Rugby Union

[jake]

world cup..nz to reach final..$1.36

[kumite]

Australia vs USA
usa +78.5 pyol
$1.33

[Sands]

French Top 14

Castres v Brive

Clermont v Bayonne

[kumite]

England vs Romania
romania +67.5 pyol
$1.35

[kiwiz]

Currie Cup

Lions up against Blue Bulls

Taking Lions h2h

[kiwiz]

English Premiership

London Irish up against Newcastle

Taking London Irish h2h

[kumite]

Argentina vs Scotland
scotland +10.5 pyol
$1.41

[kumite]

Italy vs USA
italy -13.5 pyol
$1.43

[kumite]

Georgia vs Romania
romania +14.5 pyol
$1.50

[kiwiz]

Muti Bet

Toyota Cup (League) into Rugby World Cup

NZ to win both legs

[kumite]

South Africa vs Samoa
samoa +24.5 pyol
$1.48

[Sands]

French Top 14

Perpignan v Agen

[Sands]

French Top 14

Stade Francais v Brive

[jake]

currie cup..h2h..blue bulls to beat pumas

[kumite]

France vs Tonga
tonga +33.5 pyol
$1.42

[kumite]

England vs Scotland
scotland +17.5 pyol
$1.49

[Sands]

French Top 14

Toulouse v Clermont

[kiwiz]

Heineken Cup

Northampton up against Ulster

Taking Northampton h2h
Northampton 23:13

[kiwiz]

Magners League

Cardiff up against Treviso

Taking Cardiff to win margin 13+
Cardiff 29:9

[kiwiz]

Magners League

Aironi up against Swansea

Taking Swansea h2h
Swansea 12:10

[kiwiz]

Magners League

Leinster up against Glasgow

Taking Leinster h2h
Leinster 38:3

[kiwiz]

Magners League

Munster up against Connacht

Taking Munster h2h
Munster 22:6

[kumite]

England vs Scotland
scotland +17.5 pyol
$1.49
got this one right

[kumite]

France vs Tonga
tonga +33.5 pyol
$1.42
got this one right

[kumite]

South Africa vs Samoa
samoa +24.5 pyol
$1.48
got this one right

[kumite]

Georgia vs Romania
romania +14.5 pyol
$1.50
got close but got this one wrong

[kumite]

Italy vs USA
italy -13.5 pyol
$1.43
got this one right

[kumite]

Argentina vs Scotland
scotland +10.5 pyol
$1.41
got this one right

[kumite]

England vs Romania
romania +67.5 pyol
$1.35
got this one right

[kumite]

Australia vs USA
usa +78.5 pyol
$1.33
got this one right

[kumite]

Tonga vs Japan
Japan +12.5 pyol
$1.36
got close but got this one wrong

[kumite]

Ireland vs Wales
wales +12.5 handicap
$1.23

[kiwiz]

Currie Cup

Leopards up against Sharks

Taking Sharks h2h

[kiwiz]

Pro 12

Leinster up against Connacht

Taking Leinster h2h

[kumite]

South Africa vs Australia
south africa +8.5 pyol
$1.40

[rlf]

Waste of money imo

Australia 13+

[rlf]

Damn! Well played.

NZ/Wales final.

[kumite]

Ireland vs Wales
wales +12.5 handicap
$1.23
got this one right :)

[kumite]

South Africa vs Australia
south africa +8.5 pyol
$1.40
got this one right :)

[kiwiz]

English Premiership

Bath up against Newcastle

Taking Bath h2h
Bath 42:12

[jake]

world cup..pyol..multi..wales+13.5 to beat france..nz+7.5 to beat australia

[Sands]

French Top 14

Clermont v Agen

[Sands]

French Top 14

Bayonne v Montpellier

[kumite]

Wales vs France
wales +5.5 pyol
$1.33

[Sands]

French Top 14

Toulon v Perpignan

[kiwiz]

Currie Cup

Cheetahs up against Griquas

Taking Cheetahs h2h

[kiwiz]

Currie Cup

Sharks up against Lions

Taking Sharks h2h

[kiwiz]

Magners Leaugue

Leinster up against Ulster

Taking Leinster h2h
Leinster 18:3

[jake]

world cup..pyol..multi..wales+13.5 to beat france..nz+7.5 to beat australia
..this multi was a winner

