My Selections for today.

[Sportz]

A great day's racing tomorrow for a Wednesday!!!

Probably be back on tomorrow after I've studied them some more, but I'll just post a few now for you to think about. Some of these horses are resuming and I'm not sure at the moment what price they'll be. Be careful.

Warwick Farm R1
4 MANTON Tremendous run at only career start with a fast finishing 4th behind Fashions Afield. Very impressive on the track recently. John Hawkes 3yo which looks to have a good future. Outside barrier here, but Beadman has been booked to ride. Unfortunately, it may not be great value as plenty of people will have been waiting for it. A few other nice horses in this one including the promising Commanding Victory and a first starter worth considering Parfumier. Possible numbers 4,1,7 - 2,12,10

Warwick Farm R2
3 FLIGHTY A terrific first start flashing home late to grab 3rd. I've been waiting for it to race again, and I'm a bit worried that it's taken 4 weeks. In any case, I'm also very keen on the prospects of 2 SUN SONG whose last start form in strong Saturday class is certainly good enough for this. Haven't decided which one is my top pick yet. Possible numbers 3,2,4 - 1,6

Warwick Farm R6
5 SNOWDEN Another promising John Hawkes 3yo resuming after an impressive trial. Again, the problem could be the price. Hopefully, it's not too short. Possible dangers are Aldeburgh and Gunfire Messiah, but I definitely have to study this one some more. Possible numbers 5,6,2 - 3,8,13

Moonee Valley R3
1 JENNINGS Yet another promising 3yo I've been waiting for. Top run at only start back in June and looks to have a great spring ahead. Word of warning though. He's been slow out of the barriers at both his race start and also in a recent trial. I'm also very keen on the prospects of 4 LONG WALK in this race and it may end up being much better value. Was beaten by a smart one last start in a strong Saturday race and will take beating here. Again, I haven't worked out which one should be top pick yet. Possible numbers 1,4,6 - 7,3,5

[maverick1993]

Like Flighty alot Sportz...fantastic run last start..should be still fast and fresh for this race ...
When a hawkes runner trials well it realy makes you take notice ..he usually just gives them a run in those things..Snowden is well worth a look..
heaps of interest tomorrow..

[Raw Instinct]

I only got a couple of winners in Rocky today Mr. Amore in the first was shorter than I wanted but a win is a win, had a big go at Fortified and think it would have won if it had of gone straight, thought at one stage I was in danger on the other side of the fence. I finished winning on Tycoon Ted got $2.50 on him so that wasn't to bad thought he was a certainty and Bay Owl in the last was confident there. No real good odds but a win is a win.

[Mr ed]

Great work Mav, your a champ. Don't know why the jockey got so far back around the 400m mark he was in a great position but shuffled right back and actually had to check across heels of the eventual winner, he let down nicely when out and he would have been very close if he could've held his position.

[Mr ed]

One that should be at double figure odds tommorow who ran terrificly last start is Napa Sky.

He hits a very hot race tommorow, with handy gallopers Hillfa (G2 2nd), Reannag (awesome 6 length f/u win last time in) and ravishing choice all in the hunt, along with query first starters, Abbey a Redoutes trained by Roggie ridden by Danny (how often do they lose?), and Royal Whizz who must have shown Tommy Hughes enough to bring here first up.

Napa Sky however is the horse with fitness on her side and that can count for a whole lot, her last run when about 4 lengths 2nd to the very smart Amerryking was enormous, she led and they set a furious speed with Super Mario attacking it the whole way, the winner pounced easily on her and she was entitled to weaken (Super Mario ran tailed off), but she held on like a good horse for 2nd, Record ran 4th in the race and put in a terrific performance for 2nd last start coming from last at Flemington. Tommorow there really doesn't look alot of speed on from the raced brigade, and she should lead quite easily, with the big pull in the weights from these classier gallopers after Stra's claim and her race fitness, around the tight Mooney Valley circuit she'll take a power of running down.

Hopefully Napa can run a mighty race for us, and with all the attractive horses in the field i think she'll be real value on the tote.

Cheers ED

[Sportz]

Yeah, I thought that one was a good value chance too, Ed.

[Tenacious Spirit]

I have one in the book, Race 1 - 15 Questionable. First starter, i must have liked the trial. Havn't really looked at the opposition to hard but it is a maiden so anything can really happen, its not as if there is any winning form to go off so to speak. It has drawn out in the carpark 15 of 15, which is a big concern. Its at like 60 or so dollars at the moment though. So just have a look see how it goes, have a few dollars on if you are game, whatever. Cheers for all the tips guys, now i have to decide what to bet on - thats the hard part.

[Sportz]

Hey TS, you didn't tell us where that was running. It's Adelaide R1-15. :)

[Sportz]

WARWICK FARM
R1-4 MANTON*, 1 Commanding Victory, 5 Beatmore (4,1,5 - 6,7,11,10)
R2-3 FLIGHTY, 2 Sun Song, 4 Mythique (3,2,4 - 1,6)
R3-5 SYDNEY OWNER, 7 Albaicin, 6 Scission (5,7,6 - 1,4,12)
R6-5 SNOWDEN*, 6 Aldeburgh, 3 Presto Vite (5,6,3 - 13,4,1)
R7-6 ON POTENTIAL*, 2 Johan's Toy, 1 Hennessy Waltz (6,2,1 - 7,3,8)

MOONEE VALLEY
R3-1 JENNINGS, 4 Long Walk, 5 Electric General (1,4,5 - 7,6,3)
R4-10 PRINCE OF SCRIBES, 5 Nicholas, 4 Princess Of Oz (10,5,4 - 2,8,7)
R6-10 GOLFYN, 1 Twisted Times, 5 Clearout (10,1,5 - 12,3,2,4)
R8-3 BECCALY, 2 Akiva, 9 Glorious Dane (3,2,9 - 11,5,1)

EAGLE FARM
R3-10 VETTORI'S IMAGE, 9 Stellar Dancer, 15 Scared (10,9,15 - 7,17,18,11)
R7-1 COUNTESS BATHORY*, 8 Umaprince, 4 Promoted (1,8,4 - 6,9,11)

CHELTENHAM
R3-10 LATIGRA*, 6 Valrossi, 2 Invictus (10,6,2 - 5,4,12,13)
R9-1 BANDINI, 8 Angelina Ballerina, 3 Don't Tell Kel (1,8,3 - 9,11,4,5)

[Sportz]

Hmmm, I have 9, 10 & 15 picked out in R3 in Brisbane. Should have had those numbers in R3 in Adelaide instead!!!

[Mr ed]

Just the winner, quinnie and tri in the first Sportz, saving yourslef for the rest of the day are we?

Great work mate,

One i remember from a fair while ago in Sydney, was Sydney Owner- it's last run was out three and four wide in the breeze the whole way but really quickened nicely when asked, also seen it's trial, which looked really nice. Do you know much about the field Sportz, they would want to be pretty smart to beat him from (1) i would think.

[Stix]

Sportz

many slabs involved...

Stix

[Sportz]

I really shouldn't have posted any tips for R3 in Brisbane and Adelaide. Both tough maidens and very hard to pick. In the end, I decided to leave the Brisbane race alone altogether. Should stick to just the best betting races. Sorry. :o

[Sportz]

Told you Jennings was a good one! ;)

Amazed at that price. I thought he would be about $2!!!

[Sportz]

Ed,

Quite impressed by Sydney Owner. Not sure whether it'll be primed to win this, but I'm putting it on top purely on potential. It's definitely one for the future. Scission and Albacian are the fit ones.

[Horse Whisperer]

was Jennings run a good one sportz?? Ive got him in my fantasy racing stable so should i expect something good from it?

[maverick1993]

well done Sportz...missed Jennings ..dam .. sircolo was a nice start though ..
great day off racing today..

[Sportz]

Horse Whisperer,

Absolutely!!!

I'll probably be whacking $150,000 onto it's value for next month, so you've got it cheap.

[Horse Whisperer]

EXCELLENT..... :)

[Desi]

Nice work Mr Ed and Sportz...unfortunately missed the mornings picks but great to pick up something this afternoon...lost a bit though at EFarm on Palatine and Lilla but thats the way it goes lol!!

[Sportz]

Well Desi, I hope you backed those ones I posted last night :D and not the ones I added today. :o

[Desi]

lol..Sportz, fortunately I wrote them down from last night...as I had to get up early for hospital tests...all OK (big smile!) Cheers!!!

[Sportz]

First impressions are often the best. If I had simply stuck to the ones I liked last night, I would have been way ahead:
SR1 Manton
SR2 Sun Song & Flighty
SR6 Snowden
SR7 On Potential
MR3 Jennings & Long Walk
BR7 Countess Bathory & Umaprince

But of course, today I've gone and added a few other bets in races I really should have left alone and that's eaten away at my profits.

[Stix]

Sportz....

Sounds familiar (re: other thread I posted !!).... lol

Still excellent work fella

Stix

[maverick1993]

Just have the few tomorrow...been real lazy after such a good day today..
Rocky
Sea Counsel,Don Sequalo
Gosford
Dusty Daniel

good luck all..already looking forward to Saturday and reviewing the tapes..

I see Blue Ribbons got up today...always stuffed me why it was always so short..must be an excellent worker or something..
or it could of been just needing the better track,,

well done today guys...winners all round the place ..

[Mr ed]

Sorry i couldn't get Napa up for you Mav, you deserved one. Everything panned out as i expected but she just wasn't good enough, they probably just went a little to hard early. Still loked the winner for a fleeting moment, at least you had it e/w and didn't lose on it, i had a big go win only, but thats the way the cookie crumbles. Have had three really big goes the last couple of weeks on, Civil, Mazunda, and Napa but all the barstards keep running second.

[Sportz]

I agree with those ones you mentioned, Mav. But it's Townsville tomorrow, not Rocky. :)

Looks a hard day tomorrow. Nothing much really stands out. Here's a few I'm looking at:

Geelong R2-12 Colonel Mustard - A very good first run back in the autumn, then failed 2nd start and spelled. Has trialled very well leading up to this and has a great chance first up here for Freedman and Ryan. Price may be a bit short though. Others to look at might be 9, 10 & 13.

Geelong R3-9 Montoux - Not sure about this one. Looked very good at her first start in the autumn, but has done little since. Worked home quite well for 5th last start though and she's just starting to get to a distance that should suit. Each way chance. Others to consider are 8, 11 & 16.

Geelong R6-5 Tommifrancs Another impressive one from the Freedman camp. Two top wins at Sale and Geelong and certainly not disgraced when 3rd in town as favourite. Lightly raced and shows plenty of promise. This should suit. Main danger is number 1 Ilbach, especially if the track is wet.

Will look at them a bit more and work out what to do with these races tomorrow.

[kiwi]

Had Napa Sky win only as well Ed and we got a good run for our money, follow you most days you tip and I'm still well ahead.You Sportz and Mav continuosly give out the good oil and support it with decent comments.Keep up the good work.:)

[saratoga samchaz]

Hey mates! This is my first post on this site. I'm a Yank who loves horse racing and is always looking for an edge. Well, I think I've found it here. If I wasn't so lazy last night I would have gone to my local Turf Club and played Sportz selections. I planned on it but I didn't. Instead I stayed in and handicapped Weds. (here in the States) card for Saratoga. The fact that the pools here in America concerning Oz racing are very wild and different from yours, I think I should find some great overlays. The Australian simulcast here starts at 10 pm and is usually being played by action punters. The form is available but how many guys do you really think would come on a site like this to do some research? I've been on some other sites and picked up the universal race stats that I can't handicap without. With solid info from race fans like all of you, I definitely feel very confident on having the edge on my fellow Yankee bettors. This forum is excellent and you guys are astute players. Keep up the good work. I, too, had the early selections from Sportz and would have cleaned house. MY fault but thanks Sportz. Now I need Gosford and Geelong winners. PS My brother is moving to Western Australia inn a couple of weeks to work with a mining company in the bush near Perth.

[saratoga samchaz]

Just for reference:

Manton $8.50 $5.40 2.80
$2 ex 4-1 $34.90
Sun Song $5.70 3.20 3.40
ex 2-4 $21
Snowden $3.30 2.20 2.20

Moonee
Jennings $10.50 4.80 2.70
1-6 ex $26.50
1-6-4 tri $201.20
Napa Sky (Mr. Ed Kudos!!)
$14.50 to place $7.80 to show

I will confer with all of you later today before post time. If you have any access to Saratoga wagering, I have hooked up with some WHITE HOT trainers that are sometimes being overlooked. THe beauty of Saratoga is the underlay on the famous big time connections while the smaller outfits with better horses that day usually get overlooked. Steve Asmussen is connecting at over 50% for wins at the meet and paid $30 with his latest starter. HUH????? 9 wins for 17 starts pays $30. Makes sense to me.

