Japan up against Fiji Warriors
Taking Fiji Warriors 13+ margin

[kiwiz]

S15
Crusaders up against Lions
Taking Crusaders

[kiwiz]

S15
Crusaders up against Lions
To score a try - Nemani Nadolo

[kiwiz]

S15
Crusaders up against Lions
To score a try - Johnny McNicholl

[kiwiz]

S15
Highlanders up against Waratahs
Taking Highlanders +3.5 handicap

[kiwiz]

S15
Highlanders up against Waratahs
Taking Highlanders +8.5 pyol

[kiwiz]

S15
Highlanders up against Waratahs
To score a try - Malakai Fekitoa

[kiwiz]

S15
Highlanders up against Waratahs
To score a try - Israel Folau

[kiwiz]

S15
Reds up against Brumbies
Taking Brumbies

[kiwiz]

S15
Reds up against Brumbies
To score a try - Henry Speight

[kiwiz]

S15
Reds up against Brumbies
To score a try - Robbie Coleman

[kiwiz]

S15
Reds up against Brumbies
To score a try - Jarrad Butler

[kiwiz]

Women's USA Sevens
Winner
Taking NZ

[kiwiz]

S15
Stormers up against Chiefs
Taking Chiefs +2.5 handicap

[kiwiz]

S15
Stormers up against Chiefs
Taking Chiefs +6.5 pyol

[kiwiz]

S15
Stormers up against Chiefs
To score a try - Sonny Bill Williams

[kiwiz]

S15
Stormers up against Chiefs
To score a try - Tim Nanai-Williams

[kiwiz]

S15
Stormers up against Chiefs
To score a try - Cheslin Kolbe

[kiwiz]

S15
Cheetahs up against Sharks
To score a try - Cornal Hendricks

[kiwiz]

S15
Cheetahs up against Sharks
To score a try - Cobus Reinach

[kiwiz]

The Six Nations
Wales up against Ireland
Taking Ireland +1.5 pyol

[kiwiz]

The Six Nations
Wales up against Ireland
Taking Wales +6.5 pyol

[kiwiz]

The Six Nations
Wales up against Ireland
To score a try - Paul O'Connell @$26

[kiwiz]

The Six Nations
Wales up against Ireland
To score a try - Gethin Jenkins @$26

[kiwiz]

The Six Nations
Wales up against Ireland
To score a try - Tommy Bowe

[kiwiz]

The Six Nations
England up against Scotland
Taking England

[kiwiz]

The Six Nations
England up against Scotland
Taking Scotland +20.5 pyol

[kiwiz]

The Six Nations
England up against Scotland
To score a try - Luther Burrell

[kiwiz]

The Six Nations
England up against Scotland
To score a try - Matt Scott @$12

[Raystef5845]

The odd “home disadvantage” reared its ugly head again during week 5. The home teams only had a 3-4 record. That brings the season’s record to 14-20 for the home teams.

Good luck with week 6 . It’s about time for some good luck!

Ray Stefani

[kiwiz]

Aviva Premiership
Newcastle up against Gloucester
Taking Newcastle +2.5 line
Newcastle 20:10
Guinness Pro 12
Scarlets up against Glasgow Warriors
Taking Scarlets
Scarlets 19:9
Guinness Pro 12
Dragons up against Munster
Taking Munster
Munster 38:12
Guinness Pro 12
Ulster up against Ospreys
Taking Ulster
Ulster 25:16

[kiwiz]

RFU Championship
London Scottish up against Doncaster
Taking London Scottish

[kiwiz]

U20 International
Italy up against Wales
Taking Wales 13+ margin

[kiwiz]

U20 International
Scotland up against Ireland
Taking Ireland

[kiwiz]

S15
Bulls up against Western Force
Taking Bulls

[kiwiz]

Guinness Pro 12
Connacht up against Zebre
Taking Connacht
Connacht 43:3

[kiwiz]

RFU Championship
Worcester up against Jersey
Taking Worcester
Worcester 32:29

[kiwiz]