[kumite]

Australia vs Wales
wales +13.5 pyol
$1.33

[kiwiz]

LV Cup

Leicester up against Gloucester

Taking Leicester h2h

[kiwiz]

Currie Cup

Sharks up against Cheetahs
Taking Sharks h2h

[jake]

h2h..multi..lv cup..bath to beat worcester..northampton to beat ospreys..wasps to beat dragons

[kiwiz]

Amlin Challenge Cup

Harlequins up against Stade Francais

Should be a great tussle
Taking Harlequins +12.5 handicap
Harlequins 19:18

[kiwiz]

Heineken Cup

Leinster up against Northampton

Taking Leinster h2h
Leinster 33:22

[kumite]

Wales vs France
wales +5.5 pyol
$1.33
got this one right :)

[kumite]

Australia vs Wales
wales +13.5 pyol
$1.33
got this one right :)

[Sands]

French Top 14

Agen v Montpellier

Agen +12.5 v Montpellier

[kiwiz]

Churchill Cup

Canada up against Russia

Canada margin 13+
Canada 34:18

[kiwiz]

English Premiership

Saracens up against Sale

Taking Saracens h2h & Saracens margin 13+

[kiwiz]

English Premiership

London Wasps up against Northampton

Taking Northampton +12.5 handicap

[kiwiz]

Amlin Challenge Cup

Perpignan up against Exeter

Taking Perpignan h2h

[kiwiz]

Heineken Cup

Harlequins up against Connacht

Taking Harlequins h2h

[kiwiz]

Heineken Cup

London Irish up against Edinburgh

Taking London Irish h2h

[jake]

h2h..multi..amlin cup..bayonne to beat rovigo..agen to beat la villa..

[kiwiz]

Amlin Challenge Cup

Bayonne up against Bordeaux

Taking Bayonne h2h & Bayonne margin 13+

[kiwiz]

Heineken Cup

Northampton up against Scarlets

Taking Northampton h2h

[jake]

h2h..multi..amlin challenge cup..newcastle to beat patrica padova..exeter to beat cavalieri prato..worcester to beat crociati

[jake]

pro12..h2h..cardiff blues to beat aironi

[jake]

gold coast 7s..h2h..multi..argentina to beat png..england to beat scotland..nz to beat kenya..australia to beat japan

[jake]

gold coast 7s..h2h..multi..argentina to beat png..nz to beat kenya..australia to beat japan..south africa to beat usa

[jake]

h2h..multi..amlin cup..bayonne to beat rovigo..agen to beat la villa..
..this multi was a winner

[jake]

h2h..multi..amlin challenge cup..newcastle to beat patrica padova..exeter to beat cavalieri prato..worcester to beat crociati
..this multi was a winner

[jake]

pro12..h2h..cardiff blues to beat aironi
..this bet was a winner

[kiwiz]

Sevens World Series final 8 - NZ, Australia, Fiji, Samoa, South Africa, Wales, England & France
Go NZ!

[kiwiz]

Sevens World Series quarter-finals

New Zealand up against England
Australia up against Samoa
Wales take up against Fiji
South Africa up against France

[jake]

gold coast 7s..h2h..multi..argentina to beat png..england to beat scotland..nz to beat kenya..australia to beat japan
..this multi was a winner

[jake]

gold coast 7s..h2h..multi..argentina to beat png..nz to beat kenya..australia to beat japan..south africa to beat usa
..this multi was a winner

[kiwiz]

Pro D2
Tarbes Pyrenees Rugby up against RC Narbonne Prediction - Tarbes Pyrenees Rugby @$1.15

[kiwiz]

Pro12

Leinster up against Cardiff Blues

Taking Leinster h2h

[kiwiz]

English Premiership

Exeter up against Worcester

Taking Exeter h2h

[kiwiz]

Churchill Cup

England Saxons up against Tonga

England Saxons margin 13+
England Saxons 41:14

[jake]

heineken european cup..ulster to beat aironi

[kiwiz]

Amlin Challenge Cup

Agen up against Sale

Taking Sale h2h

[kiwiz]

Heineken Cup

Cardiff up against Edinburgh

Taking Cardiff h2h

[kiwiz]