[Sportz]

Hi,

Welcome to the forum. We already have one American punter on here called The Avenger.

Wow. A couple of good divs there, especially Manton and Napa Sky!!! From some of the divs that The Avenger has shown us, you sometimes get big overs on some of the winners here.

Don't expect winners like that all the time from me. I was very confident of those ones! But if I do have some that I like, I'll post them nice and early.

For those Aussies who don't know, US divs are based on a $2 unit and win, place & show refers to 1st, 2nd & 3rd.

[Mr ed]

Hey Samchez, good to see some yanks betting on ozzie racing, i think it's a great product.

Just a question, when you bet to place does your horse have to run second or can it win also? Likewise when betting to show does it pay only on third or any position you fill in the trifecta.

[saratoga samchaz]

Hey Sportz! I wouldn't hold any one to the day you had yesterday(pre late adds). Hell, even with the adds. I have to check the Aussie prices on those overs (Napa and Manton). Are your prices posted as the odds and not the pay off? I guess that's how it is done in Ireland as well as I recall when I went over and found my self at the most comfortable place on earth, the racetrack! Two things that re the same world-wide: horse racing and Irish Pubs. At every foreign track or Irish pub somewhere far from home, I see the same type characters as home. It takes about two minutes to get accustommed to the different lingo and I fell like I've been going there my whole life. Punchestown in Naas, Kildare was VERY NICE!!! I've found that turf breeding is turf breeding no matter where. It's great to see so many US sires in Aus. A Dynaformer upset the field in Saratoga today on the front end. I caught Satinspin (SPinning World-BC mile) at 1 1/16 Sunday(Aus) as well as chalky Jaffa Jonnie(DAnzig Connection-Turf Pedigree). The More Than Ready's seem to be taking to the turf and EL Prado continues to show why he is regarded as the top turf sire in North America, alongside Dynaformer. Here is one that you may not have heard of UNUSUAL HEAT, standing in California, his progeny are smoking the grass courses in Cali. and he is ranked 6th in money earned in NA above Storm CAt With Approval Royal Academy, Sadler's Wells, and AP INDY. He is definitely worth a look see if his runners make it to Van Diemen's Land> Sorry to ramble but I love this stuff!!!

W

[saratoga samchaz]

Thanks for the welcome, ED. THe runner can finish anywhere above what you place it and still get paid. If it wins and you bet show (Or place for that matter) you still do get paid, but show bets are notoriously small here(remember our fields are not as large as yours. I almost always bet my horse Win and Place, besides gimmicks. If your horse runs second, you might break even or even come out ahead a little rather than being mad about how close you came(while losing your proposition all together. In Aus, (as in Ireland) is place = 2,3,4th in most fields? And do you get paid for all three positions if your horse comes in 2nd? I can't remember how it works. I do know each way is Win and Place right?What does Avenger think of the idea of having a major advantage if you do your homework compared to the average player here in the US?

[TheAvenger]

Hi Samchez:

You are right about this forum being a bettor's edge in Oz. There are some excellent handicappers here. I've been playing the Aussie races for a couple of years now, and have learned a lot just by reading posts and asking questions. In fact, it was Sportz that turned me on to a couple of other sites (not forums) that have greatly helped my play, along with the fantastic tips here. Since we only get two tracks a night, and only the full card on weekends, it's tough to have great betting info and not be able to use it because our TAB doesn't take that track, that night. If you have any hot pix at Saratoga, do let me know. Best of luck

Regards,

Glenn

Gleter@cox.net

[saratoga samchaz]

I should have started on the Aussie racing a while back also. I can't go to the track at night and bet junk like Charlestown and Mountaineer. It's throwing money away. Anywhere horse racing is regarded as sport and not just as a degenerate gamble like the 50% take on the daily number, will make the game a million times better. Just look at Saratoga as compared to Aqueduct, but I'm sorry to say that horse racing in the US looks to be on it's last legs. There was an article in the form today about the attendance and handle being down for the Saratoga meet 1/2 way through and it was not pretty. The younger generation has no interest in the tradition and honor that horse racing was built on. They could care less if Go For Wand broke down as long as they cashed their $2 bet. I guess you are a Remington man. Then you are certainly aware of the Steve Asmussen magic. You can't go wrong there and he still is not getting over bet on the east cost (Usually). He paid $6 today at Monmouth (6 wins for 11 starts this year and 1 for 1 with Chris Decarlo on board) How did he even pay this in such a weak field? He had 7 races with 8 horses today at 4 different tracks and won 2 and placed in the rest, just getting beat on at least two of them. He is sometimes a short price, but the horses look like they should be those odds. He works all his horses in company and it helps to tell how good they are. For instance the 2nd at Saratoga Thursday. CASH FLOW drops from a Mdn Spl Wt to a Mdn Claim for Asmussen and some jockey named Jerry Bailey. His 2 yolds are always away from the gate first and that is huge in baby races. This baby worked with his top older mare Lady Tak and matched her on the slow going OKLAHOMA training track. The main competition may be Delaware Park Shipper (My home track and home of AFleet Alex) Five Star Dream trained by Mike Gorham and ridden by leading rider Edgar Prado. The horse adds blinkers drops into Mdn claim and travels 300 miles to face presumably better horses instead of making it easy on the juvenile filly. She also worked a bullet at Delaware. This type of behavior shows something because the money is not that much better to pick a much harder spot to try to break her maiden. I'll give you some more by tommorrow.

[Stix]

Geelong Race 4-5 Bella Comand
She doesn't win too many (1 from 14), but was encouraged by last start and has placed here twice. Does like it wet and has B Shinn on board and from Barrier 4 will get a lovely run. Would want close to double figure odds.... but would accept e/way odds.

Geelong Race 6-5 Tommyfrancs
Very Smart Freedman horse again Shinn on board and should account for these, missed out last start but should make ammends.... not flash odds maybe exacta with 1,3,5,9

Geelong Race 7-7 Outcast Babe
Resuming and has won 3 of 7, finished 2nd to Diamond Hailey in a Barrier Trial, who has won in town and the trial was on the heavy so trak no worry. Has a good jock in Mertens....again want over 5's... but don't think I'll get it...

Gosford Race 5-4 Keepa Movin Dan
Consistent horse with nice first up effort. Only win has been over the 1200m and has ran second at track and the good track is a bonus.

Northam Race 1-11 Kim Tina
3yo Filly, a first starter By Theater out of Kim Mover. No trial form that I could find but is a speculative tip from a horsewhisper mate of mine. Just for Fun

Good Luck all....

[Desi]

Nice finish for Sea Counsel Mav...good start for me lol! Good luck for the rest of the day guys..

[Sportz]

Sorry about Montoux. I obviously over-rated her and I might have to sack her now I think. :o

Also apologise for not being able to get on and post earlier than this as I've found a few extra winners in the early races. Sorry about that.

[Sportz]

Geelong Race 4-5 Bella Comand
She doesn't win too many (1 from 14), but was encouraged by last start and has placed here twice. Does like it wet and has B Shinn on board and from Barrier 4 will get a lovely run. Would want close to double figure odds.... but would accept e/way odds.


Well done. Nowhere near double figures but still okay!

[Desi]

Hey Stix, Great start with Bella Command...good stuff mate!!

Northam...Kim Tina was 2nd (nk) in a reasonable 400m trial 30/7 according to my trial BBook...also have 14 Tip The Angel (should be favourite) won a 900m trial at Lark Hill and was third to Blind Power in small field first up...

No 2 King Risca ran 2nd fastest trial time for the day at Belmont on a dead trk and could be one for a spec bet...should pay reasonable $$$...

[Mr ed]

Well done, Mav and Stix, couple of early winners.

Is $2.60 fixed price enormous overs for the Roller, i think so. He should be able to cross and lead easily from Super Elegant, who you would say can't beat it. The rest are all resuming and looking for further.

[TheAvenger]

Good call. Wish I'd had 2nd. I did have third!

Regards,

Glenn

[Mr ed]

And you Sports, didn't even see that Colonel Mustard well done. I didn't like him because in his trial (Which he won) he really sweated up badly. That may just be the way he races though, was he like that today?

[Sportz]

And do you get paid for all three positions if your horse comes in 2nd? I can't remember how it works. I do know each way is Win and Place right?

Yes, when we say each-way we mean Win & Place. But we only have 2 divs, not 3. Our 'place' is the same as your 'show', so if we back a horse to place, it can come 1st, 2nd or 3rd. Hope that helps.

[maverick1993]

Hi guys .. logged on to the account have enough profit to maybe fill the fuel tank up .. still for a lazy day ..i'm happy to be ahead ,,
got the tri 36 times in Townsville ,,you'd think i'd be rich but it paid hardly anything..
missed a couple of your tips guys ..but i might have a go at Country Joy e/w at Geelong in the 7th a bit of late mail i got this morning...i see stix likes outcast babe in the same race so i might save and play with tris..


good luck all ,, and it looks like plenty of winners around the place today as usual ,,well done :)

[Stix]

Geelong Race 6-5 Tommyfrancs
Very Smart Freedman horse again Shinn on board and should account for these, missed out last start but should make ammends.... not flash odds maybe exacta with 1,3,5,9

Should be..... not flash odds maybe exacta with 1,3,7,9

[Sportz]

Kitchener's entered for the Cox Plate!!!

[Sportz]

Ski For Kings?

Well, I guess you could have had 1 & 5 as roving bankers from the field. I didn't.

Like you Stix, I wasn't too keen on that price for Tommifrancs.

[Stix]

....... tell me about it !!!!!!!!

Not happy Jan!

[Mr ed]

Could've easily backed the winner but didn't, his formlines read very well. He has run courageous seconds to horses like Mock and I forget but some three year old who went on to win at Flemington easily. And a very strong third at Sandown behind the smart Full Fathom. Also a second to Roly Toy who he gave heaps of weight to, and he ran third yesterday at the Valley. It's a hard game this isn't it.

[Sportz]

Yes, his form did seem okay when I looked at it again AFTER THE RACE WAS OVER!!!! A bit too late then.

[luv2bet]

Gday guys, Ive been away for a bit working, glad to see plenty of winners around the place still.
Just looking at townsville Race 7, two to clango. Looks to me a class above these horses here and anything near $4 that its showing now is great value. Can't fault his form at this distance or track and hes drawn to win. Weight shouldnt be a problem and is by far on top for my ratings.
MIght start having a look at 2morows fields.

[racingnovice]

I agree Luv2bet. I have him winning by a good margin :). Lets hope it works out that way.

[Stix]

Geelong Race 4-5 Bella Comand
She doesn't win too many (1 from 14), but was encouraged by last start and has placed here twice. Does like it wet and has B Shinn on board and from Barrier 4 will get a lovely run. Would want close to double figure odds.... but would accept e/way odds.

Geelong Race 6-5 Tommyfrancs
Very Smart Freedman horse again Shinn on board and should account for these, missed out last start but should make ammends.... not flash odds maybe exacta with 1,3,5,9

Geelong Race 7-7 Outcast Babe
Resuming and has won 3 of 7, finished 2nd to Diamond Hailey in a Barrier Trial, who has won in town and the trial was on the heavy so trak no worry. Has a good jock in Mertens....again want over 5's... but don't think I'll get it...

Gosford Race 5-4 Keepa Movin Dan
Consistent horse with nice first up effort. Only win has been over the 1200m and has ran second at track and the good track is a bonus.

Northam Race 1-11 Kim Tina
3yo Filly, a first starter By Theater out of Kim Mover. No trial form that I could find but is a speculative tip from a horsewhisper mate of mine. Just for Fun

Good Luck all....Geelong Race 4-5 Bella Comand WON $3.20 $1.50
Geelong Race 6-5 Tommyfrancs 2ND $1.30
Geelong Race 7-7 Outcast Babe 3RD $2.30
Gosford Race 5-4 Keepa Movin Dan UNPL
Northam Race 1-11 Kim Tina UNPL

Another profitable day....... Hope you went OK!

Stix

[Sportz]

Ed,

Our horse is back tomorrow. Mornington Race 7 number 1. :)

[Mr ed]

Yep, he's not without a chance either. Huge weight though, will have a little on him just in case.