International Match
France up against Argentina
Taking Argentina +14.5 pyol
Argentina 18:13

[kiwiz]

Guinness Pro 12
Edinburgh up against Cardiff Blues
Taking Edinburgh
Edinburgh 28:13

[kiwiz]

RFU Championship
Bristol up against Rotherham Titans
Taking Bristol
Bristol 26:17

[kiwiz]

International Match
England up against Australia
Total Points - Over 42.5
Total Points 43

[kiwiz]

International Match
Wales up against South Africa
Taking Wales +12.5 handicap
Wales 12:6

[Raystef5845]

The home team actually had a winning record of 4-2 in week 6. Four of my six favorites won also. Maybe sanity has been restored to the season.

Good luck with week 7.

Ray Stefani

[kiwiz]

Aviva Premiership
Leicester up against Wasps
Taking Leicester
Leicester 18:16

[kiwiz]

Aviva Premiership
Exeter up against Saracens
Taking Exeter +6.5 pyol
Exeter 27:19

[kiwiz]

Guinness Pro 12
Leinster up against Ospreys
Taking Leinster
Leinster 18:12

[kiwiz]

Guinness Pro 12
Connacht up against Scarlets
Taking Connacht
Connacht 14:8

[kiwiz]

Guinness Pro 12
Connacht up against Scarlets
Taking Scarlets +12.5 handicap
Connacht 14:8

[kiwiz]

British and Irish Cup
Rotherham Titans up against Ulster Ravens
Taking Rotherham Titans
Rotherham Titans 52:17

[kiwiz]

British and Irish Cup
Munster A up against Nottingham
Taking Munster A
Munster A 23:16

[kiwiz]

European Champions Cup
Montpellier up against Bath
Taking Bath +12.5 handicap
Bath 30:5

[kiwiz]

European Champions Cup
Sale Sharks up against Saracens
Taking Saracens
Saracens 19:15

[kiwiz]

European Champions Cup
Benetton Treviso up against Northampton Saints
Taking Northampton 13+ margin
Northampton 38:15

[kiwiz]

European Champions Cup
Ulster up against Scarlets
Taking Ulster 13+ margin
Ulster 24:9

[kiwiz]

European Champions Cup
Toulouse up against Glasgow Warriors
Taking Toulouse
Toulouse 19:11

[kiwiz]

European Champions Cup
Ulster up against Scarlets
To score a try - Tommy Bowe
Try Tommy Bowe 59min

[kiwiz]

S15
Hurricanes up against Rebels
Taking Hurricanes

[Sands]

French Top 14


Montpellier v Lyon OU

[kiwiz]

Guinness Pro 12
Munster up against Connacht
Taking Munster

[Raystef5845]

Week 7 went perfectly. Six if my favourites won, including the Highlanders whose supporters cashed a value bet. The only upset of my favourites was when the Lions won; but, they cashed a value bet for their supporters. All was well.

Good luck with week 8,

Ray Stefani

[kiwiz]

European Challenge Cup
Bordeaux Begles up against Lyon OU
Taking Bordeaux Begles
Bordeaux Begles 37:29

European Challenge Cup
Gloucester up against Zebre
Taking Gloucester 13+ margin
Gloucester 35:10

[kiwiz]

S15
Hurricanes up against Stormers
Taking Hurricanes

[kiwiz]

S15
Rebels up against Reds
Taking Rebels

[kiwiz]

S15
Rebels up against Reds
Taking Reds +12.5 handicap

[kiwiz]

British & Irish Cup
Doncaster up against Worcester
Taking Worcester

[kiwiz]

S15
Chiefs up against Blues
Taking Chiefs

[kiwiz]

S15
Brumbies up against Cheetahs
Taking Brumbies

[Raystef5845]

I’m a bit late this week as I was away for a few days.

Last week, supporters of Rebels and Lions cashed value bets. The value bet on the Blues did not cash. Profit on turnover after week 4 stands at 24%.

The Crusaders big win last week moved them into second place among computer team ratings.

Good luck with week 9.