Heineken Cup

Racing Metro up against London Irish

Taking Racing Metro h2h

[kiwiz]

Heineken Cup

Saracens up against Ospreys

Taking Saracens h2h

[jake]

h2h..multi..amlin challenge cup..brive to beat rugby club la vila..lyon to beat petrarca..stade francais to beat parma

[kiwiz]

IRB U20

New Zealand up against Australia

Taking NZ h2h & NZ margin 13+
NZ 37:7

[jake]

heineken european cup..ulster to beat aironi
ulster..31..aironi..10

[jake]

h2h..multi..amlin challenge cup..brive to beat rugby club la vila..lyon to beat petrarca..stade francais to beat parma
..this multi was a winner

[kiwiz]

Ranfurly Shield

Canterbury up against North Otago

Taking Canterbury margin 24.5+
Canterbury 52:8

[kiwiz]

Heineken Cup

Biarritz up against Treviso

Taking Biarritz h2h

[kiwiz]

ITM Cup

North Harbour up against Tasman

Taking North Harbour h2h
North Harbour 39:15

[kiwiz]

Heineken Cup

Leinster up against Bath

Taking Leinster h2h & Leinster margin 13+

[kiwiz]

Heineken Cup

Toulouse up against Harlequins

Taking Toulouse h2h

[Sands]

French Top 14

Toulon v Lyon

[kiwiz]

English Premiership

London Irish up against Exeter

Taking London Irish h2h

[Sands]

French Top 14

Toulouse v Bayonne

[kiwiz]

ITM Cup

Hawkes Bay up against Southland

Taking Hawkes Bay h2h
Hawkes Bay 29:18

[kiwiz]

ITM Cup

Counties up against Manawatu

Taking Counties h2h
Counties 32:25

[jake]

england..aviva premiership..leicester tigers to beat london wasps

[kiwiz]

Pro 12

Scarlets up against Glasgow

Taking Scarlets h2h

[kiwiz]

Pro 12

Munster up against Benetton Treviso

Taking Munster h2h

[Sands]

French Top 14

Bayonne v Bordeaux

[jake]

england..aviva premiership..leicester tigers to beat london wasps
tigers..29..wasps..11

[rlf]

French Top 14

Bayonne v Bordeauxsilly bet, what made you think this was value?

[kiwiz]

ITM Cup

Bay of Plenty up against North Harbour

Taking BoP h2h
BoP 38:17

[kiwiz]

ITM Cup

Hawkes Bay up against Otago

Taking Hawkes Bay +12.5 handicap
Hawkes Bay 27:13

[kiwiz]

ITM Cup

Bay of Plenty up against Waikato

Taking BoP +12.5 handicap
BoP 36:8

[kiwiz]

ITM Cup

Wellington up against Canterbury

Should be a tough go
Taking pre-game fave Wellington h2h with a saver Canterbury +12.5 handicap
Wellington 37:28 so collected on both bets. Hope you got on.

[jake]

heineken european cup..h2h..multi..toulon to beat connacht..munster to beat castres olympique

[kiwiz]

Amlin Challenge Cup

Bordeaux up against Bayonne

Should be reasonably close
Taking Bayonne h2h with a saver Bordeaux +12.5 handicap

[kiwiz]

ITM Cup

Southland up against Counties

Taking Southland h2h
Southland 22:14

[kiwiz]

ITM Cup

Waikato up against Tasman

Taking Waikato h2h
Waikato 35:6

[kiwiz]

Amlin Challenge Cup

Brive up against Agen
Taking Brive h2h

[kiwiz]

Heineken Cup

Ospreys up against Benetton Treviso
Taking Ospreys h2h

[kiwiz]

Heineken Cup

Glasgow up against Leinster

Glasgow at home won't be that easy taking Leinster h2h

[kiwiz]

Heineken Cup

Saracens up against Biarritz

Should be reasonably close
Taking Saracens h2h with a saver Biarritz +12.5 handicap

[jake]

challenge cup..h2h..multi..newcastle to beat petrarca..toulon to beat lyon

[jake]

heineken european cup..h2h..multi..toulouse to beat connacht..munster to beat castres olympique
..this multi was a winner