[maverick1993]

Ipswich
*SmartnClassy ...doesnt win enough for me to get overly excited but likes this track,,good jockey and can run time..e/w odds ?
*Marnier ..good northern form ,,distance suits..fantastic last run...this is an open race so expecting good odds.. * Agrios ..has some ability been running on nicely of late ..no superstar though .. .if the odds are good i'll be on both..
*Conduit...another open race..great last run..needs luck from the barrier but has a good a chance as any...toppy the danger..
QueanBean
*Campaignor ..another that doesnt win that often..but last start was very good..should be huge odds ..worth an e/w
Taree
Strategic Plan...performing in harder races than this..big show here..
Mornington
Johnny Be Good.....gets the lead here..will be hard to catch ..this is his distance....big show..

Looking for some value tomorrow ..Confident with Strategic plan and Johnny..hoping for some value with the others..
also dont mind Special Langfur at Ipswich..gets the lead and will be hard to run down..not sure on the price though..

been a great week ..nice being ahead regardless of what happens tomorrow..
Saturday looks a big day ..
will drop in tomorrow to see if anyone has any specials..


Good Luck all :)

[Sportz]

A few I'm thinking about today:

MORNINGTON
R4-2 COINCIDE, 1 Amusing Twist (2,1 - 6,5,4,3)
R6-5 JOHNNY BE GOOD, 3 Vic By The Jug (5,3,6,4 - 2,7)
R7-7 DECLAREE, 1 Sonic Royal (7,1 - 5,4,9,3)

[Stix]

Don't normally tip non-metro meetings (nor interstate for that matter) ..... but what the heck....

Mornington
Race 5 #2 Hoplite
Inconvieneced last start here and was needing the run, might be looking for it a shade longer, but goes OK in Wet

Race 7 #2 Millenium Eagle
Won barrier trial, beating Satinspin and Runs On Ego in wet, has 57.5kg, but 1.5 claim with Austin. Has won at track and distance.... Obviously the (1) Sonic Royal and (7) Declaree will be the ones to beat....

Race 8 #3 Jygah
Won last start here and beaten by smart few last start, so form reads well has the barrier and conditions are OK. DIstance is only query

Ipswich
Race 6 #1 Doctor Hennessy
Very consistent horse who has run well in townand has a nice barrier, loves thr track and distance and should be nice value

Race 7 #11 Little Beautiful
Ran 2nd last start from a spell, another to have run in town and although drawn wide

Race 8 # 2 Marnier
Won last start, even though found a heap of trouble, would have streeted them, which is just as well, as it may bolster his price... here's hoping

Taree
Race 8 #7 Lucky Handout
Has hit form after close second and gutsy win last start, up in class nicely drawn and won this distance - hope we haven't missed the boat

Queanbeyan
Race 7 #4 Go Magpie (Carn the pies!)
Other than the name, this guy won last start after two promising efforts and last start was easy win... hopefully e/way odds

Good Luck....

Yours In Punting

Stix

[Mr ed]

Is Millenium Eagle a Steeplechaser Stix, i remember the name? Gee that race looks made to order for Declaree, he looks thrown in at the weights considering he placed in c4 company last start and won a C3 showcase the start before. Also his form on the heavy is terrific, one to beat but Sonic is so so good you can't dismiss him.

[Stix]

Mr E

Not that I know of..... Agree Declaree and Sonic are the STAND OUTS.... just looking for value for fun...

Stix

[Mr ed]

My mistake, it's Millennium Dancer. Stix what price you reckon we'll get the Roller for tommorrow i'm really considering plonking the $2.60 fixed odds.

[Stix]

I'd take the $2.60......., but I'll be taking him (a few times !!) in stand out exacta and tri with 3,8,13,14

[Sportz]

What about Our Smoking Joe? Absolutely loves the Wet! 4-3-10 from me at this stage.

[Mr ed]

Johnny Be Good.....gets the lead here..will be hard to catch ..this is his distance....big show..

He looks awefully hard to beat Mav, but i'm very scared of the pressure he'll get from Vic By The Jug, absolute madman when it comes to leading. He missed the kick last time so hopefully that happens again. If not Johnny may have to take a sit and that's a worry with him, he does look the class however, good luck.

Smoking Joe is really the only horse i am remotely worried about with the Roller, he was very impressive first-up despite having all the favors. Goes good second up and flies in the wet. Super Elegant can't beat him IMHO even if Super retains the lead and the Roller sits outside he is just not good enough. If the Roller gets to the fence, line up.

[boxhead]

Ed,
L. Freeman,on the radio this morning words to the effect:
He's probably not up the class but is going ok.????
cheers

[Stix]

Don't normally tip non-metro meetings (nor interstate for that matter) ..... but what the heck....

Mornington
Race 5 #2 Hoplite
Inconvieneced last start here and was needing the run, might be looking for it a shade longer, but goes OK in Wet
$7.40 $ 1.70 (VIC)

Nice win and price was very pleasing........ see how the rest go !!

[Mr ed]

Huge start Stix, well done.

[Tenacious Spirit]

I have had the most frustrating day. Was out but wanted to back becally so i am like speeding through traffic, step out of the car and it jumps.I am like ok stay calm. Like the chances of this nag in the next at ipswitch. Then i go nahh havnt really put much analysis into the race. The thing wins paying 23 dollars. I then go down in taree by a nose. Then one of mavs tips agrios also goes down by a nose. Blah

[Stix]

Don't normally tip non-metro meetings (nor interstate for that matter) ..... but what the heck....

Mornington
Race 5 #2 Hoplite
Inconvieneced last start here and was needing the run, might be looking for it a shade longer, but goes OK in Wet

Race 7 #2 Millenium Eagle
Won barrier trial, beating Satinspin and Runs On Ego in wet, has 57.5kg, but 1.5 claim with Austin. Has won at track and distance.... Obviously the (1) Sonic Royal and (7) Declaree will be the ones to beat....

Race 8 #4 Jygah
Won last start here and beaten by smart few last start, so form reads well has the barrier and conditions are OK. DIstance is only query

Ipswich
Race 6 #1 Doctor Hennessy
Very consistent horse who has run well in townand has a nice barrier, loves thr track and distance and should be nice value

Race 7 #11 Little Beautiful
Ran 2nd last start from a spell, another to have run in town and although drawn wide

Race 8 # 2 Marnier
Won last start, even though found a heap of trouble, would have streeted them, which is just as well, as it may bolster his price... here's hoping

Taree
Race 8 #7 Lucky Handout
Has hit form after close second and gutsy win last start, up in class nicely drawn and won this distance - hope we haven't missed the boat

Queanbeyan
Race 7 #5 Go Magpie (Carn the pies!)
Other than the name, this guy won last start after two promising efforts and last start was easy win... hopefully e/way odds

Good Luck....

Yours In Punting

StixMornington
Race 5 #2 Hoplite WON $7.40 $1.70
Race 7 #2 Millenium Eagle UNP
Race 8 #4 Jygah UNP

Ipswich
Race 6 #1 Doctor Hennessy 3RD $2.20
Race 7 #11 Little Beautiful UNP
Race 8 # 2 Marnier UNP

Taree
Race 8 #7 Lucky Handout UNP

Queanbeyan
Race 7 #5 Go Magpie
Don't normally tip non-metro meetings (nor interstate for that matter) ..... but what the heck....No damage done...... just for fun.... got off to a flyer.... but weakened badly.....

Get ready for tommorow....

Good luck people....

[maverick1993]

A nice little profit today :) enough to go to the pub and have a few .. and the usual flutter on the dogs or whatevers on Sky..

SmartnClassy...nice place divie
Marnier and Agrios.. close with Agrios ..would of been nice
Strategic Plan...not sure what happened here..
Campaignor...good run from a mile back,,,nice place divie..
Johnny Be Good...strong win ...double my money and then some..did you get the exacta Mr Ed ?
one of the few days where i didnt have any excotics at all..just win and place betting..had a busy arvo .but looking at the results it wouldnt of made a difference anyway..

Be on later tonight with the brissie thread,,,not overly excited by it though..


well done stix with Hoplite ...nice divie..

[Sportz]

Johnny Be Good...strong win ...double my money and then some..did you get the exacta Mr Ed ?


Did you mean me? I had Johnny Be Good to beat Vic By The Jug. I don't take Exactas though. Perhaps I should think about it.

[luv2bet]

Gday Ed,
In my opinion regal roller will get to 3s, theres quite a few others I think they will come for here. I totally agree and am a huge roller fan that he is the one to beat but 2.60 is too short for me. I also agree that our smokin joe is a big danger and is sure to run a race but I also raise a little concern towards lad of the manor. He has won twice first up from three attempts and from all accounts is fit and ready. I will also be including fields of omagh at big odds, looks fitter and better than ever and wouldnt be too suprised to see him around the mark. Great race and cant wait to see the outcome. I for one believe there will be 3s for the roller but who knows??????

[Mr ed]

Yeh he won easy Mav, he never challenged Vic for the lead and it definately helped both of their causes, was just a matter of if he pulled or not and he raced well and was never in doubt, heard they bet $3 on track, huge odds.

I am going to have a large wager on the Roller whatever price he gets to, especially on the heavy track, he's a star. Also might have a little running double Rc 5 no 12 into Rc6 no 4, 2 absolute stars of the track.

Will wait for Sunday i think that Tasman Trader is a certainty and will post why tommorow.

[saratoga samchaz]

Started looking over the Caulfield card for Sat. (Our Fri. night) and it really does look like a very exciting day. I will definitely be playing the Aussies tonight after I took home to HUGE exacta savers at Saratoga yesterday. A Dynaformer who had just broken his maiden on turf coupled with a South African import (Jacarandi Jane) from Team VAlor Stables came back @$350 for $2 (odds of 10-and 9-1). My main play ran out but who cares. In the race before that, I played the front end speed on the turf (as it is holding on the inner turf-a RARE occurence) and got Ramon Dominguez to will a $9.00 horse home through the stretch being chase by no less than 6 closers. Luckily the Santos ridden 10 got up for 2nd at 30-1 and created a $430 exacta! I had both of these but gave a substantial bit back. Still came out way on top for the day so I have a bankroll for the weekend. Saratoga and Caulfield here I come! I hate to ramble about American racing here guys but I figure it may give you an edge come Breeder's Cup or Dubai Cup. Remember Ramon Dominguez. He is a young rider who has all the skills of the best and I mean Jerry Bailey, Gary Stevens, Chris McCarron, Franki Dettori, Kieran Fallon, best but still gets a nice price due to his stature as a small track(Delaware Park- my home track) rider. All the trainers and all the other riders know who he is. He won the Breeder's Cup Turf on Better Talk Now last year and gets all of Graham Motion's mounts. He always gives it his all so remember you heard it hear first when he becomes THE American jockey in a couple of years. He'll be switching his tack to New York sometime soon.

Is it raining cats and dogs at Caulfield and/or Randwick today? I hear the talk about the heavy going and the weather site I got on had all these severe weather warnings posted. ANy info on how these tracks play towards closers or speed and on heavy going? Looking at the form for Randwick it looks like closers have the edge to me. I looked at the Randwick 1A and I might take a flyer on Agua Corriendo as he might like the extra furlong if he can take to the heavy and use Jon Ron, Hassle(fav?), and High Cee(could get the whole thing at a nice price with Boss aboard). Do you think Boss had the choice between Sir Craiglee and High Cee in this race? In the US this happens alot and reflects the horses readiness and since High Cee looked pretty good in his return since April, he could be sitting on a big one. Just one Yankee's opinion.

[saratoga samchaz]

If Avenger is lirking sometime today, Dominguez rides a Scott Lake (Del Park trainer- this is the combo that took the 6th yesterday) claimer in the 3rd at Saratoga Friday. VROOM HILDA (#5) ran two good seconds after a layoff from May. She was scratched from same type race earlier this week as Lake already had a runner in there. Dominguez has been riding like wildfire but getting so unlucky to not have about ten more wins. He keeps getting beat a nose(no discredit to him- he's usually the one flying through the lane) like in the Saratoga feature yesterday. This one may have been his fault as the winner came from the clouds and Ramon probably thought he had it. The first mistake I've seen him make all meet. Use #4 MAIN STREAM and #2 CHUNK OF LOVE with this Ontario bred. Unless it is an off-track (really off as they have had NO rain at this meet) then turn your attention to BEHRNIK #6 who loves it off (7-2-2-3). Tough call on Vroom Hilda's off track class. Good Luck if you play. Also, meet's leading trainer Todd Pletcher who has been mired in a huge slump the last two weeks looks like the winner in the featured 8th race on the turf. Grade 2 mile and an 1/8 should be perfect trip from rail for READY"S GAL #1 (More Than Ready). Use with #6 Victory Lap(scares me for some reason) and #4 Naissance Royal( first start iin NA for Clement and this G1 and G3 placed filly in France(Giant's Causeway-Net Worth- a Forty Niner dam).