Ray Stefani

[kiwiz]

S15
Blues up against Brumbies
Taking Blues

[kiwiz]

S15
Blues up against Brumbies
Taking Blues +6.5 pyol

[kiwiz]

Aviva Premiership
Newcastle up against Bath
Taking Bath

[kiwiz]

Guinness Pro 12
Glasgow Warriors up against Cardiff Blues
Taking Glasgow Warriors

[kiwiz]

Guinness Pro 12
Benetton Treviso up against Ospreys
Taking Ospreys

[kiwiz]

S15
Crusaders up against Highlanders
Taking Crusaders

[kiwiz]

S15
Crusaders up against Highlanders
Taking Highlanders +13.5 pyol

[kiwiz]

S15
Waratahs up against Stormers
Taking Waratahs

[kiwiz]

S15
Waratahs up against Stormers
Taking Stormers +13.5 pyol

[kiwiz]

S15
Western Force up against Cheetahs
Taking Western Force

[kiwiz]

S15
Western Force up against Cheetahs
Taking Cheetahs+12.5 handicap

[kiwiz]

S15
Lions up against Sharks
Taking Lions

[kiwiz]

S15
Lions up against Sharks
Taking Sharks +12.5 handicap

[kiwiz]

S15
Bulls up against Reds
Taking Bulls

[kiwiz]

RFU Championship

Plymouth Albion up against Bristol
Taking Bristol

Worcester up against Yorkshire Carnegie
Taking Worcester

[kiwiz]

Aviva Premiership
Saracens up against Leicester
Taking Saracens

[kiwiz]

Guinness Pro 12
Zebre up against Scarlets
Taking Scarlets

[Raystef5845]

Week 9 was odd but profitable. The Crusaders went from winning in SA 52-10 in week 8 to losing 20-25 at home in week 9. On the other hand, the Blues, Lions and Highlanders provided winning value bets for supporters, although the Highlanders bet was very small. The Western Force did not reward supporters. Profit on turnover is 28%, so far.

Good luck with week 10.

Ray Stefani

[kiwiz]

European Champions Cup
Bath up against Montpellier
Taking Bath 13+ margin
Bath 32:12

[kiwiz]

European Challenge Cup
Dragons up against Bucharest Wolves
Taking Dragons 13+ margin
Dragons 69:17

[kiwiz]

European Champions Cup
Glasgow Warriors up against Toulouse
Taking Toulouse +12.5 handicap
Toulouse 12:9

[kiwiz]

European Champions Cup
Northampton up against Benetton Treviso
Taking Northampton 13+ margin
Northampton 67:0

[kiwiz]

European Champions Cup
Toulon up against Leicester
Taking Toulon
Toulon 23:8

[jonathon]

Hi Ray
In your betting rules you say "My predicted score difference can also be used to make handicap bets". At your leisure, I wonder if you could explain how you would go about doing this for line bets.
Cheers Jonathon

[kiwiz]

S15
Crusaders up against Chiefs
Taking Crusaders

[kiwiz]

S15
Crusaders up against Chiefs
Taking Chiefs +5.5 pyol

[kiwiz]

European Challenge Cup
Edinburgh up against Dragons
Taking Edinburgh

[kiwiz]

European Challenge Cup
Edinburgh up against Dragons
Taking Dragons +10.5 pyol

[kiwiz]

Canada Women's Sevens
Taking NZ

[kiwiz]

Hi Ray
In your betting rules you say "My predicted score difference can also be used to make handicap bets". At your leisure, I wonder if you could explain how you would go about doing this for line bets.
Cheers Jonathon
(brought forward) inquiry from new member for you Ray

[Sands]

Queensland Premier Rugby


Norths v Sunnybank

[kiwiz]

S15
Highlanders up against Blues
Taking Highlanders

[kiwiz]

S15
Highlanders up against Blues
Taking Blues +12.5 handicap

[Raystef5845]

Somehow, Week 10 seemed a bit odd to me. Maybe that was because of six home losses in seven matches, including four favourites who had probabilities of 75%, 72%, 69% and 62% to win. Let’s see what oddities will emerge in Week 11.