[jake]

challenge cup..h2h..multi..newcastle to beat petrarca..toulon to beat lyon
..this multi was a winner

[Sands]

Rugby Pro D2

US Dax v FC Auch

[kiwiz]

Heineken Cup

Gloucester up against Toulouse

Should be reasonably close
Taking Toulouse h2h with a saver Gloucester +12.5 handicap

[jake]

challenge cup..h2h..multi..toulon to beat petrarca padova..dragons to beat cavalieri prato..stade francais to beat worcester

[jake]

heineken cup..h2h..multi..leicester to beat aironi..leinster to beat montpellier..clermont to beat ulster

[jake]

heineken cup..h2h..multi..leicester to beat aironi..leinster to beat montpellier..cardiff blues to beat racing metro

[jake]

heineken cup..h2h..saracens to beat treviso

[jake]

challenge cup..h2h..multi..toulon to beat petrarca padova..dragons to beat cavalieri prato..stade francais to beat worcester
..this multi was a winner

[kiwiz]

ITM Cup

Taranaki up against Auckland

Taking Taranaki +12.5 handicap
Taranaki 39:11

[kiwiz]

ITM Cup

Bay Of Plenty up against Wellington

Taking BoP h2h & +12.5 handicap
Bay Of Plenty 32:0

[kiwiz]

ITM Cup

Otago up against Counties

Taking Otago h2h
Otago 30:14

[kiwiz]

ITM Cup

Tasman up against Canterbury

Taking Canterbury h2h
Canterbury 36:32

[kiwiz]

ITM Cup

North Harbour up against Auckland

Taking Auckland h2h
Auckland 29:13

[jake]

challenge cup..h2h..multi..toulon to beat petrarca padova..dragons to beat cavalieri prato..stade francais to beat worcester
..this multi was a winner

[kiwiz]

Anglo Welsh Cup

Ospreys up against Dragons

Should be reasonably close
Taking Ospreys h2h with a saver Dragons +12.5 handicap

[jake]

heineken cup..h2h..multi..leicester to beat aironi..leinster to beat montpellier..clermont to beat ulster
..this multi was a winner

[Sands]

French Top 14

Toulon v Bayonne

[kiwiz]

Anglo Welsh Cup

Saracens up against Worcester

Taking Saracens h2h

[kiwiz]

ITM Cup

Auckland up against Counties

Taking Auckland h2h
Auckland 25:22

[kiwiz]

ITM Cup

Taranaki up against Tasman

Taking Taranaki h2h
Taranaki 26:23

[kiwiz]

ITM Cup

Southland up against North Harbour

Taking Southland h2h
Southland 25:23

[kiwiz]

ITM Cup

Canterbury up against Northland

Taking Canterbury h2h
Canterbury 28:13

[kiwiz]

ITM Cup

Waikato up against Otago

Taking Waikato h2h
Waikato 25:10

[Sands]

Bordeaux v Lyon

Bordeaux +12.5 v Lyon

[jake]

irb 7s..h2h..multi..wales to beat usa..australia to beat japan..nz to beat france

[jake]

irb 7s..h2h..multi..australia to beat japan..nz to beat france..samoa to beat canada

[Sands]

IRB 7 • Wellington

Scotland v USA

[jake]

anglo welsh cup..h2h..multi..leicester to beat newcastle..northhampton to beat london wasps..worcester to beat ospreys

[jake]

anglo welsh cup..h2h..multi..leicester to beat newcastle..northhampton to beat london wasps

[kiwiz]

ITM Cup

Wellington up against Southland

Taking Wellington h2h
Wellington 30:25

[jake]

pro12..h2h..ulster to beat dragons

[jake]

pro12..h2h..cardiff blues to beat connacht

[jake]

pro12..h2h..multi..cardiff blues to beat connacht..ulster to beat dragons

[kiwiz]

Aviva Premiership

Sale up against Worcester

Taking Sale h2h

[kiwiz]

Aviva Premiership

Bath up against Newcastle

Taking Bath h2h

[kiwiz]

6 Nations Week 2

Wales up against Scotland

Taking Wales h2h

[Raystef5845]

Hello Everone.

Year two of the new three-conference system is about to start. Home advantage was a little lower last season with half the games being played in each team's country.