[Sportz]

Is it raining cats and dogs at Caulfield and/or Randwick today? I hear the talk about the heavy going and the weather site I got on had all these severe weather warnings posted. ANy info on how these tracks play towards closers or speed and on heavy going? Looking at the form for Randwick it looks like closers have the edge to me. I looked at the Randwick 1A and I might take a flyer on Agua Corriendo as he might like the extra furlong if he can take to the heavy and use Jon Ron, Hassle(fav?), and High Cee(could get the whole thing at a nice price with Boss aboard). Do you think Boss had the choice between Sir Craiglee and High Cee in this race? In the US this happens alot and reflects the horses readiness and since High Cee looked pretty good in his return since April, he could be sitting on a big one. Just one Yankee's opinion.

Randwick will be a good track, Caulfield Slow to Heavy.

Boss may have had the choice of rides but it may not have had much to do with prospects for this race. High Cee is a cups type horse which will be runnng in bigger races in the spring. I doubt Sir Craiglee will, so Boss may have wanted to stick with High Cee looking to the future.

[saratoga samchaz]

High Cee may run in higher class races but he sure doesn't do anything in 'em. It looks like he fits right in with this group and if he runs to his potential and class, on paper he looks like a value if anywhere near his morning line in my program of 12-1. He doesn't look to like Randwick, though those races were against much better. If they do have bigger things in store for your spring campaign, I hope he'll be all out. I hope The Avenger got down on VROOM HILDA as she won paying $4.40 to win while my 2nd and 3rd picks came right in that order for a $27 exacta and a $130? Trifecta. Of course I didn't get down on him as my boss had me tied up at work (the nerve of him). Oh well I'll try to get down on READY's GAL in the 8th or save my bankroll for OZ.

[saratoga samchaz]

Of course my second horse ran up the track at Saratoga behind the classy French filly Naisance Royale(IRE) and Victory Lap (third). I wonder if this filly is here for the Breeder's Cup filly and mare turf? A Giant's Causeway paying $11.40? Sacre Bleu!! And some jock named Dominguez won the 7th (and 3rd) aboard a $15 winner sired by Royal Academy. Leave him out come Breeder's Cup day at your own discretion (or any big day for that matter). I feel sorry for the rest of the jockeys in US when he starts to ride all the favorites like Bailey, Prado, and Velazquez. By the way, Kitten's Joy is headed to the Arc if all goes well. He better stay there and leave the Breeder's Cup to the Europeans as our turf horses are down this year. ALINGHI is working gangbusters at Saratoga in preparation for her American debut on the dirt. She seems to have taken to the dirt seeing as their is a rumour that she was running around the backside when she got away from Bobby Frankel's people. They deny it. Surprise! Rinky Dink(AUS) is in the 7th at Del Mar tonight (friday 10:00 EDT) Right after the first at Randwick. OY OY

[Sportz]

RAND R1 - 5 MONTERRICO & 7 HIGH CEE
RAND R3 - 5 MYSTERY CITY*
RAND R4 - 2 DOMESDAY (2,1,3 - 4)
RAND R5 - 4 NEVIS & 7 DELICATE SNIP (4,7,5,2 - 1,3)
RAND R6 - 1 COURT'S IN SESSION (1,7,10 - 8,3,4)
RAND R7 - 3 MEDIA (Dangers: 1 Fashions Afield & 4 Opportunity) (3,1,4 - 2,6,7,11)
RAND R8 - 5 OH OKLAHOMA & 9 PRINCE FREDERIK (5,9,8,1 - 4,2)
RAND R9 - 7 LOTTERIA & 14 ONE IN A MILLION (Value: 2 Danni Martine) (7,14,2 - 9,11,13,6)

CAUL R1 - 3 TICK BY*
CAUL R3 - 9 ASSERTIVE GUEST & 10 CHETWYND SOUTH
CAUL R4 - 3 MAYBE BETTER & 7 PATERNITY
CAUL R5 - 9 HONEST POLITICIAN & 10 THE BIGHEARTED (9,10,7,5 - 12,2)
CAUL R6 - 4 REGAL ROLLER* (Value: 10 Our Smoking Joe) (4,10,3,9 - 13,8)
CAUL R7 - 12 MAGGIE BEE & 3 EMLOZZA

DOOM R3 - 7 WRITTEN BY XAAR & 2 YUBI
DOOM R5 - 7 IMPRISONED & 1 WORDS OF MAGIC

CHEL R4 - 5 CONFINES
CHEL R6 - 7 AERATED

KEMB R1 - 2 CARA Y CRUZ
KEMB R7 - 1 HE'S CANNY

[luv2bet]

Got a few for today.

DARWIN.
*LOADED VICE. There should be a bit of speed on here with il duca and chilton leading them away hard. Loaded vice to get the sit in behind them, both frontrunners to pull wide on the turn and the Vice to flash home along the rails. Pretty confident here, should be $4+.

ADELAIDE
*BARABBA ROAD. I really liked the way he ran home last time behind maduro. Will be much fitter for it and should thrive on the extra journey. Will not be suprised to see on a juene run a race at big odds.

MELBOURNE
*EVIL MASTER. Struggled to get in clear last run then Ran home impreesively for win same track same distance. Is drawn well, not that it really matters as he should sit back and with the 3kilo claim will be flashing home.

Good LUCK to all

[Sportz]

CAUL R1 - 3 TICK BY*


Oops. Sorry. Got a bit carried away with this one. :o

I'd suggest the track must have been against her and the race was perhaps a bit short. She finished it off okay, so I hope she looks okay for the future. I had her picked out as a show in the Caulfield Cup!

[Sportz]

I tried to list just one horse in some of the races today. Bad move. I almost always back more than one runner per race, so I really should have posted ALL of my selections.Thought Irongail was the only danger in Mystery City's race today and as it turned out, it was incredible value. Should have posted that for you guys.

[Chuck]

I think Courts in Session and Lotteria are the two REALLY BIG specials today...had them in an allup together with a big outlay

[Sportz]

My main win selections haven't really gone well today, by I've had a GREAT day with multiples.

Kicking myself for not taking a first 4 on the Liston as it wasn't really that hard to get, but with Regal Roller missing out, it's paid $5234!!! Had the trifecta though which was good. Got a few other nice paying trifectas as well. A good day!!! :)

[maverick1993]

A few for a lazy Sunday

Sunny Coast
Lana Belle e/w
Chevron Island (very confident)
Uncle Shamos (watch betting moves here)

Taree
Spectacular trim
StyxnDaggers

Sandown
Tasman Trader (keep safe Sandbelt)

Wagga
Petrol Head

Kalgoolie
Cracker Thunder

[Mr ed]

Don't worry about Sand Belt Mav, just back Tasman Trader, huge run last start when wide the first mile then had to take a sit, looked in trouble 500m out but fought back very strongly to run second behind princess Tiffany. The horse that run 4th was Sutology who looked to have its chance and it absolutely bolted in at the Valley during the week. I hope D Moor takes a sit tommorrow and if he does Tasman has the fitness, class, and score on the board to absolutely overrun them in the last 400m, anythimg over $3.00 is a top bet.

Brainpower was v. strong against Wild Classic last time, but just lacked the fitness, and i think the extra distance on the very heavy track will sort it out tommorrow. Also Gunza Magilla ran a much improved race last start, he's a plodder but is very strong and if he can dictate terms; which he should be able to, he will take a lot of catching.

It was a good day today, obviously without being spectacular, good luck tommorrow. Well done L2B, i hope you got the quinella in the Liston, trife and F4 wouldn't have been hard to find either leaving out the fave.

[luv2bet]

Thanks Ed, did have a decent outlay on lad of the manor and had the tri a few times great day of racing. Ended up not betting on emlozza which was very hard but it proved right what I pointed out in STIX thread. Loaded vice was the biggest bet of today and I hope someone got on!!!!!
Beers on me, lets have a crack 2morrow!!

[Sportz]

Have a couple in today that I've been waiting for. Just worried that plenty of other punters may have been waiting for them too. :o

Bairnsdale Race 3-8 SPECIALSTARZ*. Trialled VERY impressively at Cranbourne last week. Zabeel 3yo trained by Moody having it's first start. Top chance. Price might be a problem though. Viva La Covert a possible danger. (8,9 - 5,4,3,12)

Sandown Race 5-3 SARRERA*. Very promising. Easy 5 length winner on a heavy track at Geelong last time. Has previously run close seconds to Noble Red & Tick By. As with Specialstarz, the price could be a bit short. King Johannes a possible danger. (3,5 - 1,2,10)

Other races:
Sandown Race 7-7 TASMAN TRADER, 6 Gunza Magilla, 2 Danerette (7,6,2,4 - 8,5)
Sandown Race 8-9 DREAM LASS, 8 We Can't Say That, 2 Cherie Berrie Bee (9,8,2,13 - 7,14)

[TheAvenger]

Thanks Sportz, Maverick. Tips are usually slim here on Sunday racing. I appreciate you sharing them. If anything else comes to mind at Sandown, please post. Wagga is our other track today.

Regards,

Glenn

[Sportz]

Okay, if you want another one:

I think Sandown R2-3 Pure Harmony should be hard to beat. A good recent trial performance and top form last time in. (3,1,2) Don't normally like betting in small fields though.

Sorry Glenn, don't really have anything for Wagga.

[racingnovice]

I found a few at wagga for you Glenn, I might have a small go on them also :).

WAGGA
RACE 3 #2 <B>REGIONAL EXPRESS</B> - GOOD FORM DOESN'T MIND THE TRACK AND DISTANCE SHOULD BE IN WITH A GOOD CHANCE
RACE 5 #2 <B>SONG OF ERIN</B> - CONSISTANT PERFORMER SHOULD BE TO GOOD
RACE 7 #6 <B>ZAKYNTHOS OLIVES</B> - WON MDN LAST START BY 4L AT TRACK AND DISTANCE SHOULD CONTIUE AND WIN ANOTHER

[TheAvenger]

Maybe one day someone can teach me to handicap the hurdle races. The #1 horse in the 1st at Sandown was beaten by 11 lengths last out, then he wins there. Tough race, I thought, but bet down to 5/2 here.


Glenn

[Sportz]

Now you see why I didn't include Pure Harmony amongst my original set of tips. Disappointing!!! :o

[TheAvenger]

Yes, disappointing, Sportz. Thanks for the Wagga picks, Racing novice. I had the 2-8 quinella in the first race at Wagga, and my TAB had the #8 at 30-1.
The #2 horse Onballer (a RIDGLING I suppose?) was only 9/5 however.

Regards,

Glenn

[Sportz]

Onballer Glenn, not oneballer! :D

Onballer is a term used in Aussie Rules Football.

[Chuck]

I've had a tip for Braeloch Sandown 7-1...not sure how reliable it will be though. I know this is not racing, but i've also had a tip for Mcraes Mate Cranbourne 7-1.....should win but could be short?

Other than that i like
Sandown 5-3 Sarrera
Taree 7-1 Leg Irons
Sunshine Coast 4-2 Omnitrader

[TheAvenger]

HAHA. Well, I really didn't know that Sportz, too funny. Thanks Chuck. I got a really sweet quinella payoff of nearly $70 in Wagga race 3.
Good luck, all.


Glenn

[Sportz]

Taking the $2 unit into account, that's more than double what it paid here.

[Sportz]

Have a couple in today that I've been waiting for. Just worried that plenty of other punters may have been waiting for them too.

Bairnsdale Race 3-8 SPECIALSTARZ*.
Sandown Race 5-3 SARRERA*.

Well, as I suspected, both short odds, but can't complain with 2 from 2. And the 'danger' ran 2nd on both occasions.

[Chuck]

2 tips 2 wins so far for me as well, Omnitrader @ $4.00 & Sarrera @ $1.70 . Leg Irons is $6.00 the place at Unitab right now... and Braeloch $8.80 the place - its the first time its had a quality on since hugh bowman and before that i can't remember...its a heavy track, but it came 2nd in the Aust Derby on a dead track

[Sportz]

Well, good luck with Braeloch. Where did you get the tip from, Chuck??? Personally, I wouldn't be a bit surprised if he never won another race.