Good luck,

Ray Stefani

[Sands]

Cheers Ray

[thurston]

Indeed, Ray - my tipping was woeful!

[kiwiz]

S15
Chiefs up against Western Force
Taking Chiefs

[kiwiz]

S15
Brumbies up against Highlanders
Taking Highlanders +12.5 handicap

[kiwiz]

Aviva Premiership
Bath up against London Irish
Taking Bath 13+ margin

[kiwiz]

S15
Waratahs up against Rebels
Taking Waratahs

[kiwiz]

Handicap bets??
Hi Ray
In your betting rules you say "My predicted score difference can also be used to make handicap bets". At your leisure, I wonder if you could explain how you would go about doing this for line bets.
Cheers Jonathon
Hi Ray
(brought forward) inquiry from new member for you
in case you didn't notice

[Raystef5845]

In Super 15, we have had to expect the unexpected. For two weeks, 77% of my favourites won. Then for two weeks, only 38% won. In week 11, 100% of my favorites won. I’d rather expect the expected, so we’ll see what happens in week 12.

Stormers supporters cashed the only value bet from week 11.

The was a question about handicap bets. I'm sorry that I didn't notice the question. I provide a predicted margin of victory for each favourite (which can be used versus the bookmaker's ranges). You can take or give points, compared to the bookmaker's ranges and see if there is enough difference to bet. You can create a table that calculates the probablity of winning versus the bookie and use Kelly to decide how much to bet. If you are familiar with Excel and how to use a normal distribution, use a standard deviation of 13.7 points. You take the difference between my prediction and the bookie value, divide by 13.7 and get the probability. It's a little more tricky than a win/lose bet but I see that members do tip handicaps.

Good luck with week 12.

Ray Stefani

[kiwiz]

European Champions Cup
Racing Metro up against Ospreys
Taking Racing Metro
Racing Metro 18:14

[kiwiz]

S15
Highlanders up against Sharks
Taking Highlanders

[kiwiz]

European Challenge Cup
Edinburgh up against Gloucester
Taking Gloucester

[kiwiz]

European Challenge Cup
Edinburgh up against Gloucester
Taking Edinburgh +12.5 handicap

[kiwiz]

European Challenge Cup
Edinburgh up against Gloucester
Taking Total Points over 41.5

[kiwiz]

S15
Blues up against Western Force
Taking Blues

[Raystef5845]

Week 12 was a success as was week 11. In week 12, five of my seven favourites won. More important is that my favourite Rebels were bookie underdogs so they rewarded supporters with a 2.90 decimal odds payout.

Good luck with LUCKY week 13.

[kiwiz]

S15
Crusaders up against Reds
Taking Crusaders

[kiwiz]

S15
Rebels up against Blues
Taking Blues +4.5 line

[kiwiz]

S15
Rebels up against Blues
Taking Blues +12.5 handicap

[kiwiz]

Junior World Championships
Taking NZ

[Sands]

Super Rugby


Rebels v Blues

Rebels v Blues +9.5

[kiwiz]

RFU Championship
Worcester up against London Scottish
Taking Worcester 13+ margin

[Sands]

French Top 14


Toulon v Castres

[kiwiz]

Guinness Pro 12
Scarlets up against Cardiff Blues
Taking Scarlets

[Raystef5845]

A few weeks back, I mentioned that the home teams had a losing record which was very odd. Averages have a way of working themselves out. The home teams have won 18 of the last 20 matches.

Week 13 did turn out to be lucky. Supporters of the Western Force cashed the only value bet of the week but it was a good one. The decimal odds for the Force were 3.10. Profit on turnover for the season is now a hefty 35%. After terrible week 10, bets have done very well with four of five cashing.

Good luck with week 14.