I start where last seaosn left off. My offensive and defensive ratings are from the end of last season. It takes about 4 weeks to reset ratings for this year's changes.

Bet very cautiously for the first four weeks.

I added a lot of info on how to bet with my predictions and some info about how my system works.
Good luck.
Ray Stefani

[kumite]

hi ray thanks for your input
looking at your week1 attach, just checking am reading it right
Crusaders & Lions both predicted to win & both are currently overlay money line value bets (as you put it) as odds available easily exceed your predicted odds?
also is this the main factor for "good" h2h bets or should we also consider, for example, a min % win probability or something else?
thanks again :)

[Raystef5845]

Hi Kumite

I checked TAB New Zealand odds. I do not see the Lions as an overlay bet. I have fair odds of 1.95 but TAB offers only 1.65. No value bet. I have the Cheetahs at 2.06 vs. TAB at 2.15, a mild value bet. Half Kelly suggests a bet of 1.9% of your bankroll. I have the Crusaders at 1.85 vs TAB at 2.10, a half Kelly 6.1% overlay bet. I have the Bulls at 1.65 vs TAB at 1.80, a half Kelly bet of 5.7%. That adds to 13.5% of your bankroll.

Remember, my odds are for ratings at the end of last season. They haven't been adjusted for player, manager or strategy changes. Be cautious for the first four weesk while the computer adjusts ratings.

Good luck,

Ray Stefani

[Raystef5845]

Hi Kumite,

I forgot to answer your other question about factors affecting a bet. The half Kelly equation takes care of how much overlay there is and not betting much on longshots. The numerator of the Kelly equation, Rf/Rb-1, is the amount of overlay, what you expect to win. If there is low overaly, that will suggest hardly any bet. You divide by Rb-1 which reduces bets on long shots (large Rb). I caution aganst Rb more than 4.35 anyway. Finally, you take half the result so as not to overbet and you scale down to 25% of your bankroll if you find a week with overlay bets titaling moe than 25% of your bakroll.

Good luck,
Ray

[Raystef5845]

I wrote the numerator of the Kelly equation incorrectly in my last send. If Rb is the bookie decimal odds and Rf is my fair odds. The numerator of the Kelly equation should be Rb/Rf-1. If the bookie gives Rb = 2.2 and I have Rf = 2, then the numerator is 2.2/2 - 1 or 1.1 - 1 or 0.1. That means the expected overlay is 10%. The denominator for Kelly is Rb -1 which would be 2.2 - 1 or 1.1. Taking 1/2 Kelly you get 0.5 (0.1)/1.1 or 0.045. You bet 4.5% or your bankroll. The info with each week's predcitions gives the 1/2 Kelly formula and much more.

Cheers,

Ray Stefani

[kumite]

thanks very much ray for all the additional feedback :)
softly, softly the first few rounds

[jake]

pro12..h2h..ospreys to beat aironi

[jake]

pro12..h2h..leinster to beat scarlets

[jake]

pro12..h2h..multi..leinster to beat scarlets..ospreys to beat aironi

[Fatcat]

Ray

The website links in your weekly predictions are not working. Looking for your predictions on the UK EPL please?

Regards
Fatcat

[jake]

heineken cup..h2h..multi..leicester to beat aironi..leinster to beat montpellier..cardiff blues to beat racing metro
..this multi was a winner

[jake]

heineken cup..h2h..saracens to beat treviso
..this bet was a winner

[jake]

irb 7s..h2h..multi..wales to beat usa..australia to beat japan..nz to beat france
..this multi was a winner

[jake]

irb 7s..h2h..multi..australia to beat japan..nz to beat france..samoa to beat canada
..this multi was a winner

[jake]

anglo welsh cup..h2h..multi..leicester to beat newcastle..northhampton to beat london wasps..worcester to beat ospreys
..this multi was a winner

[jake]

anglo welsh cup..h2h..multi..leicester to beat newcastle..northhampton to beat london wasps
..this multi was a winner

[jake]

pro12..h2h..ulster to beat dragons
..this bet was a winner

[jake]

pro12..h2h..cardiff blues to beat connacht
..this bet was a winner

[jake]

pro12..h2h..multi..cardiff blues to beat connacht..ulster to beat dragons
..this multi was a winner