[Chuck]

a mate whose had connections....he gave me his only other tip on this horse before a 2400m race that a horse called Starcraft won....I got the trifecta which paid big let me tell you

[gazman]

hey chuck and all,,,just read your post and i liked omni as well as leg irons,,,
omni ran a great race,but i think leg irons is a lot better horse than the lot he is against today and the price at the moment??????????hope it stays like that.
have a look at leggy sportz see what you think...cheers ..gaz..

[Chuck]

:D ssshhhhhhh ;) I'm quite liking the $16.00 & $5.40 thank you very much! Its going to drop after Sportz puts on his $10,000 though :D

[Chuck]

i've just had a small go at the trifecta 1/4,5,6/4,5,6,10,11 in Leg Iron's Race. Will be a big payout if it wins!

[Chuck]

Their coming for Mcraes Mate in Cranbourne 7 too.....into $3.50 from $4.60 in the last 10 mins...

[Chuck]

no i think you summed it up well sportz....Braeloch will not win another race!

[Sportz]

Nope. Sorry guys. Didn't bet in the Taree Cup. Looked a bit hard.

[Mr ed]

I was at work, what happened to Tassie Trader, very dissapointed as it's run last time was a little bit better then Gunza's, why can't they just run like they did last start more often.

[racingnovice]

sorry for the poor tips guys. Did the 3 of these horses race with 150kg? all shocking efforts. Remind me next time not to try and tip in poor races.

[maverick1993]

A few for a lazy Sunday

Sunny Coast
Lana Belle e/w
Chevron Island (very confident)
Uncle Shamos (watch betting moves here)

Taree
Spectacular trim
StyxnDaggers

Sandown
Tasman Trader (keep safe Sandbelt)

Wagga
Petrol Head

Kalgoolie
Cracker Thunder

Thank god for Petrol head :) been on him for awhile now and he paid back the loyalty ..just check out the tri .
would of been a shocker otherwise ..

Styx was a good winner ..bit short but doubled my money
Spectacular trim ....way off
Lana bell..ran 5th not to far away ..
Uncle Shamos ..2nd ..didnt have a bet as i wasnt around the computer ..would of followed the money here ..and lost .. lucky
tasman trader ...4th ..nearly there
Cracker Thunder ...3rd ..nearly there aswell..
Chevron Island..2nd ...was confident here..good run ..follow this one..

6 bets all for the win except for lana bell e/w all taken with the field for the tri,,
only 2 wins ..but the Petrol head tri was huge .. more than made up for yesterday :)
happy days ..

[Sportz]

Yep, exactly. The Sandown races were far better betting propositions than anywhere else, wet track and all. I had a good day there.

[Sportz]

What the hell, Mav??? $6500???

[maverick1993]

:)

[Sportz]

Mav, the average punter simply doesn't have enough money to put trifectas on like that. $105 for a half is pretty costly when you think you would have got nothing if he came second.

[maverick1993]

like picking a 30/1 shot for the win .....

cost me a stack when i did it with Chevron Island...that would of been a good one to,,..
sometimes being lazy with the tris can be a good thing :)

[maverick1993]

I agree Sportz.....tri's only work if you have a decent stake,,,i've been lucky enough to build a bank big enough to support this ...but i remember the hard times when i used to bet my $30 3/6/6 trifecta bets ,,

[maverick1993]

A couple for tomorrow
wellington
* Tige, *Blowadogoffachain
Musslebrook
* Deranged, *Makin Love (Cee Iam an e/w chance)

These are stable runners and a quick glance look good chances..but not my usual study involved here ..so be carefull and good luck :)

[racingnovice]

I like a couple today both at wodonga.

Race 4 #2 Mary's Flag
Race 7 #1 Bromjeune

Both should race well and be tough to beat.

[luv2bet]

Couple for today.
WODONGA race 5 Matthews pick. convincing win last time, gaining a lot of weight here but should handle it.

Race 9, nothing on deck. will handle the going, suited at the 1400.

Good luck to all..

[racingnovice]

I don't mind matthews pick either luv2bet. not as confident as the other 2 though.

[tarbs]

Think this ones good value with the toppy being so short:

Wellington CR 2 number 2 : Nobragnow E/W special

Good luck

[tarbs]

Selections:

Muswellbrook:

NR 4:

back two horses, No 2 Forest Frolic and No 3 Nowayhosai;
dangers 1/8

NR 5:

No 5 Kyri Dash E/w

NR 6:

Two selections:

No 4 Redemptive Lad E/W

No 14 That Does it, for VALUE and tris

WELLINGTON

CR 5:

two at value;
No 1 Collingwood Storm E/W
No 4 Miss Watanabe

Dangers 5,8,9

CR 6:

No 3 E/W Diggers

Put the 1 in quinella/exacta with the 6 in tri

CR 7:

No 1 Aunty Bev E/W special
Quinella with the 3 and tri with 4,8,10

Good Luck

[tarbs]

Bugger, $6 when I posted it, thats the problem with TAB betting on Monday. Still $3 is a good start to the day, was always the top rater.

[tarbs]

Sorry, I left these off my original post

VR 6: La Fav

Difficult, even race, but I did like this ones run last start, need $4.50 E/W
Number 7 Jack Be It is a big, big danger and may be the vaue. Back them both. Numbers 1/3/5 in multiples.

VR 7:

Cant take bromjeune here, 1400m, and big weight / claimer, will be too short and although one of the top raters, this is not a one horse race. Having said that, is a definite winning chance

I would rather back the 9 Nothing On Deck E/W, should get $5

Good luck.

[maverick1993]

thanks tarbs for La Fav ..nice little collect :)
wish i had a real go at it now ..especially with that tri..

[Desi]

Cheers Tarbs...got Q and Ex cos liked Future Perfect but did not take Tri like Mav arrrgghhh! Oh well happy to be in the black...go you good thing lol..

[Sportz]

I took an Any2 bet with La Fav and the field. Cost me $9. Got back $63.90. That's just like getting $7.10 for the place on La Fav!!! :)

[tarbs]

Yeah it was a nice win, I knew it was an even race and only rated the 10 two lengths off La Fav, but didint put it in tri. Should have done your trick Mav, standout with the field. Think I'll wait a bit longer yet, If I can have a few good months and build the bank who knows. Still qn ex any two still good

Have you got a database showing your ROI with your top rating standout and the field Mav? Would be interesting to see if you stay in the black.

Didnt bet in Muswellbrook luckily, nothing went right there by the sounds of it. I like to watch a couple first in some of these NSW county tracks to see if my ratings are on song. To make up with it im going well in wellington.

Thanks guys, good to get a winner back for you's!

[maverick1993]

thanks tarbs for La Fav ..nice little collect :)
wish i had a real go at it now ..especially with that tri..

onl had a playfull win bet here guys,,thats why i was a bit pissed,,

only had the three bets today....blowagogoffachain , tige who have both done nothing,,,still have deranged to go..
Makin love was a selection but 2 short..
so not a great day so far but fingers crossed on deranged ..but i'm not super confident.. :(

[Sportz]

I've had a good time following Greg Ryan at Wellington today.

[maverick1993]

Hi tarbs
I haven't got seperate figures for my trifecta betting..have them all together as sometimes depending on the price of my selection i'll go 20times ect with my other 2 or 3 top raters ..just depends on the number of runners and how my ratings have worked out....
Trifectas have always been good to me and last financial year showed about a 35% profit..i never kept acurate records initially when i used to bet 3/6/6 and 2/7/7 for a 1/2 ....these were surprisingly very good to me ..as i never did ratings back then and just followed the market ,,,
I know a couple of professional punters who never bet on excotics ..but i find them good value..1st 4's and trebles have all shown small profits but i'm still refining the selection process ..

Dam 2nd ..deranged tried to get onto the better surface but couldnt ..needed to be in the middle ..oh well ..
always tomorrow :)

[maverick1993]

ohhh. just got a 1/2 of the first 4 :) but still a shocker today ..


Sportz..You should be giving Greg a Sling after all the money you've won off him..or atleast name your first born after him :)

[maverick1993]

And again..theres no stopping that Ryan ..Sportz shout at the bar ;)

[tarbs]

Still can tget that killer to give me a really good day!

I'll try with one more bet in the last at Wodonga

Wasnt going to have a bet here as there seems ALOT of pace. The 1,4,6,7,9,10 all like to race on the pace. The 4, and the 6 have drawn best so must be good chances despite the speed. The 5 and the 11 are good chances to come over the top of them. Have your exotics around these, perhaps:

The 3 is a backmarker and worth and EW saver

4,6,5,11 - 3,4,5,6,10,11 - 3,4,5,6,10,11

Good luck

[maverick1993]

i'm having a play with Miracle Fred in the last at Musselbrook..lettin the winnings i won on La fav ride.. ..
but i'm not confident..these last minute bets always find a way of getting beaten .. ..but its all just for fun ...
go Fred :)

[Sportz]

:D

Yep. Love following Ryan at these country meetings. I didn't bet much today though. Should have!

[tarbs]

Just missed the tri, must be a good rider that kid, got a double today.

Still the Quinella saved me that race - $62.10 (6/4 standout with field @ $26 per unit)

Still I hoped for a little more today, had some strong raters but still well in front. Some great post here which ive found are extremely helpful when looking for multiples selections. Keep up the good work and will be interested to read /post tips for wednesday (day off tommorrow!)

[tarbs]

It is fun isnt it!

[tarbs]

OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO SOOOOOOOOOOO Close!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[maverick1993]

thought i had it 1/2 way down the straight...still i'll take the place divie..
my play bets did a million times better than my serious bets today..dont figure :)
i think i'll take the money and run..buy a slab and some fishn chips.. or else i'll let it ride on the trots or something..

[maverick1993]

Tuesday
Sydney
*Dabke Dancer..good last few runs..small field helps..wont be as far back..can run the distance where a few of the fancies are queries..
*No Name For a Lady...never been afraid of maidens..this one has been trialing well and i like the way she fought on last start where she was wide..
*Evilina...gets the tempo to suit here..forget last start when fancied.thought Solmere could run a cheeky race here awell.. value ?
might look at Primus in the last ..depends on the price..
Rocky
*Kenya Keepasecret..no reason why he cant do it for us again..the extra distance shouldnt be a prob and is racing well..
*Stipend..got these covered .. might be to short to consider though .
*Mydam Twist..form around stipend is strong for this...claim helps..
*Regimental...forget last start..tempo against..so consistent ,,the toppy has a stack of weight but will still be hard to beat..
Swanny
*Old Harryallards lane e/w.....big field with a fast tempo..harry could run over them at the end.. love to hear Mr Eds take on his chances ..he owes us both a bit of cash..

Have a few tomorrow,,,Confident about Rocky but i think some of them will be to short but theres always exactas ,trebles ect that might spice up the collects....

[Mr ed]

He's a prick of a thing isn't he, looks thrown in at the weights and with speed likely he will be charging home again and has a chance, can't have a decent crack at him ever again however. Aggro was a really nice run last start, he did a lot of work but ground away well to be clearly beaten by Kelcher who had all the favours and just in weight here, Aggro will get the lovely sit from 4. Tanna Hero won as she pleased last start and the second placed horse (more beer) won in Adelaide last Saturday, that was a very leader bias track so be wary. No Spice found plenty to beat some decent plodders last start and must also be given a chance. Too hard for me, but if my left testicle was in danger i'd have to say Aggro e/w.

Flu Blu is one i'll be on tommorow despite drawing worse then badly. He is lightly raced but all three of his starts have been full of merit. Last time he travelled well in transit and came very wide and went for home around the bend, it's only a short straight at Murtoa and he looked beaten, when Wit kicked again but alas Flu responded and just failed. He has led before and also taken a sit, but he looks like a horse who needs plenty of galloping room, looks to have a decent sprint so with a good speed on he can get back and reel them in (hopefully). There's a few horses in the race that might have form in better races, such as Shifting Sands who is likely to start very short, but they have had plenty of chances too, this fellow is on the improve and looks tough to hold out. He shouldn't be hard to spot, just look for the big grey jumping from the main street.

[Sportz]

How about this one:

SWAN HILL 10-10 SWAN HILL :D

All kidding aside, it's actually got some chance. Perhaps you could play around with numbers 3, 4, 6, 7 & 10.

On to the more serious tips:

CANT R2 - 3 NO NAME FOR A LADY & 1 SHARNA MYST (3,1,4,5 - 7,8)
CANT R3 - 7 PROSPERING & 1 INVOLVE (7,1,6,5 - 10,9)
CANT R4 - 1 PFENNIG & 4 GOLDTOWN (1,4,3,5)
CANT R5 - 1 KELTIC FLASH, 7 Draw The Line (1,7,6,2 - 10,5)
CANT R6 - 2 PERMISSIVE, 7 Evelina (2,7,10,8 - 5,6)
CANT R7 - 5 LONGHORN & 2 PRIMUS (5,2,4,3 - 8,9)
SW.H R6 - 4 KING HUT & 8 Z'AFFAIRE (4,8,1,2 - 3,9)

Agree with most of Mav's tips for Rocky.