Ray Stefani

[kiwiz]

European Champions Cup
Leinster up against Harlequins
Taking Leinster
Leinster 14:13

[kiwiz]

European Champions Cup
Wasps up against Castres Olympique
Taking Wasps 13+ margin
Wasps 44:17

[kiwiz]

European Champions Cup
Clermont Auvergne up against Munster
Taking Clermont Auvergne
Clermont Auvergne 26:19

[kiwiz]

S15
Blues up against Bulls
Taking Blues +12.5 handicap

[kiwiz]

S15
Reds up against Rebels
Taking Rebels

[kiwiz]

Aviva Premiership
Bath up against Gloucester
Taking Bath

[kiwiz]

Aviva Premiership
Exeter Chiefs up against Sale Sharks
Taking Exeter

[Sands]

Super Rugby


Hurricanes v Chiefs

Hurricanes v Chiefs +10.5

[kiwiz]

Welsh Premiership
Pontypridd up against Ebbw Vale
Taking Pontypridd

[Sands]

French Top 14


Clermont Auvergne v Toulon

[Raystef5845]

After disastrous week 10, when pretty much everyone had trouble tipping, six of the last seven value bets have been winners. Both value bets were winners during week 14, thanks to the Blues and Hurricanes. Profit on turnover has improved from being negative after week 10 to being 40% after week 14.

Good luck with week 15.

Ray Stefani

[kiwiz]

S15
Chiefs up against Bulls
Taking Chiefs

[kiwiz]

Guinness Pro 12
Glasgow Warriors up against Ulster
Taking Glasgow Warriors

[kiwiz]

Guinness Pro 12
Glasgow Warriors up against Ulster
Taking Ulster +12.5 handicap

[Raystef5845]

There is a good reason why we take averages. My 20 year average profit on turnover is 14%. I had a 40% POT before week 15. POT is now back to 14% after a not-so-good week 15. Here are my predictions for week 16.

I’ll be away next week so my next send will be for week 18.

Good luck with week 16.

Ray Stefani

[Sands]

Thanks Ray, enjoy your short break :)

[kiwiz]

European Challenge Cup
Zebre up against Gloucester
Taking Gloucester
Gloucester 32:16

[kiwiz]

International
Ireland XV up against Barbarians
To score a try - Craig Gilroy

[kiwiz]

International
Ireland XV up against Barbarians
Taking Ireland

[kiwiz]

International
Ireland XV up against Barbarians
Taking Barbarians +20.5 pyol

[kiwiz]

S15
Crusaders up against Hurricanes
Taking Hurricanes

[kiwiz]

S15
Crusaders up against Hurricanes
Taking Crusaders +12.5 handicap

[kiwiz]

S15
Brumbies up against Bulls
Taking Brumbies

[kiwiz]

S15
Brumbies up against Bulls
Taking Bulls +12.5 handicap

[kiwiz]

S15
Sharks up against Rebels
Taking Sharks

[kiwiz]

S15
Highlanders up against Chiefs
Taking Highlanders

[kiwiz]

S15
Highlanders up against Chiefs
Taking Chiefs +12.5 handicap

[kiwiz]

S15
Stormers up against Cheetahs
Taking Stormers

[rhino82]

Rugby Union, World Cup winner, main bet New Zealand, minor bet England

[rhino82]

Rugby Union, World Under 20 Championship winner, main bet England, minor bet New Zealand

[kiwiz]

S15
Hurricanes up against Highlanders
Taking Hurricanes

[kiwiz]

S15
Hurricanes up against Highlanders
Taking Highlanders +15.5 pyol

[Raystef5845]

I was away for a week so I was unable to send week 17 predictions. I’ve caught up. For the last 14 matches, my favorite won 12, lost 1 and tied 1. The Crusaders are also finishing strong with the third highest point difference in the Super 15 table and my second highest rating. Unfortunately, they will watch the finals on TV after too many losses.

Good luck with the last week before finals.

Ray Stefani

[kiwiz]

S15
Blues up against Highlanders
Taking Highlanders

[kiwiz]

S15
Blues up against Highlanders
Taking Blues +12.5 handicap

[kiwiz]

S15 Winner
Taking Hurricanes
Saver Waratahs

[grizzle]

super rugby
going the other way
waratahs ($4.35)
save on hurricanes