[jake]

pro12..h2h..ospreys to beat aironi
..this bet was a winner

[jake]

pro12..h2h..leinster to beat scarlets
..this bet was a winner

[jake]

pro12..h2h..scarlets to beat benetton treviso

[jake]

pro12..h2h..multi..leinster to beat scarlets..ospreys to beat aironi
..this multi was a winner

[kiwiz]

S15

Blues up against Crusaders

Should be a great game to kickoff the season
Taking Blues h2h & +12.5 handicap

[kiwiz]

S15

Brumbies up against Western Force

Taking Western Force +12.5 handicap

[kiwiz]

S15

Bulls up against Sharks

Should be a close encounter

Taking Sharks +12.5 handicap

[kiwiz]

English Premiership

Sale up against London Wasps

Taking Sale h2h

[kiwiz]

Pro 12

Munster up against Cardiff Blues

Taking Munster h2h

[kiwiz]

Pro 12

Ulster up against Ospreys

Taking Ulster h2h

[kiwiz]

Pro 12

Connacht up against Edinburgh

Taking Connacht +12.5 handicap

[kiwiz]

S15

Chiefs up against Highlanders

Taking Chiefs h2h & +3.5 pyol

[kiwiz]

S15

Waratahs up against Reds

Taking Reds +12.5 handicap & +8.5 pyol

[kiwiz]

S15

Stormers up against Hurricanes

Taking Stormers h2h

[kiwiz]

S15

Lions up against Cheetahs

Taking Lions +5.5 pyol

[Sands]

Super 15 · Round 1

Chiefs v Highlanders

Chiefs v Highlanders +18.5

[kiwiz]

English Premiership

Leicester up against Newcastle

Taking Leicester h2h

[Raystef5845]

I know I posted this a day ago, but it doesn’t show up, so let’s try again. Last week went unusually well for a first week. My predictions were very close to bookmakers’ offerings. I only found 3 value bets in 7 matches, totaling just 14% of bankroll. That shows that my ratings are right in line with this year’s teams. Two of my 3 value bets cashed (Crusaders and Bulls). Even better, five of my predicted margins of victory were within 1 point of what actually happened. Let’s hope that success carries into week 2.

Good luck.

<O:p</O:pRay Stefani
<O:p</O:p

[rlf]

Cheers Ray

[kiwiz]

S15

Chiefs up against Blues

Taking Blues h2h & +12.5 handicap

[kiwiz]

S15

Rebels up against Waratahs

Taking Waratahs h2h & +12.5 handicap

[Sands]

Super 15 · Round 2

Chiefs v Blues +4.5

[Sands]

Super 15 · Round 2

Highlanders v Crusaders +1.5

[jake]

top14..h2h..castres to beat lyon

[Raystef5845]

For this early in the season, results are surprisingly good. Two more value bets were cashed last week by Chiefs and Highlanders supporters. That makes four from six in value bets so far in two weeks, with 95% profit on turnover. Let's keep it up!

Good luck with week 3,

Ray Stefani

[kumite]

going well ray, thanks again

[kiwiz]

S15

Force up against Hurricanes

Taking Force +12.5 handicap

[kiwiz]

S15

Crusaders up against Chiefs

Taking Chiefs +14.5 pyol

[kiwiz]

Anglo Welsh Cup

Bath up against Leicester

Taking Bath h2h

[kiwiz]

S15

Brumbies up against Cheetahs

Taking Cheetahs +15.5 pyol

[kiwiz]

S15

Highlanders up against Waratahs

Taking Highlanders +5.5 pyol

[kiwiz]

S15

Reds up against Rebels

Taking Reds h2h

[kiwiz]

S15

Sharks up against Lions

Taking Sharks h2h with a saver Lions +20.5 pyol

[kiwiz]

S15

Bulls up against Blues

Taking Bulls h2h with a saver Blues +15.5 pyol

[Sands]

French Top 14

Toulouse v Castres

[Sands]

French Top 14

Stade Francais v Lyon

[Raystef5845]

After writing how close my predictions had been, along came week 3 when the heavily favoured Crusaders and Bulls both lost. A photo of Sonny Bill Williams playing against the Crusaders seemed wrong, somehow.