ROCK R4 - 4 KENYA KEEPA SECRET & 5 TIPSY MCSTAGGER (4,5,9,11 - 1,7)
ROCK R5 - 1 MYDAM TWIST, 5 Bay Of Plenty (1,5,2,4 - 7,8)
ROCK R6 - 2 LEVERAGE, 5 Aprimadonna (2,5,3,1 - 7,8)
ROCK R7 - 4 OUR JIM BEAU, 3 Native Knight (4,3,5,2 - 1,8)
ROCK R8 - 4 REGIMENTAL, 3 Quartpot (4,3,2,1 - 5,7)

Won't be betting in all of those races. I'll look for a bit of value. Some of those I've tipped might be too short.

[maverick1993]

I see Stipend got beat ...i thought that was a gimme..to short for me but goes to show theres no such thing..
Dabke Dancer was a good price ..just not good enough...

hopefully things improve. :)

[Sportz]

I see Stipend got beat ...i thought that was a gimme..to short for me but goes to show theres no such thing..

He was wide most of the way, Mav.

Noreil was another short priced fav that went down in the first in Sydney. No value at all.

[maverick1993]

i thought Noriel was soft ...didnt factor in Flying formality ..better off backing all of them except Noriel ...oh well hindsight's a wonderful thing..

[xptdriver]

Gday All

I thought Noriel was a pretty good thing to win the race.. but not at tomato sauce odds... had the winner rated highly but left the race alone.. Only because Noriel was one of my trainer's horses and does'nt owe me any money.. there are a couple of more trainers horses running today. we might find a winner,

23/08/2005 Baez CANTERBURY Race 3 - No. 5 at 14:25
23/08/2005 Star Promise CANTERBURY Race 5 - No. 9 at 15:35
23/08/2005 Primus CANTERBURY Race 7 - No. 2 at 16:45


The 2 yesterday didnt run a drum so that wasnt real flash.... ah well

[maverick1993]

0 for 3 today so far ...might be singing for my fish'n chips tonight :(

[tarbs]

Looks like a hard day today, still I got a tip for one in the next a caterbury:

No 10 Wooden Nickel

Put with 1,2,3,6 in multiples

Good luck

[Sportz]

Mydam Twist disappointing as well.

I haven't had a bet at Rocky yet. Pleased about that too as I wouldn't have done any good.

[Sportz]

No 10 Wooden Nickel

Put with 1,2,3,6 in multiples


Surely you couldn't leave Beadman's ride out!!!

[maverick1993]

I'm 0 for 4 today ...going awfull...hopes on Regimental and maybe Primus in the last at Canterbury..
i like evilina but the scratchings have taken some speed out of the race ...probably win easily now :)

[Sportz]

I'm having a good day. 6 races for 6 collects. And the 2 races so far that I've decided not to bet on, I saved my money. :)

Must be a loss coming soon, surely. :o

[maverick1993]

good move...evelina is so one dimensional ..

[Stix]

CANTERBURY

RACE 7 - 5 Longhorn (D Beadman)
http://www.aapracingandsports.com.au/racing/images/blank.gif

[tarbs]

Oh Well, and the tri paid well as well. Beadmans a funny one for me, everytime im on him it seems like unders, I just hate not getting value!

So I wont back beadman on the next fav....

Instead i'll look at Giteau and The Fangsta E/W

In the last in Rocky, have to admit Regimental is the best chance, short though. Not much pace in the race, only the 5 and the 8 generally race on the pace. Will need to be close to the lead straightening. Myceane could lead all the way, good horse but getting older, the toopy from the 1 barrier Tycoon Ted will be right behind them and may carry the weight if there is no pace. WHo knows where Quartpot will settle, if you know then you have the trump card here. I might take a rover tri with Regimental, boxed with 1,3,5,8, but I do like the 5 more and more

Who knows..

Typical tueday meetings today

[Sportz]

Decided that Race 7 at Rocky was too open, so I left it alone. Was worried there for a while when one of my original picks Native Knight hit the lead, but Royal reform ran past it.

[luv2bet]

Mav, cant split regimental and tycoon ted in the last, might take tycoon for the value.. no doubt regimental will win though, havnt seen a day yet you havnt picked a winner!!!!!

[Stix]

doh..... 2nd... I'm with you Tarbs... Deadman = too short = leave, but had 1x3 so no damage - actually small profit......

[tarbs]

hopefuly a knockout in the last

[maverick1993]

Go tycoon ted luv2 ...noway i'd take those odds about Regimental..
actually my 2nd rater is Mycanea ..?? its about 30/1 ..might have alittle e/w and just take the losses on the chin ..might try a 1st4 get out of jail bet :)
0 for 5 :( my best bets have been leaving Stipend,Evalina and Primus alone..
one of those days...

[maverick1993]

I see you like Mycenae as well tarbs :) good luck ..i think we'll need it

[Sportz]

SWAN HILL 10-10 SWAN HILL :D

All kidding aside, it's actually got some chance. Perhaps you could play around with numbers 3, 4, 6, 7 & 10.


:D

Hope someone had a go here. First 4 was 4-6-3-10. Paid $852 up here. Trifecta was $113. And 7 came 5th.

[tarbs]

2.80 - Regimental is getting backable here...

[Stix]

Go Quartpot.....

[Stix]

Giddy Up Quartpot.

Thanks Tarbs.... got exacta (a few times !!) and tri - thanks to including Mycenae.....

[tarbs]

beauty, first 4 and EW Myceane, only paid $450 though, still, a bank for tommorrow

[maverick1993]

woo hoo ..finally a collect ..no 1st4 glory but a nice place divie softens the pain of getting smashed all arvo...
still no fishn chips tonight...noodles for me ..
well done Stix ,,paid nicely ,,

back to the drawing board..tomorrow promises to be a better day :)

[Stix]

Looking forward to a BIG day tomorrow.....

Giddy Up

[Sportz]

Well, 10 races for me today and 10 collects. I can't remember a day like that before.

[tarbs]

I thought Quartpot would be the key to the y race, couldnt decide where he would possy up, if he leads or pressures for it, Regimental wins, if he take a seat then regimental gets too far back with no speed and cant catch them - the latter happened. I boxed 4 with the first 4 but took a stupid rover tri (and of course the standout finishes 4th!) a couple times.


Good run by Myceane for second though Mav, good to see my ratings are comparable with someone a respected in this forum as you!

[maverick1993]

wow i really stopped them today ..not often i have so many short priced runners and knew i wouldnt get the backable odds on all of them...but to stop them all ?? I can take Old Harry beating me i'm used to it but i really cursed some favs today....i've missed a few shorties of late that have won but its days like todays that remind why i dont back them....

well done stix...quartpot beat me into 2nd but also cost me the tri 5 times and the 1st4 5 times.. but i'm glad someone had a win today :)

[maverick1993]

You're only as good as your last tips Tarbs ..wasnt for a monster tri the other day i'd be standing on the corner :)
but i've learnt to roll with the punches ..
10 out of 10 sportz ?? wow if i ever got 10 out of 10 i'd be pushing packer for the richest man in OZ title you must be rich enough to go the field now ??

[tarbs]

10 out of 10! Better than Hilton Donaldson the other day at Morphetville!

[Sportz]

Ahh no sorry Tarbs, it certainly wasn't 10 first selections for 10 wins!!! :eek:

[Stix]

Sorry Mav.... just though it was the value and was a good chance to run on....

Owe you a couple... Let's try tomorrow !

[Stix]

Don't mind Leno in the last @ Randwick.

Fav distance.... wide draw only concern

[Sportz]

Got a few I'm looking at already for tomorrow:

Randwick R2-3 LADY TITUS
A 3YO filly which turned in a nice effort when 4th in similar grade two weeks ago. The extra 200m should suit and Beadman rides. A good each way bet.

Randwick R6-2 CHESS RECORD
4YO Redoutes Choice gelding trained by Gai Waterhouse which turned in a tremendous performance when winning at Wyong on the 11th. If there is a danger, it could be number 1 Missile Device. Slightly disappointing last start but a good chance of improvement here with Beadman on.

Others I'm considering:

Randwick R1-3 Impetuous Amour
Randwick R3-8 Fyodor (Each Way)
Randwick R4-5 For Arts Sake, 4 Rotator
Bendigo R5-7 Snappy Tom (Each Way)
Bendigo R6-13 Incinerator (Each Way)
Bendigo R7-2 Captain Zero
Bendigo R8-16 House Mouse (Longshot)

[maverick1993]

Eagle farm
Race 3, Vettories Image.. deserves a win..good run last start when wide ..had to tire..likes to get the lead and from the good barrier should get it..the distance suits will be very hard to run down..might be good e/w odds
Race 4, Bit Of Magic.. should of won last start..been very consistent should get the gun run...very confident.
Race 5, Merthy Rd.. i'll take on Lindalay here who got the dream run last start..merthyr rd did it tuff last start and worked to the line well in a harder race..start before was 2nd to loughlan which is good form..
will need a good price to convince me to take on Lindalay whos been good to me in the past..
Race 7, Medieval Time.. Huge run last start.was wide the whole way and still nearly pinched it..just needs alittle luck here from the barrier to figure in the finish again..going up in class but this doesnt look to hard....the toppy the danger..another that should be nice odds..

Randwick
Race 4, No wine no song e/w ..liked the way he was eating up the ground last start..still alittle short of his best distance but could runover them with a good tempo...Far Arts sake and impunity the dangers..
Race 7, Skittles ..ran out of puff last start in a hectic battle up front..1300m now .that should see him get the lead easier ....like him alot..been good to me

Bendigo
Race 5, Snappy Tom.. flying at the moment..will be hard to hold out here ..shinn a plus ..
Race 7, Captain Zero.. not sure if he's racing ..would like to see a claimer on board if he is ...looks to good for these ..

Adelaide
Race 4, El Saun Juanico.. gets back but when balanced up in the straight can fly..just needs alittle luck..good jockey now which will help.
Race 5, Lair.. Hard to go past the old boy now hes won for me..no reason why he cant do it again..had windswept autumn covered when they met last time and thats the fav ...dont figure..
Race 6, Enter The Sandman.. Big strong fellow..suited back to the shorter distance...needs a good jockey to get him going ..Price is ideal..

Confident in Brissie and Adelaide .. after a hard day today will hope for better luck tomorrow..
good luck :)

[tarbs]

I like to follow certain sires some times, and Testa Rossa has been good to me the last 12 months, so before I even do the form for tommorrow, I already know I'll have a few bob each way on these below, just for fun. All the testa rossa's are hard looking and strong individuals, not flashy but genuine horses. I still say the now 3yo with the greatest potential is Testifiable (hope he's ready for the Caulfield Guineas), and like Testa Reale this weekend. Gai's runner below might be of interest.

Runners for TESTA ROSSA 24/08/2005
<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=1 width=550 border=1><TBODY><TR><TD>SARCHOCHILUS</TD><TD>ex: TAUPERINA</TD><TD>BENDIGO Race 3 at 13:22</TD><TD>DEAN LAWSON</TD><TD>G CHILDS</TD></TR><TR><TD>INCINERATOR</TD><TD>ex: LADY MAIZCAY</TD><TD>BENDIGO Race 6 at 15:10</TD><TD>DARREN WEIR</TD><TD>P MERTENS</TD></TR><TR><TD>CONCORSO</TD><TD>ex: AWE INSPIRING</TD><TD>RANDWICKALLWEAT Race 3 at 14:15</TD><TD>GAI WATERHOUSE</TD><TD>L CASSIDY</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

[tarbs]

Brisbane:

Race 1:

Dont like backing baileys horses, and might leave this one alone, but Line by Line raced extremely well on debut in feburary. Stewards report said slowly away and blocked for a run, but got beaten only 1.8 lengths in town, was 8th on the turn and sectional of the winner was 34.7 for last 600m. This horse made up 4 lengths in straight, sectional probably closer to 34 flat. Not bad for an early two year old. Has obvious ability and will be very hard to beat. Having said that, while only a maiden, the 2 & 5 are clear topraters. Others for multiples 1,8

Race 2:

Secret Donna - I just like the name! Is a lottery really, probably wont touch it though - 4,12 top raters, then secret donna and the 9.

Race 3:

Problem with this race is who leads, probably either the toppy or Golden Dollars. Golden dollars is a strong rater, and lack of pace will hand this too him. Vettori's Image is top rater, and agree with Mav, if he can hold out the toppy and Golden Dollars is the one to beat, 1,2,4,8 all worth a look could be some value amongst them. Watch betting moves of those who have never placed before.

Race 4:

Once again, big field may make up for it, but no genuine leader besides the aptly named Leader of the Pack. Drawn to win and wouldnt surprise with an upset. I'm not overly confident, Mav is confident so look to his if all else fails

Dangers 2,3,4,5,10(3rd place only),11(3rd place only)

Race 5:

Lindalay, Meerthyr Road and Filibeg three main chances. As opposed to last few races, there is a stack of leaders in this race. And, with the exception of common knowledge they are all drawn wide. John Hawkes has the highest strike rate of any trainer first up (still low around 15%) but this one Filibeg could run over them and has won first up before(and has drawn ideal in 2). Take these three in the try with your fancys/betting moves

Adelaide

Race 1:

Freedom run, top rater and top Jock - not confident, follow betting moves though... and D Hayes - could be a big day for him

Race 2:

Maybe Hayes again? First Starter

Race 5:

I respect lair (no 1) in this race, but slipmaster meets him 6.5 kgs better after ebing beaton only 2 lengths by him last start. Still rate lair on top, but watch that slipmaster doesnt catch a break. Having said that, there is NO speed in this race that I can see, giving Lord or War and Leewood, with the two best jocks an undeniable chance. Take multiples around these.

Race 7:

Numbers 4,5,6 should fill the placings. The 5 Molokai's Ladd from the draw is well suited, the 4 needs alot of pace on to win. Sabre lady a good chance also

Race 8:

Perhaps tic toc tac, good run last start, may get a good lead although double spirits may pressure him



Good luck, look forward to others postings, especially in meetings I havent looked at yet!

[Sportz]

RAND R1 - Top picks: 1 KOSI BAY & 3 IMPETUOUS AMOUR (1,2,3 - 4,5)
RAND R2 - Each way: 3 LADY TITUS (1,2,3,9 - 12,14)
RAND R3 - Each way: 8 FYODOR (1,4,5,8 - 11,13)
RAND R4 - Top picks: 4 ROTATOR & 5 FOR ARTS SAKE (1,4,5,6 - 2,7)
RAND R5 - Top picks: 11 Oolite & 6 Pentup (1,6,10,11 - 2,12)
RAND R6 - Top picks: 2 CHESS RECORD & 1 MISSILE DEVICE (1,2,4,5 - 6,7)
RAND R7 - Top picks: 4 MR CELEBRITY & 3 FOUROFAKIND (2,3,4,5 - 6,8)


BEND R1 - Top picks: 4 MARQUEETA & 9 WILDWOOD PRINCESS (4,7,9,10 - 6,8)
BEND R5 - Each way: 7 SNAPPY TOM (2,3,7,8 - 5,10)
BEND R6 - Each way: 13 INCINERATOR (1,2,11,13 - 3,15)

[Stix]

My tips for BENDIGO - should be some nice odds in this lot...... (just hope they run well)

RACE 5-2 VOLITANT
RACE 6-7 GENERAL MACKJOSH
RACE 7-12 VANTANA
RACE 8-2 FOREST DASH
Good luck

Giddy Up

STix

[Sportz]

RAND R2 - Each way: 3 LADY TITUS (1,2,3,9 - 12,14)


Sorry. :o

[Stix]

She was very disappointing Sportz...... but plenty left to go !!

[Sportz]

Before that, I'd actually had a collect in my previous 12 races! Was bound to come unstuck in a big way sometime. Hope it doesn't start a big losing run.

[Stix]

Help MAV and TARBS out and get on Lair...

[maverick1993]

Bit late on the job today ...need a good start ..come on Lair :)
havent missed much i see ..

[maverick1993]

poor old lair..has never let me down till today ...he's gooone :)

[Sportz]

RAND R3 - Each way: 8 FYODOR (1,4,5,8 - 11,13)


Wow!!! Nice trifecta. Thank you Thunderbirdsarego. :)

I actually backed Sonny Bill too, but I didn't post that tip, so I won't claim it.

[Stix]

Box em Sportz?

Quin $208
EX $311
Tri $1155

[maverick1993]

well done sportz ..your shout :)

[Sportz]

No Stix, I backed them just as I posted them:

1, 4, 5 & 8 for 1st and those horses plus 11 & 13 for 2nd and 3rd.
4/6/6 trifecta costs $40 for a half. Get back $476.80.

Oh, and I took 2 Any2 bets as well. 1 from 4,5,8,11,13 and 4 from 1,5,8,11,13.

So, a very nice result.

[maverick1993]

woooohoooooooooo fiiiiiiiinnnnnaaaaaaalllllyyyyyyyyyy

[maverick1993]

dont i say this alot.."I should only be betting in brissie"
nice tri to :)

[maverick1993]

wooohooo Go Snappy...1st4 time to :)

[Sportz]

Good old Snappy Tom! :)

[maverick1993]

sorry guys ..i'm rambling a bit ..but before these 2 i was 1 for about 10 or so ..weird how it goes .. love the punt .. my shout after Sportz :)

[Sportz]

Not a very big First4, was it?

[maverick1993]

cant be fussy Sportz ..3 times the 1st4 and 10 times the tri ...plus a better than expected win divie.....i'll take anything at the moment :)

[maverick1993]

Woohoo ..wow ..really hit a purple patch :)

[Sportz]

Don't tell me, you had that one in Sydney too.

[Stix]

Mav

Beautiful..... f**kin beautiful..... No Wine No Song..... BEAUTIFUL

Thanks you my friend !!

Exacta $220..... OMG !!! should a took the tri..... THANKS MAV !

[racingnovice]

Add this horse to your black books ;).

<B>AIRSTREAM</B>

Won a MDN in geelong by 4.5L on the 4th this month from that race.


HAPPY GIGGLESON came 2nd by 4.5L. Won a C1 22.5K race by 1.8L in Geelong on the 18th.
SONNY BILL came 3rd by 6.8L. Won today at randwick in 22k MDN.

[Merriguy]

Bit late on the job today ...need a good start....

You can be late every day, Mav. Congrats!! Got $16.50 at Sportingbet (Fixed).

[maverick1993]

Don't tell me, you had that one in Sydney too.


due for couple Sportz ..been fairly lean of late .
I'm not as consistent as you so i need these big divies to keep me going ..
a surprisingly nice tri :)

[Desi]

Great work Mav...excellent turnaround for me after slow start...go you good thing lol!!!

[maverick1993]

You can be late every day, Mav. Congrats!! Got $16.50 at Sportingbet (Fixed).

$18 on Ias,, Merriguy ...but at that price who cares :) well done

[Sportz]

Hmmm, Incinerator left it a bit late. :(

In the next in Sydney, Gunfire Messiah hasn't raced for about a year, but they have a high opinion of him, so he could be one to watch. Could have a big spring ahead. I see he's shortening in the betting.

[Stix]

It's Fav....

[racingnovice]

Yeah sportz watch Gunfire Messiah. Needs longer distance but put in a good effort today.

[Sportz]

Yep. I backed Oolite and Pentup, but Gunfire Messiah is definitely one to watch.

[Stix]

My tips for BENDIGO - should be some nice odds in this lot...... (just hope they run well)

RACE 5-2 VOLITANT
RACE 6-7 GENERAL MACKJOSH
RACE 7-12 VANTANA
RACE 8-2 FOREST DASH
Good luck

Giddy Up

STixRACE 5-2 VOLITANT 3rd $2.60
RACE 6-7 GENERAL MACKJOSH Unpl
RACE 7-12 VANTANA Eq 3rd $.160
RACE 8-2 FOREST DASH

Not too much damage..... (thnx to Sportz & Mav - Good work Boys)

[maverick1993]

A good day with some nice divies and excotics.....nice place divie at the end to finish it off,, thought i had it with Medievil Time for a sec there ,,..
Dissapointed with Merthy Rd and Bit Of magic who had there chance..
and Skittles has something up with it,,might be goone
Adelaide was a disaster ,,lair and Enter the sandman not doing much.
but Snappy,Vettories Image and No Wine No Song were a great result ..
good to finally get a value selection up . and the tris continue to save my bacon..
Happy Days again :)
made up for the last 2 days....phew ,,hard work ..

[maverick1993]

I'll list me stable for tomorrow incase i dont get back on..
Ipswich
*He wears the crown,*Oh Raw Oh Raw,*CLarendon Blue
Northam
*Don't say a word,*Grand Merlot
Ballarat
*Poiym
Hawksbury
*Genghis Khan

Confident on Genghis Khan and He wears the crown..

Good Luck all :) hopefully another good day beckons ...

[Sportz]

Okay, a few VERY early thoughts for tomorrow:

Hawkesbury
R2-3 Dane Flyer
R3-5 Danzability
R5-1 Genghis Khan
R7-3 Fighting Fund & 8 Cheekies

Ballarat
R4-1 Blue Collar Jack & 3 Dolphin Tycoon
R6-1 Rubijon
R8-8 Marybrooke & 2 Poiym

Northam
R1-3 Master Pearler
R5-15 Grand Otto
R9-3 Don't Say A Word

Have to do more study though.

[Sportz]

HAWK R2 - 3 DANE FLYER, 5 Soul Prince
HAWK R5 - 1 GENGHIS KHAN, 2 Kill The Cat
HAWK R7 - 3 FIGHTING FUND & 8 CHEEKIES (3,8,4,7 - 5,1)

BALL R4 - 3 DOLPHIN TYCOON & 1 BLUE COLLAR JACK (3,1,2,13 - 8,6)
BALL R5 - 10 MINORCA, 5 Tara's Edge
BALL R6 - 1 RUBIJON, 2 Ecumenical
BALL R8 - 10 BEAUTY WORLD, 8 Marybrooke, 2 Poiym (10,8,2,1 - 9,3)

NORT R1 - 3 MASTER PEARLER, 11 Evison
NORT R5 - 15 GRAND OTTO, 4 Lawbook
NORT R9 - 3 DON'T SAY A WORD, 8 Another Commodore (3,8,5,4 - 1,7)

[Mr ed]

Can't have enough on Blue Collar Jack today.

He mixes his races but last time in he ran a blinder one day at Cranbourne, leading virtually all the way, he was going to bolt in by about 3l but shyed at a bird and finished about 7th. The form out of the race has been enormous with horses like St Louis Blue, Correct Amoonda and others i can't remember who all won their next start. His next start was at bendigo where he led and found sweet fa. He is nominated for the cups, which is always a decent sign for a maiden, he's also first up over 1400, which tells me he's done plenty of work for a first up kill. I am going to back this horse every start he has to make a profit off him, because he will win a race.

Good to be True, was back near last, last start in a race where there was another crajerjack run by VIAKALANI SMYTZER for the blackbookers. He came wide on the turn and was green as grass all the way down the straight, he might get to a decent quote with Soi Cowboy looking the class, and Reignite who's always in commision.

Will be on both today and maybe a running dubb to.

Well done Mav, you murdered them yesti. Sorry about Flu Blu it was a really stupid selection from that gate, i thought Flu would be dubb figs and the winner would be around even money but ended up real value and Blu no value at all.

[saratoga samchaz]

Avenger, you lurking out there? How's the American racing been going? I really like some at Saratoga this Saturday. Travers Day, no less, but I've been waiting for a couple of these to run back. FIRST SAMURAI will try to step to the next level when the 2 year old takes on the top-rated Hugh Hennesy in the G1 Hopeful Stakes at 7f. The Frank Brothers Trainee ran roughshod over his last allowance field at the Spa on Haskell Saturday. Bailey rode one mount at Saratoga that day (Samurai), hopped on the plane, flew to Monmouth, couldn't land at the scheduled airport, landed at another, made it in time to win the Haskell on Bob BAffert's 3yo ROMAN RULER who crushed that field and is entered in the Travers on Sat. I like him too as he crushed Flower Alley earlier in the Saratoga Meet and could realistically be the top horse in training in the world today. He was injured earlier in the year and is now ready to show his top stuff.

Many people think the undefeated LOST IN THE FOG is the best around, but I highly doubt it. He looks like a sprinter only and has ducked all the top three year olds and is obviously pointing to the BC Sprint. But he is going to lose the 7 furlong KING BISHOP STAKES to the Steve Asmussen trained SANTANA STRINGS who eclipsed the field in the 7f Amsterdam a couple of weeks ago. He will be a nice price and really may be the best sprinter going. Definitely a good value play.