There is an oddity with the computer rankings. The Brumbies are last even though they won both games. Last year, they were towards the bottom. In both matches this year, they were favoured. Since they won by less than predicted, their ratings dropped after each win. So, there they are, at the bottom with the two teams they beat less than a point above them.

Good luck with Week 4.

Ray Stefani

[kumite]

again thanks ray

[jake]

s15..top australian team..reds

[jake]

s15..top nz team..chiefs or blues

[jake]

s15..top south african team..stormers

[jake]

s15..rnd4..pyol..multi..chiefs+2.5 to beat brumbies..highlanders+14.5 to beat hurricanes..waratahs+2.5 to beat force

[jake]

s15..rnd4..pyol..multi..sharks+11.5 to beat reds..cheetahs+18.5 to beat rebels

[Raystef5845]

I thought we had a good value bet with the Hurricanes last week but they gave up a late penalty kick to lose to the visiting Highlanders by 2. Home teams have been outscored by the visitors so far, which was the source of upsets. That is odd after the first two weeks went about as expected. The home team usually outscores the visitors by 4 in domestic matches and 5 in international matches.

Good luck with week 5

Ray Stefani

[kiwiz]

S15
Blues up against Hurricanes
Taking Hurricanes +13.5 pyol

[Sands]

Super 15 · Round 5

Blues +3.5 v Hurricanes

Blues v Hurricanes +12.5

[kiwiz]

S15
Waratahs up against Sharks
Taking Sharks +12.5 pyol

[jake]

h2h..multi..french top14..clermont to beat perpignan..stade francais to beat agen

[jake]

h2h..multi..french top14..clermont to beat perpignan..toulon to beat racing metro

[jake]

h2h..multi..french top14..stade francais to beat agen..toulon to beat racing metro

[kiwiz]

S15
Brumbies up against Western Force
Taking Western Force +12.5 handicap
Brumbies 19:17

[kiwiz]

S15
Bulls up against Sharks
Should be a close encounter
Taking Sharks +12.5 handicap
Bulls 18:13

[kiwiz]

English Premiership
Sale up against London Wasps
Taking Sale h2h
Sale 46:34

[Raystef5845]

Waratahs supporters cashed a value bet last week. My favorite won 5 of 7. This week I have four games within one point. That should be exciting.

Good luck,

Ray Stefani

[kiwiz]

S15
Highlanders up against Rebels
Taking Highlanders +3.5 pyol

[Sands]

Super 15 · Round 6

Hurricanes +1.5 v Cheetahs

Hurricanes v Cheetahs +16.5

[Sands]

Super 15 · Round 6

Chiefs +3.5 v Waratahs

[Raystef5845]

I'm a bit late this week. I just got back from vacation.

Good luck,

Ray Stefani

[Sands]

Super 15 · Round 7

Hurricanes v Sharks +8.5

[Sands]

Super 15 · Round 7

Reds +8.5 v Brumbies

Reds v Brumbies +10.5

[Sands]

Super 15 · Round 7

Force v Chiefs +3.5

[kiwiz]

Challenge Cup
Toulon up against Harlequins
Taking Toulon h2h

[Sands]

Super 15 · Round 7

Highlanders +7.5 v Stormers

[Raystef5845]

Supporters of the Rebels, Hurricanes and Reds cashed head-to-head value bets last week. Profit on turnover is now 14%, my 16 season average.


Good luck with week 8.

Ray Stefani

[kumite]

cheers ray

[kiwiz]

S15
Lions up against Bulls
Taking Bulls h2h

[kiwiz]

S15
Blues up against Sharks
Taking Sharks +8.5 pyol

[Sands]

Super 15 · Round 8

Force +10.5 v Waratahs

Force v Waratahs +5.5

[kiwiz]

S15
Crusaders up against Stormers
Taking Stormers +10.5 pyol

[Sands]

Super 15 · Round 8

Brumbies v Rebels

Brumbies +4.5 v Rebels

[Sands]

French Top 14

Clermont v Stade Francais

[Sands]

French Top 14

Racing Metro v Brive

[Sands]

Super 15 · Round 8

Cheetahs +10.5 v Chiefs

[Sands]

Super 15 · Round 8

Lions v Bulls