Zito has a 2yo who was scratced last weekend on a rainy day in a msw, but is scheduled to run on Sat. I can't remember his name right now but I'll get it in a minute.
The big most important thing about all these selections is how the track is playing. Speed has been holding in sprints, closers or stalkers in dirt routes, and honest on the turf but I'm watching the rest of the week closely.

Gotta go play some Aussies now. Hoping Mr. Ed, Sportz and Mav come through like usual!!!!

[saratoga samchaz]

Superfly is Zito's 2yo but I am having second thoughts as Super Steve Asmussen has QUAHADA in the same race with Bailey and has worked the same slow steady works that all his phenomenal 2 year old stable of debut winners have and IJ would be hard pressed to go against this approximately 65% winner with 2yo starters at the Spa this meet. Just goes to show that teaching 2yo's how to break sharply makes all the difference. I don't know where they will be next spring but that's not my probem. I gotta score now.


One of his top 2yo's just swept the Monmouth stakes for juveniles and won the bigger one by 81/2 lengths. HE"S GOT GRIT is a key horse for evaluation purposes as he may be as good as the 2yo's at Saratoga othet than Hugh Hennesy and First Samurai, or maybe as good. I got some nice info on a Delaware Park 2yo trained by Mike Matz who ran at 12-1 the other day after stepping up to allw vs. a field full of horses who ran against GRIT. He missed the whole shabang by 1/2 length after being boxed and steadied on the turn, racing greenly down the stretch and closing against the unforgiving speed bias. His name escapes me right now, but he came in third to Creve Coeur (Grahma Motion's 2yo)in the 7th at Delaware on Monday. He is FAST and won his maiden at 19-1 so he likes to win at a price.

[TheAvenger]

Thanks. I'll have a look at your picks on Saturday.

Regards,

Glenn

[Sportz]

Good to be True, was back near last, last start in a race where there was another crajerjack run by VIAKALANI SMYTZER for the blackbookers. He came wide on the turn and was green as grass all the way down the straight, he might get to a decent quote with Soi Cowboy looking the class, and Reignite who's always in commision.


Sorry, but what's the name of your tip in this race???

[Mr ed]

Haha sorry, it's New Kid in Town for some reason Good to be True popped into my head, probably the four words aspect.

[Stix]

NORT R1 - 3 MASTER PEARLER, 11 Evison
Nice work Sportz

Got the tri - Put the 6 in for second with the field...... Thnx... I'm off to a good start..... just gotta make sure I don't get carried away !

[Stix]

Can't have enough on Blue Collar Jack today.

He mixes his races but last time in he ran a blinder one day at Cranbourne, leading virtually all the way, he was going to bolt in by about 3l but shyed at a bird and finished about 7th. The form out of the race has been enormous with horses like St Louis Blue, Correct Amoonda and others i can't remember who all won their next start. His next start was at bendigo where he led and found sweet fa. He is nominated for the cups, which is always a decent sign for a maiden, he's also first up over 1400, which tells me he's done plenty of work for a first up kill. I am going to back this horse every start he has to make a profit off him, because he will win a race.

Here's hoping !

[Stix]

You little ANZAC Mr Ed.....

[Sportz]

BALL R4 - 3 DOLPHIN TYCOON & 1 BLUE COLLAR JACK (3,1,2,13 - 8,6)


:D

Missed the tri with those tips, but Skyblue Flight came in late in the betting, so it wasn't impossible to get.

[Merriguy]

Well done, Ed. Blue Collar Jack $11.50/$3.20 on Unitab!!

[Sportz]

Nice work Sportz

Got the tri - Put the 6 in for second with the field...... Thnx... I'm off to a good start..... just gotta make sure I don't get carried away !

Didn't post multi tips for every race today, but I had number 6 rated 3rd in my selections for that one. Didn't give the number 2 much hope though.

[Stix]

You little ANZAC Mr Ed.....
.............and you too Spotrz..... SORRY !!

[Tenacious Spirit]

Damn didnt cash in on any of the quality tips. Well done again.

[Mr ed]

Thanks guys, good on ya Sportz nice little quinnie. Won a sheepload on Jack but really would've liked the running double, New Kid looked home aswell, damn punting game.

[Horse Whisperer]

Thanks Mr Ed, if you ever have any specials like this make sure i read the forum on the day :) went down and chucked $10 e/w on Blue Collar Jack so i might take the gf out for dinner tonight now!!

[Mr ed]

I wouldn't mind taking my gf out for dinner myself Whisperer, but she told me to gf last week, oh well, if all else fails there's a quote from Homer J Simpson i love to death, "Money can be exchanged for goods and services". Have a top night mate.

[Stix]

Bella Cantare....

Second start.... did nothing @ the First start..... Was picked to run well....

Currently @ $61 (Vic).......

Stix

[maverick1993]

well done Mr ed...just got home so i missed it :( ..good to see your still in form..nice divie to..
Genghis to short for me...but should win..

[maverick1993]

lucky :) .. did nothing..

[Stix]

BALL R6 - 1 RUBIJON, 2 Ecumenical
Nice Work again Sportz & Mav... Got the Tri again... Much appreciated....

next time your in Melb I owe you a couple of hours (or days) @ the bar...

[saratoga samchaz]

Thanks Mr. ED. Info like shying from a bird while enroute to an easy victory is why I came on this board. However, as I've become accustomed to, I got talked out of going to the local (15 miles) Turf CLub that handles Aussies as it would be too late and they would close early on Weds. night. This after I read that fellow punter your info on the bird, the key race with multiple winners coming out, and his nomination for cups. Figured he might be good price as it was his first up. I've gotta get my phone-bet account up and running. The Turf Club does close at their own discretion when only Australian is running. Every time they announce they are closing, every one there starts yelling and freaking out (rightfully so). You can still bet the later races but you better have a bank roll. Great angle Mr. Ed and I suppose Sportz as well if Dolphins Tycoon got second.

On another note, did anyone hear about the snafu with the mix-up about Dubai Millenium's half brother (Dubai Exellence) and another horse (Samood)from Darley Stables? The wrong horse, Samood, was shipped to a Perth stud farm and was found not to be Dubai Excellence by the organization in OZ that monitors such matters. The article stated that the whereabouts of Dubai Excellence are unknown. What's up with that??? It's at DRF.COM under Mystery Horse heading.

[saratoga samchaz]

Just checked the American mutuals for Bluecollar Jack and threw up. W$18 P$8.80 S$10.00 That's a return of $36.80 for a typical $2 across the board bet($6 total). No to mention the $80 exacta for $2 or the $300 Tri for $2! How can this possibly happen every time I miss a horse?!?!? I'm gonna rip my buddy's head off. I figured the bird shying fiasco would mask the good run in the 7th place race and scare everyone off but I never figured 8-1. Although I didn't look over the form. Thanks anyway guys.

[maverick1993]

Nothing happening today ,,,0 for 3 :( all hopes on Northam later on ..
Grand Merlot and Don't say a word..
hopefully one of them salutes ..fingers crossed ..
Good Luck All ,,

off to the pub :)

[Sportz]

Great angle Mr. Ed and I suppose Sportz as well if Dolphins Tycoon got second.


SS,

I almost always back more than one horse per race. The horses I post in CAPITALS are my top picks and the others are the ones I consider the dangers. In Ballarat R4, I had both horses equal top rated and backed them both equally.

BALL R4 - 3 DOLPHIN TYCOON & 1 BLUE COLLAR JACK (3,1,2,13 - 8,6)

[maverick1993]

Shocker today...0 for 4 invested,,but 0 for 7 selected,,Grand Merlot 4th and Dont Say a word to short..
Thought about having the day off tomorrow and finishing the week (Sun to Frid) ahead ...but as soon as i start doing that runners start winning without me..
So here goes ..i'v been alittle inconsistent of late so be careful...i'm actually confident about most of them though ..i'll try and get on early tomorrow to see if there is any late mail..spewing i missed Mr eds tip today ..at that price it would of set me up for the day..

Cessnock
*Wallarah boy....Gibbons knows the horse well,,its fitter after 3 runs back now ..lot to like about his last run where he made plenty of ground..thought Formula Ono would appreciate this class after tackling races to hard for him..
*Rostrum...huge run with the big weight last start..drops a stack for this ..Graham a plus ,,distance suits ..an open race this one so they might come for a few here..hoping for nice odds..
*Codie Cuddles...good stable..great last run over a unsuitable distance....performs well at the track,,alot to like here...alot of unkown runners ..the one i'd be watching is the Ryan mount Worondi who did ok last start and the extra distance suits...
Townsville
*Snick..gets all the ticks here...loves the track, loves the distance,good jockey , good weight, good barrier, good form..by my ratings will be about 1.20 ..but theres the toppy with the big weight that has proven that he can carry it..Vitegic who gets alot of ticks aswell,,and Don Sequalo who did the job for us before but needs to somehow cross from the bad barrier..and then you have RaidnRule whos mixed it with the best of them.. ???? not an easy race..
Snick gets the easy sit..so that should be enough.. good race ,,good value ?
Seymour
*Light of Day..will be prominent in a tough race..Gauci rates them well in front..
*Derringer e/w..made a heap of ground last start..gets a weight pull of the toppy..hopefully wont be to far back from the good barrier..Dunn a real good young rider..Robos Pal the one to beat loves the track.,will keep safe..
*Polyester Boy ,,gets back up to the 1400m.,, last run should just be forgotton..ridden a mile back to short ..made good ground..flying..

possible 7 selections...another drought sees me with a loss this week ,,and thats after jagging some huge tris and divies...
feeling confident :) or that could be just the beer talking ...

Good Luck..

[Sportz]

Here's some that I'm thinking about for tomorrow:

Geelong
Race 3 - 6 REEWAYA, 5 Moon Fever
Race 4 - 2 Polyester Boy, 1 Rinehart
Race 6 - 7 CHITABE, 3 Arunee (also looking at 4 Tom Coureuse & 8 Garbo's Storm. Open race. Have to study this some more)
Race 8 - 8 MATRAS*

Townsville
Race 8 - 9 TRIP TO MANILA*

Seymour
Race 4 - 5 Zendin' An Angel
Race 7 - 9 Bono
Race 9 - 2 Bold Deceiver, 3 Nothin' Leica Win

[tarbs]

Lean couple of days....

had a big go on tic toc tac... should have won at 10's on wednesday, knocked down twice in straight ohh well *blackbooker* pity about the price though

Tommorrow - need value to get out of the out house!

Geelong:

Race 3: No 5 Moon Fever
Race 4: No 7 Drumbeater first up
Race 6: No 9 Governor Macquarie
Race 7: No 1 Kepero (hope it carries the weight otherwise Deeayabee or celtic bloom)
Race 8: Quinella 3/8 back them both, base multiples around them

Townsville:

Race 1: No 3 Your So Dane
Race 3: Two chances 4/8 - leaning towards Yumiko - maiden though so beware
Race 4: No 6 Red China Doll
Race 5: Two chances 9/11 box them in tri and quinella or back em
Race 6: E/W Star Revundo top rater
Race 7: Tri/Quinella no's 1/4/8/10 and 15 for value - Snick main hope
Race 8: Best Bet at townsville - No 9 Trip to manilla - fingers crossed! Dangers if any 10,12,13

Cessnock

Race 2: No 10 Husk win only(at your own peril!)
Race 9: No 1

QUEANBEYAN

Race 2: 6 Dancing Joe
Race 7: No 3 Steamy Beau
Race 8: 1/7 the winning chances - like the toppy Groover's Mate - second Sand Bay with A little Rusty and Abiligaboo


Hope this helps

[saratoga samchaz]

Thanks for clearing that up. I figured the Bold letters were your best but didn't realize if you would back two horses to win. I did figure that you would have the exacta between the two no matter what. I still am new to the Aussie lingo and style of racing (much different than Europe and closer to American). Matter of fact, what did Mr. Ed mean when he said Bluecollar Jack "found sweet fa"? I took it as he was best of all and enroute to an easy victory. At least when my brother moves there next month he can start interpreting for me. LOL!

[saratoga samchaz]

5th Geel 1)Satinspin- sure treated me nice last out at Flemington but looks to be short in a race void of much speed. Robbo's Pal might get an uncontested lead if the 8,9, or 11 don't press and carry his speed a little furher than usual. i still see him stopping as SATINSPIN goes by down the lane with #6 Shrogginet or #10 Derringer up for 2nd, followed by toss up forthird between 2, 3, 7, 14.